fuller4379 wrote:Positives
1. The Celtics didn't play particularly well in the playoffs. The team also has a recent history of chocking in the post season.
2. Crystal Porzingis is not going to be at full health.
3. The Mavericks have been in clicking ever since the trade deadline. The Mavericks are battle tested by beating 3 50 win teams to make it to the finals. We got two inexperienced playoff teams in Minnesota and Oklahoma, but we still took them down.
4. All the Mavericks have bought into their roles and are playing great team basketball right now. We have the two best offensive players on the court with Kyrie and Luka. Lively should also get his 10-12 points in dunks every game.
Negatives
1. This is a tough matchup. Our strength on offense is two perimeter shooters in Luka and Kyrie, but Boston has very good perimeter defenders.
2. The Celtics have a bunch of two-ways players.
3. Boston is deeper than the Mavericks.
The optimist - Mavs in 6
The realist - Celtics in 7
There are good points made here but interestingly Boston might not be deeper than Mavs in terms of bench. I think they have a solid 6-men rotation. Their 7th-8th-9th-10th men are not that good in case of an injury.
PG-SG:
Celts: White-Jrue-
PritchardMavs: Kyrie-Luka-
Exum-HardySF-PF:
Celts: Brown-Tatum
-Hauser-TillmanMavs: DJJ-PJ-
THJ-MarkieffC:
Celts: Horford-KP-
Kornet Mavs: Gafford-Lively
-MaxiDo you trust Kornet playing 15mpg or Maxi playing 15 mpg? They just have Pritchard for a bench pg, while the Mavs have Exum-Hardy. So depth-wise Mavs are not that bad.
However, playoffs are not necessarily played with 9-men rotation. So its more important to have better 6-7 men.
* Best player in the series: Luka
* 2nd best: Tatum or Kyrie?
* 3rd best: Brown or Kyrie?
* 4th-8th best: Jrue or Kyrie or KP or PJ or Lively?
* Role players: Horford or DJJ-Gafford-Maxi-Green?
* Bench: Hardy-THJ-Maxi or Pritchard-Hauser?
Kyrie doesn't need to be the 2nd best player on the court. But he should be in contention for 3rd or 4th spot. Then, we need PJ and Lively to step up. We cannot afford Luka being best but Celtics players being 2nd-3rd-4th-5th best players in the series.
1. Luka 2. Tatum
3. Brown
4. Kyrie 5. Jrue
6. Lively
7. PJ 8. KP
9. Horford
10. DJJ
11. Gafford
12. Maxi 13. Pritchard
If after series we feel this was the packing order, then we would probably win the series.
You can think like Lively-PJ being better than KAT, and Gafford-DJJ being better than Naz-Gobert. Or in OKC series Kyrie wasn't better than SGA but he was in that 3rd best player territory which was enough.