NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? )

Moderators: bwgood77, bisme37, zimpy27, KingDavid, cupcakesnake, Domejandro, ken6199, infinite11285, Clav, Dirk

Who SHOULD and WILL win the 2024 NBA MVP award? (Vote for 2 options)

Nikola Jokic SHOULD win MVP
136
31%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander SHOULD win MVP
26
6%
Luka Doncic SHOULD win MVP
64
15%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SHOULD win MVP
8
2%
Jayson Tatum SHOULD win MVP
4
1%
Nikola Jokic WILL win MVP
155
36%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander WILL win MVP
12
3%
Luka Doncic WILL win MVP
26
6%
Giannis Antetokounmpo WILL win MVP
3
1%
Jayson Tatum WILL win MVP
2
0%
 
Total votes: 436

Bob8
RealGM
Posts: 11,144
And1: 4,663
Joined: Feb 08, 2017

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#561 » by Bob8 » Thu Apr 11, 2024 9:05 pm

BigGargamel wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Jaqua92 wrote:But in terms of all time greatness? He's not top 10 even.


You may change your mind in a couple months if Jokic has...
3x MVP
2x championship
2x FMVP

All before 30...



He really should be gunning for his fourth straight MVP by now. Not sure how that's not top ten status. :lol: Rangz, sure, but he's never had an All Star teammate. He is everything.


You should check how many MVPs has Jordan got with his domination in advanced stats. It's not that simple or Jordan should have had at least 9 MVP.
AleksandarN
General Manager
Posts: 9,469
And1: 13,071
Joined: Aug 08, 2002

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#562 » by AleksandarN » Thu Apr 11, 2024 9:35 pm

Bob8 wrote:
BigGargamel wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
You may change your mind in a couple months if Jokic has...
3x MVP
2x championship
2x FMVP

All before 30...



He really should be gunning for his fourth straight MVP by now. Not sure how that's not top ten status. :lol: Rangz, sure, but he's never had an All Star teammate. He is everything.


You should check how many MVPs has Jordan got with his domination in advanced stats. It's not that simple or Jordan should have had at least 9 MVP.

What seasons? Curious which ones he should have. The Pedo MVP is a given. But what others
Bob8
RealGM
Posts: 11,144
And1: 4,663
Joined: Feb 08, 2017

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#563 » by Bob8 » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:14 pm

AleksandarN wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
BigGargamel wrote:

He really should be gunning for his fourth straight MVP by now. Not sure how that's not top ten status. :lol: Rangz, sure, but he's never had an All Star teammate. He is everything.


You should check how many MVPs has Jordan got with his domination in advanced stats. It's not that simple or Jordan should have had at least 9 MVP.

What seasons? Curious which ones he should have. The Pedo MVP is a given. But what others


He had the best WS, BPM and VORP in all years from 87/97, with exception of 95, when he played only 17 games. And he made 1st defensive team 9x. Kinda funny that far the best scorer of that period, 10x the best scorer, and great defender wins only 5 MVPs, don't you think? Jokic getting already 4th is pretty generous considering how they have evaluated MJ. Jokic can get 10, if advanced stats will be only criteria. No guard can get those stats.
LeBronSpaghetti
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,494
And1: 2,432
Joined: Mar 08, 2018

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#564 » by LeBronSpaghetti » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:37 pm

Tons of media hype around Luka right now. I kinda think he’s going to win. Could be two straight MVPs that are swept away from Jokic at the last second.
Bob8
RealGM
Posts: 11,144
And1: 4,663
Joined: Feb 08, 2017

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#565 » by Bob8 » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:42 pm

LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Tons of media hype around Luka right now. I kinda think he’s going to win. Could be two straight MVPs that are swept away from Jokic at the last second.


