babyjax13 wrote:Accolades don't really count for much to me because they aren't measurable impact, just recognition of impact (they count some for certain uses).
Lauri has a pretty significant edge re: offensive impact which is why +/- metrics don't differentiate the two. There also doesn't appear to be a significant difference w/rebounding. Every argument you could use to excuse why KAT's rebounding rate has gone down is one you can use for Lauri why Lauri isn't grabbing more than 9 per game (because we do have some excellent rebounders next to him and he plays a significant amount of time out of position, etc.).
Better for longer? Yes, absolutely I'll concede that in the past KAT has had better seasons and he has been a very good player for longer.
Better now? It's not clear. I think an argument that KAT is clearly better has to rely on seasons that are - at this point - pretty far in the past (from 17-18 through 20-21 KAT put together 3 seasons where his per-game impact was *clearly* better than Lauri's and I think 21-22 also grades out better). I also don't think that Lauri has quite hit his peak, so there is some marginal upside there, too.
Utah has also been pretty blatant about testing Lauri to tank at the end of the season, so take that for what you will, but I don't think you can say that KAT has demonstrated that he can play 'banged up' any more than Lauri has when they play almost the same # of games per season.
I don't know why, but people don't seem to respect Lauri's game. It's not a blatant "he sucks" like Minnesota fans are used to hearing about Towns and Utah fans used to hear about Gobert, but more of a "he doesn't exist" disrespect.
I know I'm making assumptions here, but I think the hesitance for Timberwolves fans around Markkanen (away from the contract) is partially because I don't think people fully understand what he has become as a player.
When people (even Wolves fans) talk about Towns, they say he needs to foul less, turn the ball over less, get in the corners more, increase 3-point volume. These are all areas where Lauri has the potential to be an upgrade. Not if he improves; if he holds steady with what he's done in his career.
Fouls: Towns career-low is 2.9 fouls per36 in 2016-17; Markkanen career-high is 2.6 in 2017-18.
Turnovers: Towns is over 3 turnovers per36 in 6 straight years; Markkanen career-high is 2.0.
Corner 3s: Towns has attempted 11.5% of career 3-pointers from the corner at 40.4%; Markkanen 16.4% of 3FGAs from corner at 42.7%
3-point volume: Towns averages 4.5 3PA per 36 in career, only one year over 7 3PA per 36; Markkanen averages 7.7 3PA per 36 in career and over 7 3PA per 36 in every year