ConSarnit wrote:Scase wrote:Duffman100 wrote:
Yup, usually I'd say we should take the whole sample size. But the first 2 months were SO bad compared to the rest of his season, I'd rate him on what he's done since.
I'm not ready to write those off entirely, but I'm definitely impressed by what he's done since. It probably is more indickative of his projection, but sample size is sample size. That said, the massive 180 is a very promising sign.
We probably should. Dick took 68 fga over the first 3 months of the season. That is 16% of his total attempts on the year. There were 20+ ROOKIES who took > 68 fga in March alone. It was at the point where Dick making just 5 more 3’s over that period was the difference between “all time bust!” and “decent prospect” on this board. In other words, we should have gleaned almost nothing from those first couple of months. It’s a near minuscule sample size.
I get what you are saying, but I preach sample size for all players, it's only fair I stay consistent. His stats still look solid with those taken into account, so I think it's fair that they don't just get waved away.