Jokic will win easily. He probably wouldn't, if he had won last year.
Manimal
Veteran
Posts: 2,626
And1: 2,134
Joined: Dec 14, 2011

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#566 » by Manimal » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:09 pm

Jokic will win at least 80% of first place votes.
QPR
Analyst
Posts: 3,195
And1: 4,382
Joined: Mar 02, 2011

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#567 » by QPR » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:11 pm

LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Tons of media hype around Luka right now. I kinda think he’s going to win. Could be two straight MVPs that are swept away from Jokic at the last second.


I think there's more chance of him finishing 3rd than winning tbh
User avatar
durden_tyler
RealGM
Posts: 21,589
And1: 10,845
Joined: Jun 04, 2003
Location: 537 Paper Street, Bradford
   

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#568 » by durden_tyler » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:55 pm

LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Tons of media hype around Luka right now. I kinda think he’s going to win. Could be two straight MVPs that are swept away from Jokic at the last second.


Luka is at +2100 right now. If really believe that, you can bet today and turn your $100 to $2100.

(Of course you won't do that, you do not want to throw away your money)
Free Gaza.
Special_Puppy
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,088
And1: 2,737
Joined: Sep 23, 2023

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#569 » by Special_Puppy » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:42 am

Bob8 wrote:
LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Tons of media hype around Luka right now. I kinda think he’s going to win. Could be two straight MVPs that are swept away from Jokic at the last second.


Jokic will win easily. He probably wouldn't, if he had won last year.


Would Luka be the favorite for MVP if Jokic won it last year?
Wolfgang630
RealGM
Posts: 21,604
And1: 20,772
Joined: Feb 07, 2016
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#570 » by Wolfgang630 » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:44 am

Special_Puppy wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Tons of media hype around Luka right now. I kinda think he’s going to win. Could be two straight MVPs that are swept away from Jokic at the last second.


Jokic will win easily. He probably wouldn't, if he had won last year.


Would Luka be the favorite for MVP if Jokic won it last year?


No
jordanwilliams6
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,195
And1: 3,822
Joined: Nov 01, 2018
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#571 » by jordanwilliams6 » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:42 am

Jokic should and will win but Luka should be a reasonably close 2nd.

The fact that SGA is 3rd proves how dominant those first 2 have been.
Bob8
RealGM
Posts: 11,144
And1: 4,663
Joined: Feb 08, 2017

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#572 » by Bob8 » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:53 am

Wolfgang630 wrote:
Special_Puppy wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Jokic will win easily. He probably wouldn't, if he had won last year.


Would Luka be the favorite for MVP if Jokic won it last year?


No


Do you really believe they would have given 4 in a row to Jokic? No way. Maybe they would have given MVP to Shai, sure not Jokic.

People, who are sure that advanced stats are everything, should check how Barkley got award in front of Jordan, who was with total dominance in advanced stats, the best scorer and 2nd defensive player of the year, only 3rd.

Nobody in the history of the game did it and they would have given 4 in a row to Jokic? :lol: I think that main reason that he didn't get 3 in a row wasn't campaign for Embiid but the fact that only 3 players before have got 3 in a row. You can't put someone , who didn't win anything at that point, in front of MJ or LeBron.
User avatar
B-easy
Starter
Posts: 2,192
And1: 700
Joined: Apr 08, 2010

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#573 » by B-easy » Fri Apr 12, 2024 6:15 am

Crazy to think Jokic should have as many MVPs as lebron. Lebron never got robbed. Jokic has. One of the goat 4 year runs.
Peregrine01
Head Coach
Posts: 6,754
And1: 7,694
Joined: Sep 12, 2012

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#574 » by Peregrine01 » Fri Apr 12, 2024 6:20 am

B-easy wrote:Crazy to think Jokic should have as many MVPs as lebron. Lebron never got robbed. Jokic has. One of the goat 4 year runs.


You combine an all-time great (possible offensive GOAT) who's also an iron-man who never gets hurt and is always available and just so happens to play in the load management era, then it makes you wonder why you should be surprised that this guy is a front-runner every year?
Exp0sed
General Manager
Posts: 8,074
And1: 7,488
Joined: Feb 10, 2022

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#575 » by Exp0sed » Fri Apr 12, 2024 7:24 am

Bob8 wrote:
Wolfgang630 wrote:
Special_Puppy wrote:
Would Luka be the favorite for MVP if Jokic won it last year?


