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Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4

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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1401 » by Ben » Sun Jul 7, 2024 10:41 pm

GoSixersBro wrote:
youngcrev wrote:
GoSixersBro wrote:
If that was even remotely true we could pencil in the 2025 second round exit today.


You think Oubre and Martin are better than him I presume? I don't think the league agrees with that evaluation. He's a more limited offensive player, but is better at the skills that are more valued when it comes to being a role player (catch and shoot 3s and defense)


Maybe if he was actually still a top threat from three you could make that argument, but no, he's not helping this team in a playoff series more than Oubre. I don't even care for comparing the two, but my point is we are literally **** if he's our consensus 4th best player.


Just to amplify your last point: any team on which DFS is arguably the 4th-best player is not going to be worth a darn, unless the team's top 3 are the league's top 3 superstars. He's mediocre at best.

Take a look at this past season's Celtics: their top 4 were Taytum, Brown, Porzingis and White, with #3 and #4 interchangeable depending on how one views things. Then maybe Horford and Holiday, with Pritchard still in the mix. We're at the top 7 players and we still haven't gotten to someone as mediocre as DFS.

Caleb Martin is already being overvalued by some in terms of what he's likely to bring-- he's never been as good as Derrick White was before he went to the Celtics-- but hopefully Martin can still plug some holes and provide value. We don't need ALSO to be over-hyping DFS as some kind of missing link, a guy whose value warrants entering financial straits. He might be the fourth-best player on a bad team, not one with title aspirations.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1402 » by the_process » Sun Jul 7, 2024 10:52 pm

NearingZero wrote:
the_process wrote:With these new trading rules, I bet at some point in the near future we're going to see more teams going to a kind of standardized salary scale, where it's easier to match salaries at 100% so neither team gets hard capped because of a trade.

Because the idea of taking a dollar more back in a trade hard capping you at the 1st apron is ridiculous.

This is a great point. It's basically impossible now for 2 teams to make a trade without one of them getting hard-capped.

It wouldn't exactly be a simple thing to work out though because of year-to-year salary increases.


Does someone know the formula for if you have a 4 year 32M contract with 5% annual raises, what is the 1st year salary? I know there has to be a formula for this, but Googling it is not working for me :lol:
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1403 » by youngcrev » Sun Jul 7, 2024 10:55 pm

Ben wrote:
GoSixersBro wrote:
youngcrev wrote:
You think Oubre and Martin are better than him I presume? I don't think the league agrees with that evaluation. He's a more limited offensive player, but is better at the skills that are more valued when it comes to being a role player (catch and shoot 3s and defense)


Maybe if he was actually still a top threat from three you could make that argument, but no, he's not helping this team in a playoff series more than Oubre. I don't even care for comparing the two, but my point is we are literally **** if he's our consensus 4th best player.


Just to amplify your last point: any team on which DFS is arguably the 4th-best player is not going to be worth a darn, unless the team's top 3 are the league's top 3 superstars. He's mediocre at best.

Take a look at this past season's Celtics: their top 4 were Taytum, Brown, Porzingis and White, with #3 and #4 interchangeable depending on how one views things. Then maybe Horford and Holiday, with Pritchard still in the mix. We're at the top 7 players and we still haven't gotten to someone as mediocre as DFS.

Caleb Martin is already being overvalued by some in terms of what he's likely to bring-- he's never been as good as Derrick White was before he went to the Celtics-- but hopefully Martin can still plug some holes and provide value. We don't need ALSO to be over-hyping DFS as some kind of missing link, a guy whose value warrants entering financial straits. He might be the fourth-best player on a bad team, not one with title aspirations.


I get that the Celtics have become the measuring stick... But like, we can't poopoo every deal that doesn't automatically make us better than the best team in the league. DFS is a quality role player and would help tremendously with matching up with the Celtics wings defensively.

Would I prefer a better player that moved the needle more? Absolutely. But I'm not turning my nose up at helpful playoff caliber rotation pieces.

Our top-3 is going to have to outperform their top-3, because we're not getting anything close to their 4th and 5th best guys.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1404 » by TorturedFan76 » Sun Jul 7, 2024 10:58 pm

the_process wrote:
NearingZero wrote:
the_process wrote:With these new trading rules, I bet at some point in the near future we're going to see more teams going to a kind of standardized salary scale, where it's easier to match salaries at 100% so neither team gets hard capped because of a trade.

Because the idea of taking a dollar more back in a trade hard capping you at the 1st apron is ridiculous.

This is a great point. It's basically impossible now for 2 teams to make a trade without one of them getting hard-capped.

It wouldn't exactly be a simple thing to work out though because of year-to-year salary increases.


