Hair Canada wrote:Okay, for all of you who still think we're in the 1990s and you just look at players' traditional stats and make a judgement call, newsflash: there's something now called advanced stats that can tell us a bit more about players and their worth.
I see everyone here celebrating the Raptors having poeltl on a contract that is 19 million instead of Hartenstein's 29 million and deducing that the Thunder wildely overpaid.
Well, some people already mentioned the wildely different situations (a lottery team vs. a team in position to take over the West and may the league) and you can add the declining contract structure for Hartenstein and the team option on the third year.
But how about the comparison itself (between Poeltl and Hartenstein)? After all, two White European centers with similar size, who can't really shoot, are not elite athletes, and don't score in bunches.
Well, offensively, Hartenstein is a more efficient player. He's a much better FT shooter and his TS% is also better (4th in the league for players with at least 40 games and at least 20 mintues per game. He's also a better offensive rebounder (second in offensive rebound rate in the league, behind Clint Capela). And for my moeny, he's also a better passer and ball mover than Peoltl.
But the big difference between them is on the defensive end. Hartenstein last year had the second-best defensive EPM in the league (behind Jonathan Isaac). Poeltl if you wondered, was not among the top 150. Hart is an elite rim defender, puts a body on opposing bigs, plays smart, and grabs rebounds. In short, everything the Thunder were missing last year against the Maveriks (Lively and Gafford outrebounded Chet and J-Will 22-5 in the deciding game 6 of the Western semifinals).
And for those who think that the Thudner just paid this for a backup center to Chet, that's also silly. Yes there's a chance Hartenstein doesn't start. But there's no reason he can't play alongside Chet for long stretches. And against teams like Denver, the Timberwolves, and Dallas, he and Chet can also be closing games. Chet played the 4 in college next to a center who couldn't shoot (Drew Timme) and looked great. He can shoot, space the game, and create, and together they make a formidable defensive frontcourt.
The Thunder now have maximum lineup flexibility (And endless depth). You wanna play small? put in the starting-5 from last year, but now with Caruso instead of Giddey, so that oposing centers can't cheat on him anymore. Wanna play big? Shai-Caruso-J-Dub-Chet-Hartenstein is as big as they come and as defensively talented has you have in the league (Shai, Caruso, and Hartenstein were all top-12 in the league in DBPM last year, and Chet and J-Dub were already great and should only improve).
For my moeny, they are the team to beat in the West and real title contenders with how thin the Celtics bench is.
A few comments. Hartenstein is black.
Second, he played on a thibs team with solid defenders at all positions.
Third, OKC did the right thing by choosing to pay him a front loaded contract instead of paying for poeltl’s contract using draft and player capital. They made the right choice for them.
Yeah, OKC is gonna be amazing next year.
I believe in Masai.