No


Do you really believe they would have given 4 in a row to Jokic? No way. Maybe they would have given MVP to Shai, sure not Jokic.

People, who are sure that advanced stats are everything, should check how Barkley got award in front of Jordan, who was with total dominance in advanced stats, the best scorer and 2nd defensive player of the year, only 3rd.

Nobody in the history of the game did it and they would have given 4 in a row to Jokic? :lol: I think that main reason that he didn't get 3 in a row wasn't campaign for Embiid but the fact that only 3 players before have got 3 in a row. You can't put someone , who didn't win anything at that point, in front of MJ or LeBron.


that's not what you're doing tho. for one, it's a rs award so "didn't win anthing..' is immaterial
secondly, it hasn't happend in the past because these circumstences never came to pass, not because there's some rule or innate prerequisite, to win 3,4 or 10 for that matter

culture is dynamic
just because voters in the 70's or 90's went with certain reasonings and criterias doesn't mean that 2020's voters will as well

i'll give u a recent example

Giannis won back to back MVPs, in the next season he played just 61 games and despite playing 10% more mins than his prior MVP season, he had considerably less rebounds, less points etc. no MVP other than Walton even won playing less than the 65 threshold, right? thus, they didn't give it him

now imagine that Giannis was healthier (and better) that season, say Giannis played 82 games that season and would have led the Bucks to the 1st seed (they were 3rd only a couple of games back, it's very reasonable to assume if Giannis was heathy they would have led the East) - do u think they wouldn't have given it to him just so he could be excluded from some mythical group of guys who have 3 back to back? mind you, Giannis has also "never won" up to that point, his ring came in the playoffs following this selection

that doesn't make a lick of sense, sorry

Jokic is both durable and consistently great, since emerging as a superstar he hasn't had a down season yet..perhaps other superstars in the past weren't as consistent? that's no reason to hold it against him

let's say Jokic finishes his career with 6 MVPS, does that mean he's better than all the guys who won less MVPs? ofc not...
it just means, he had more seasons whenconditions were met and won out

say an a top 5 ATG player has to share his career with another top 5 ATG player, thus throughout their peaks they split career accolades and alternate MVPs.
another top 15 ATG player has a decade all by his lonesome and he gobbles up more MVPs than both of the top 5 - does that make him "better"? ofc not..

my point is circumstences dictate these things so things that "never happened" in the past and have no precedence can def happen, when circumstences are different
Bob8
RealGM
Posts: 11,144
And1: 4,663
Joined: Feb 08, 2017

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#576 » by Bob8 » Fri Apr 12, 2024 7:40 am

Exp0sed wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Wolfgang630 wrote:
No


Do you really believe they would have given 4 in a row to Jokic? No way. Maybe they would have given MVP to Shai, sure not Jokic.

People, who are sure that advanced stats are everything, should check how Barkley got award in front of Jordan, who was with total dominance in advanced stats, the best scorer and 2nd defensive player of the year, only 3rd.

Nobody in the history of the game did it and they would have given 4 in a row to Jokic? :lol: I think that main reason that he didn't get 3 in a row wasn't campaign for Embiid but the fact that only 3 players before have got 3 in a row. You can't put someone , who didn't win anything at that point, in front of MJ or LeBron.


