Post#88 » by lessthanjake » Wed Jun 26, 2024 9:51 pm
I think some of what’s going on here is just that we have impact data for all of Garnett’s career and not for most of Robinson’s and Malone’s. Garnett’s impact data looks extremely good, and we can’t really just assume Robinson’s and Malone’s full career impact data would look as good (though we do have some pre-play-by-play on-off data that suggests Robinson might). It’s not exactly a completely fair reason to put one player ahead of the other—after all, it basically amounts to saying Garnett wins a competition that the other two can’t really fully compete in. But I do think it makes some sense, since our baseline assumption probably shouldn’t be that the other two had impact numbers as good as Garnett’s. At the very least, impact data gives us more reason to be confident of a high ranking for Garnett, and that’s basically potentially enough to end up ranking him higher.
The other thing is that Garnett is the only one with a title as his team’s best player. It’s a little harsh to Robinson, since he wasn’t really much behind Duncan in 1999, but it’s nevertheless true in most peoples’ eyes, and I think that matters to people.
And then we get to longevity. There, Garnett beats out Robinson by a good deal, but does not beat out Malone. But then the problem here is that Robinson is the one that’s closer on the two things I mentioned above. It’s Robinson who looks like he probably was actually super great in impact too (with extremely high on-off data in 1994-1996, incredible WOWYR, really good RAPM even in his late or post-prime years, etc.). And it’s Robinson who at least arguably won a title as his team’s best player. We don’t really have as much indication that Karl Malone’s impact was quite as high, nor did Malone win a title. So Robinson is otherwise closer but loses ground with longevity, while Karl Malone may actually gain ground but had more ground to make up.
Overall, I’m not convinced that Garnett actually was better, but I think that would be the general line of thinking as to why others might rank him above those guys.
OhayoKD wrote:Lebron contributes more to all the phases of play than Messi does. And he is of course a defensive anchor unlike messi.