UnbelievablyRAW wrote:grant101 wrote:UnbelievablyRAW wrote:
See I'd rather have Carrington. A little younger and similarly not a vertical athlete, has the same PPP in isolation as Collier (0.94) and had a 25AST% (lower than Collier but still good).
I think Carrington can be a 36-38% 3PT shooter as a rookie taking C&S looks with some pullups sprinkled in and I don't have that faith with Collier. His 3PAr was high at 6+ and even with the lower %s, the confidence in the shot and his higher FT% gives me hope that the jumper is legit. Especially given we're about to give IQ a bag, I'd want a more complimentary guard that can play with him over one that would have to share minutes ahead of or he can't play. At 6'5 with a 6'11 wingspan, I can see Carlton as a second guard who can playmake next to IQ.
I see the arguments for Collier as a slashing PG who can pass, but on a team with horrendous spacing against NBA defense I'm not sure how good that will look especially in the offseason we are about to sign a 6'3 PG to a long term deal
Bub is such a weird prospect. He looks great on paper (young, tall, long, pretty looking off-the-dribble jump shot), but I don't buy him as a point guard given his inability to create advantages and get to (let alone finish) at the rim. I'm not sure you can have a point guard who never gets into the paint and who's go to move is a tough turnaround midranger. He's a little like Demar without the driving. His first step is just so slow.
Carrington as an off-guard is a much less appealing outcome (like a GTJ with a less proven jump-shot that works better off the dribble than on catch and shoot). He also had a lower 3pt % than Collier (albeit on more attempts), so I'm not sure where the faith that he becomes a knock-down 3pt shooter comes from
He has far better handle and passing ability than GTJ. His AST/TOV ratio is better than Collier as well.
He doesn't have the quickest first step but coming off of screens is able to find his shot and was effective in doing so at a young age. I'd be more worried about his at the rim finishing if he was a small guard but at 6'5 I think its reasonable to expect him to get decent looks from floater range if he can't get all the way to the rim. There are larger guards who can make due in the NBA rn because of their length and touch even if they aren't Maxey fast.
In his senior year at St. Frances Academy, Carrington averaged over 26.0 points, 7.0 rebounds, 6.0 assists, and 2.0 steals per game, with shooting splits of 49/38/86, while also setting a school record with over 1,000 points in a season. This combined with his pretty good FT% (79%)at Pitt gives me confidence that his shot it a lot better than he showed in his one year at college. I don't have any of that to lean on with Isiah. He may not pop as much as Isiah but I think the skill set he has now is easier to build upon than the one Isiah has. Isiah would have to become a higher volume shooter in midrange and from 3 to be a complete PG in today's NBA.
I have more faith he is a decent catch and shoot player as an off guard than Collier, and I don't see Collier being good enough to be the lead guard when playing next to IQ/Barnes.
Like I mentioned/alluded to, Bub "finding his shot" was almost always a turnaround, step-back or pull-up jumper. I think we may just differ on the skill set we want out of our lead ball-handlers. For me, you need to be able to collapse the defence to some degree which Bub just doesn't do. I can't think of any effective offences run by point guards in his mold.
Also, Collier shot the exact same percentage as Bub at highschool (38%), which is obviously a closer line, so again, I don't see how folks are so confident he's going to be some knock-down 3pt shooter and Collier is going to struggle. In addition, his shooting off the catch looks much weirder/slower than off-the-dribble. He's also not much of a cutter, and is just ok at attacking close-outs, so I don't share the optimism you have with his off-ball potential.
Of the two, I just think Collier brings so much more to the table and can step in as your back-up pg and lead second units. USC's spacing sucked, you put shooters around him and instant offence. You worry about fit with the starting line-up only when you've got the talent. we're not there yet.