Does someone know the formula for if you have a 4 year 32M contract with 5% annual raises, what is the 1st year salary? I know there has to be a formula for this, but Googling it is not working for me :lol:

ChatGPT did the math for us


Year 1: $7.42 million
Year 2: $7.79 million
Year 3: $8.18 million
Year 4: $8.59 million
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1405 » by youngcrev » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:03 pm

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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1406 » by Black Mage » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:14 pm

Devin Carter having shoulder surgery. Hope it's nothing serious; I know a few folks were hoping he'd fall. We might have dodged a bullet.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1407 » by jstross » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:17 pm

Spotrac NBA has pretty good estimates on contracts.
the_process wrote:
NearingZero wrote:
the_process wrote:With these new trading rules, I bet at some point in the near future we're going to see more teams going to a kind of standardized salary scale, where it's easier to match salaries at 100% so neither team gets hard capped because of a trade.

Because the idea of taking a dollar more back in a trade hard capping you at the 1st apron is ridiculous.

This is a great point. It's basically impossible now for 2 teams to make a trade without one of them getting hard-capped.

It wouldn't exactly be a simple thing to work out though because of year-to-year salary increases.


Does someone know the formula for if you have a 4 year 32M contract with 5% annual raises, what is the 1st year salary? I know there has to be a formula for this, but Googling it is not working for me :lol:
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1408 » by youngcrev » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:18 pm

Black Mage wrote:Devin Carter having shoulder surgery. Hope it's nothing serious; I know a few folks were hoping he'd fall. We might have dodged a bullet.


I bet he's still in the rotation before McCain :lol:
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1409 » by jstross » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:25 pm

So it looks like the final number of Caleb MArtin's contract is $35 million not $32. Can this be confirmed?
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1410 » by ProcessDoctor » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:33 pm

NearingZero wrote:
ProcessDoctor wrote:
zaz102 wrote:Besides the fact that it doesn't make much logical sense from what I think I understand about the cap rules, I don't think I would blow my last move on DFS unless he was free and even then I would have to think about it.

They have the luxury of not being in a rush. Unless you feel there's a really good deal for what you're looking for, wait until we get closer to the trade deadline.


I think it will be tough to find a better "last" move (assuming we are acquiring one player, are not aggregating players in said trade, and want to stay under the 2nd apron). You're looking at guys about $18ish mil or less (depending on our final vet min signings) who are made available by their teams. With all this in mind, it's easy to see why DFS's name is being brought up.

I think $18M is definitely too high without moving someone else (at least McCain, possibly Oubre).

I expect Caleb Martin's Apron Salary to be about $9.3M this year, give or take a few hundred thousand. I believe all incentives, likely or not, are included in Apron Salary. Given reports of a max value of 4/40 for Martin, and assuming 5% annual increases with the incentives spread evenly, about $9.3M in the first year would be the expected amount.

In that case, adding Bona and 3 vet minimums to the already reported salaries would give $173.4M for 13 players, leaving about $15.5M below the 2nd apron.


If that's roughly the cutoff, then here's the list as of now (salaries per Hoopshype). Does not include rookie contract guys. Some can shoot, some can't. Some are remotely available, others aren't.

Deni Avdija
Dorian Finney-Smith
Naz Reid
Obi Toppin
Grant Williams
Bobby Portis
Brandon Clarke
Kelly Olynyk
Wendell Carter Jr.
Larry Nance Jr.
Maxi Kleber
Chris Boucher
Jarred Vanderbilt
Georges Niang
Kyle Anderson
2025-2026 Philadelphia 76ers:

Maxey/McCain/Lowry
Edgecombe/Grimes/Gordon
George/Oubre/Edwards
Watford/Barlow/Walker
Embiid/Drummond/Bona/Broome
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1411 » by NearingZero » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:44 pm

ProcessDoctor wrote:
NearingZero wrote:
ProcessDoctor wrote:
I think it will be tough to find a better "last" move (assuming we are acquiring one player, are not aggregating players in said trade, and want to stay under the 2nd apron). You're looking at guys about $18ish mil or less (depending on our final vet min signings) who are made available by their teams. With all this in mind, it's easy to see why DFS's name is being brought up.

I think $18M is definitely too high without moving someone else (at least McCain, possibly Oubre).

I expect Caleb Martin's Apron Salary to be about $9.3M this year, give or take a few hundred thousand. I believe all incentives, likely or not, are included in Apron Salary. Given reports of a max value of 4/40 for Martin, and assuming 5% annual increases with the incentives spread evenly, about $9.3M in the first year would be the expected amount.

In that case, adding Bona and 3 vet minimums to the already reported salaries would give $173.4M for 13 players, leaving about $15.5M below the 2nd apron.


If that's roughly the cutoff, then here's the list as of now (salaries per Hoopshype). Does not include rookie contract guys. Some can shoot, some can't. Some are remotely available, others aren't.