that's not what you're doing tho. for one, it's a rs award so "didn't win anthing..' is immaterial
secondly, it hasn't happend in the past because these circumstences never came to pass, not because there's some rule or innate prerequisite, to win 3,4 or 10 for that matter

culture is dynamic
just because voters in the 70's or 90's went with certain reasonings and criterias doesn't mean than 2020's voters will as well

i'll give u a recent example

Giannis won back to back MVPs, in the next season he played just 61 games and despite playing 10% more mins than his prior MVP season, he had considerably less rebounds, less points etc. no MVP other than Walton even won playing less than the 65 threshold, right? thus, they didn't give it him

now imagine that Giannis was healthier (and better) that season, say Giannis played 82 games that season and would have led the Bucks to the 1st seed (they were 3rd only a couple of games back, it's very reasonable to assume if Giannis was heathy they would have led the East) - do u think they wouldn't have given it to him just so he could be excluded from some mythical group of guys who have 3 back to back? mind you, Giannis has also "never won" up to that point, his ring came in the playoffs following this selection

that doesn't make a lick of sense, sorry

Jokic is both durable and consistently great, since emerging as a superstar he hasn't had a down season yet..perhaps other superstars in the past weren't as consistent? that's no reason to hold it against him

let's say Jokic finishes his career with 6 MVPS, does that mean he's better than all the guys who won less MVPs? ofc not...
it just means, he had more seasons whenconditions were met and won out

say an a top 5 ATG player has to share his career with another top 5 ATG player, thus throughout their peaks they split career accolades and alternate MVPs.
another top 15 ATG player has a decade all by his lonesome and he gobbles up more MVPs than both of the top 5 - does that make him "better"? ofc not..

my point is circumstences dictate these things so things that "never happened" in the past and have no precedence can def happen, when circumstences are different


I will be a lot shorter. Just look at MJ from 87-97. 9 years far the best advanced stats, 9x first defensive team, 10x the best scorer. Bulls winning multiple 60+ games, once 72, and yet he never won 3x in a row, only 5 MVP.


And now I'm hearing that Jokic has GOAT 4 years period, not by you, Denver having only once over 50 wins before this year. People are becoming totally disconnected from reality.

They won't gave him 6 MVP unless he wins multiple rings in next years and Denver starts looking like the best team in Nba should.
Exp0sed
General Manager
Posts: 8,074
And1: 7,488
Joined: Feb 10, 2022

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#577 » by Exp0sed » Fri Apr 12, 2024 8:10 am

Bob8 wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:
Bob8 wrote:




I will be a lot shorter. Just look at MJ from 87-97. 9 years far the best advanced stats, 9x first defensive team, 10x the best scorer. Bulls winning multiple 60+ games, once 72, and yet he never won 3x in a row, only 5 MVP.


And now I'm hearing that Jokic has GOAT 4 years period, not by you, Denver having only once over 50 wins before this year. People are becoming totally disconnected from reality.

They won't gave him 6 MVP unless he wins multiple rings in next years and Denver starts looking like the best team in Nba should.


a couple of things:
first of all, as you mentioned - "not you", I haven't compared Jokic's peak to MJ itt or in any other thread nor do I think they are comparable. but that's not measured in MVPs...

secondly, MJ deserved more MVP's, you won't get any arguments from me there (and no, "advanced stats" isn't the sole criteria)

I think we both agree on all of this. where we differ is that you think that because MJ, LBJ and others were slighted and didn't get what they deserved by voters at that time, your argument is that voters of the current time should take that under consideration because otherwise Jokic might end up with more MVP's then those guys (and other players as well) and in my book - two wrongs don't make a right :)

that's where I think we differ
User avatar
Bloodbather
Pro Prospect
Posts: 880
And1: 1,704
Joined: Dec 23, 2023
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#578 » by Bloodbather » Fri Apr 12, 2024 8:13 am

Special_Puppy wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
LeBronSpaghetti wrote:Tons of media hype around Luka right now. I kinda think he’s going to win. Could be two straight MVPs that are swept away from Jokic at the last second.


Jokic will win easily. He probably wouldn't, if he had won last year.


Would Luka be the favorite for MVP if Jokic won it last year?


I would say yes. If it's close to the point where it's splitting hairs, the voters will want to acknowledge the one who hasn't won before.

