lessthanjake wrote:Colbinii wrote:lessthanjake wrote:
2015 was a really significant outlier for LeBron in terms of rTS% in the playoffs.
Yes it was. Does it make him a worse player?Prior to the 2015 playoffs, LeBron had gone six years without having a negative rTS% series, and then had a negative rTS% in every single series in 2015, followed by only having one negative rTS% series in the next five years. That’s a big deal! I think it’s fine to point to playoff rORTG as a counterpoint to that. The 2015 Cavs did have a higher playoff rORTG that year than LeBron’s teams had in the other years in consideration here (despite injuries to major players during the playoffs). But rORTG is a function of much more than just what LeBron James does. If his team had a better rORTG in a series where he shot abnormally badly, then it’s likely his teammates simply made up for it by doing abnormally well in some way.
For instance, his teammates shot super well from three against the Bulls and Hawks.
That isn't how it works. There isn't only A [LeBron's TS%] and B [LeBron's teammates shooting]. Context is important here.
Who is dictating the offense? LeBron James
Who is making a majority of the decisions? LeBron James
Cleveland Cavaliers 3P% LeBron James ON in EC PS: 35.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 3P% LeBron James OFF in EC PS: 34.6%
LeBron James teammates shooting isn't mutually exclusive from LeBron James' impact on an offense.
Another point of note is the Cavaliers make many more assisted shots when on the court with LeBron James. Whether this is a direct assist from LeBron James or LeBron James creating a 4v3 by driving and the team making the correct pass is a shot created from the driving of LeBron James.Mozgov and Thompson were also pretty dominant on the offensive boards during those playoffs. And I believe the 2015 Cavs offense in the playoffs actually had positive rORTG even in minutes LeBron was off the court, which definitely was abnormal, particularly under the injury circumstances. These sorts of things happen in small samples, and they really don’t have to mean that the team’s best player was playing better than other years despite the individual stats indicating that he really wasn’t.
So, let's just say that LeBron's rTS% is something we really want to hone in on. We want to ignore all the terrific playmaking, difficult shot diet, incredible passing and incredible rim pressure LeBron puts on a defense. Let's do all that--ignore it all, chalk LeBron up to a neutral offensive player.
LeBron is--in his post-season minutes in the EC--outscoring opponents by an incredible amount. He still has a Net Rtg of +8.9.
Regarding defense, the Cavaliers defense was excellent. They held all opponents below their RS Ortg.
And, going a bit further on why I value the 2015 season: I don't really have scoring efficiency as LeBron's most important attribute. That is to say, I think LeBron can still have an ATG impact by volume scoring + elite playmaking + elite defense. He can still have a tremendous impact on a game by taking a larger scoring load + defensive responsibility + defensive role + offensive facilitator. When he is getting +rTS%, it's when we see LeBron getting seasons that are very much, in my eyes, GOAT level peaks. 2015 is similar to 2011 in that regard where his rTS% does take a hit but his overall impact is still overall ATG level.
Yes, scoring efficiency isn’t the only thing LeBron does on offense. But it’s undeniably a big deal. And this thread is about comparing LeBron to LeBron, not comparing LeBron to some hypothetical average player. So it’s not enough to just say that you his creation outweighs the scoring inefficiency. You’d have to posit that his creation in 2015 was abnormally better than his own creation in other years, such that it makes up for him having been substantially worse than normal in scoring efficiency. And do you think that’s the case? I suppose you could try to make that case, by pointing out that the 2015 Cavs’ playoff rORTG was better than LeBron’s team’s playoff rORTG in 2006, 2007, 2008, or 2011. But do you genuinely think that that’s because LeBron was a substantially better creator in 2015 than in those other years, or do you think it’s perhaps just caused by the fairly unremarkable fact that you can get positive variance from a supporting cast in small samples?
What are you talking about?
Let's back-up.
I said 2015/2011/2008 are all ATG peaks and listed the levels of players it is similar to.