I think this approach is fine, personally, as long as it is actually that close. I didn't mind Embiid winning MVP last season for that reason even though I had Jokić slightly ahead. I think Dončić had a genuine shot for the same reason until the Nuggets came and took the #1 spot in the West.
Exp0sed
General Manager
Posts: 8,074
And1: 7,488
Joined: Feb 10, 2022

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#579 » by Exp0sed » Fri Apr 12, 2024 8:25 am

@bob8

oh and as to your "50 wins" part, you seem fine defending the Mavs poor lineups and injuries when it comes to propping up Luka for MVP, yet you don't pay Jokic the same courtesy and give him a leeway because of the amount of help he's recieved or the unique circumstances he had to operate in. why is that?

Jokic is the only MVP to have never played with an all-star

Denver has 56 win rn, likely will finish with 58
they had 53 last season
they had 48 when he was playing the entire season without his #2 and #3, two max salaries in street clothes, Barton and Campazzo in starting jerseyes
and they had 47 in the 72 games season (covid), that's 65% winrate the equivalent of 53-54 wins

Jokic didn't have a single all-star teammate during this 4 year span
you can argue about playoff Murray in the bubble and last season but that doesn't have anything to do with the rs

so your "50 wins" take is disingenious imo as they have in fact surpassed 50 wins in 3/4 seasons and the one they didn't was the no Murray no MPJ season, in which he won 48 with a G-league squad

when's the last time someone carried a team of role players to 4 straight rs seasons 50+ in this fashion meaning, while breaking every advanced stats record there is e broke BPM, PER, VORP, +- etc.

does that make him MJ? or as great as MJ? hell no..especially since we don't know what MJ could have done in this era and imo it would be just ridicilous and absurdly great (but that's just my opinion and guesswork)

MJ never accomplished this btw, when he was younger he had little help and when he was older he never had to cuz he had an all-time great supporting cast so he never had the chance to accomplish it and as great as he was invdivually he can't elevate scrubs on offense the way Jokic can with his vision, playamaking, rebounding and passing

defense is a different matter as having an ATG wing defender def elevates the entire squad on that end

Jokic deserved 4 straight MVPs, that's just a fact - it doesn't make him better than MJ (or anyone else who hasn't won 4 straight MVPs for that matter) and as i've said itt - MJ in this era would be...not like everything we've ever seen, eras are different and can't be directly compared
Bob8
RealGM
Posts: 11,144
And1: 4,663
Joined: Feb 08, 2017

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2023-24 (Part 5: So who's winning MVP? ) 

Post#580 » by Bob8 » Fri Apr 12, 2024 8:34 am

Exp0sed wrote:
Bob8 wrote:
Exp0sed wrote:


I will be a lot shorter. Just look at MJ from 87-97. 9 years far the best advanced stats, 9x first defensive team, 10x the best scorer. Bulls winning multiple 60+ games, once 72, and yet he never won 3x in a row, only 5 MVP.


And now I'm hearing that Jokic has GOAT 4 years period, not by you, Denver having only once over 50 wins before this year. People are becoming totally disconnected from reality.

They won't gave him 6 MVP unless he wins multiple rings in next years and Denver starts looking like the best team in Nba should.


a couple of things:
first of all, as you mentioned - "not you", I haven't compared Jokic's peak to MJ itt or in any other thread nor do I think they are comparable. but that's not measured in MVPs...

secondly, MJ deserved more MVP's, you won't get any arguments from me there (and no, "advanced stats" isn't the sole criteria)

I think we both agree on all of this. where we differ is that you think that because MJ, LBJ and others were slighted and didn't get what they deserved by voters at that time, your argument is that voters of the current time should take that under consideration because otherwise Jokic might end up with more MVP's then those guys (and other players as well) and in my book - two wrongs don't make a right :)

that's where I think we differ


I'm telling you that they're just not giving that many MVP awards to anyone just because his advanced stats are superior. Jokic won't ever again get MVP for 6th place in West standing for example. Denver would need to be dominant and winning titles for Jokic to get over 5. They will find reasoning to give award to someone different, like they found with MJ or LeBron.

Return to The General Board