Deni Avdija
Dorian Finney-Smith
Naz Reid
Obi Toppin
Grant Williams
Bobby Portis
Brandon Clarke
Kelly Olynyk
Wendell Carter Jr.
Larry Nance Jr.
Maxi Kleber
Chris Boucher
Jarred Vanderbilt
Georges Niang
Kyle Anderson

I've mentioned before that I think going right up to the apron with 14 contracts is too aggressive. But I don't know enough of the nitty-gritty to know for sure.

I'd feel safe at around $11-11.5M for the 14th contract because that's two more minimum's worth of flexibility. But that would eliminate a lot of those options, unfortunately. Undoubtedly the team will have a much better grasp of exactly what they can pull off.

One guy that's well below those numbers that I'm curious about is Trey Lyles at $8M. Maybe not readily available right now if the Kings are trying to compete, though.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1412 » by FireMorey » Sun Jul 7, 2024 11:55 pm

Black Mage wrote:Devin Carter having shoulder surgery. Hope it's nothing serious; I know a few folks were hoping he'd fall. We might have dodged a bullet.


Probably why he fell in the first place. In addition to him being like 6'2.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1413 » by ProcessDoctor » Mon Jul 8, 2024 1:10 am

NearingZero wrote:
ProcessDoctor wrote:
NearingZero wrote:I think $18M is definitely too high without moving someone else (at least McCain, possibly Oubre).

I expect Caleb Martin's Apron Salary to be about $9.3M this year, give or take a few hundred thousand. I believe all incentives, likely or not, are included in Apron Salary. Given reports of a max value of 4/40 for Martin, and assuming 5% annual increases with the incentives spread evenly, about $9.3M in the first year would be the expected amount.

In that case, adding Bona and 3 vet minimums to the already reported salaries would give $173.4M for 13 players, leaving about $15.5M below the 2nd apron.


If that's roughly the cutoff, then here's the list as of now (salaries per Hoopshype). Does not include rookie contract guys. Some can shoot, some can't. Some are remotely available, others aren't.

Deni Avdija
Dorian Finney-Smith
Naz Reid
Obi Toppin
Grant Williams
Bobby Portis
Brandon Clarke
Kelly Olynyk
Wendell Carter Jr.
Larry Nance Jr.
Maxi Kleber
Chris Boucher
Jarred Vanderbilt
Georges Niang
Kyle Anderson

I've mentioned before that I think going right up to the apron with 14 contracts is too aggressive. But I don't know enough of the nitty-gritty to know for sure.

I'd feel safe at around $11-11.5M for the 14th contract because that's two more minimum's worth of flexibility. But that would eliminate a lot of those options, unfortunately. Undoubtedly the team will have a much better grasp of exactly what they can pull off.

One guy that's well below those numbers that I'm curious about is Trey Lyles at $8M. Maybe not readily available right now if the Kings are trying to compete, though.


Yea, we'll see what the team's comfort zone is if they do the KJ balloon thingy.
2025-2026 Philadelphia 76ers:

Maxey/McCain/Lowry
Edgecombe/Grimes/Gordon
George/Oubre/Edwards
Watford/Barlow/Walker
Embiid/Drummond/Bona/Broome
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1414 » by jstross » Mon Jul 8, 2024 1:16 am

If the KJ balloon contract happens when would you expect the shoe to drop?
ProcessDoctor wrote:
NearingZero wrote:
ProcessDoctor wrote:
If that's roughly the cutoff, then here's the list as of now (salaries per Hoopshype). Does not include rookie contract guys. Some can shoot, some can't. Some are remotely available, others aren't.

Deni Avdija
Dorian Finney-Smith
Naz Reid
Obi Toppin
Grant Williams
Bobby Portis
Brandon Clarke
Kelly Olynyk
Wendell Carter Jr.
Larry Nance Jr.
Maxi Kleber
Chris Boucher
Jarred Vanderbilt
Georges Niang
Kyle Anderson

I've mentioned before that I think going right up to the apron with 14 contracts is too aggressive. But I don't know enough of the nitty-gritty to know for sure.

I'd feel safe at around $11-11.5M for the 14th contract because that's two more minimum's worth of flexibility. But that would eliminate a lot of those options, unfortunately. Undoubtedly the team will have a much better grasp of exactly what they can pull off.

One guy that's well below those numbers that I'm curious about is Trey Lyles at $8M. Maybe not readily available right now if the Kings are trying to compete, though.


Yea, we'll see what the team's comfort zone is if they do the KJ balloon thingy.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1415 » by FireMorey » Mon Jul 8, 2024 1:41 am

PG’s deal has a 15% trade kicker.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1416 » by ProcessDoctor » Mon Jul 8, 2024 1:58 am

jstross wrote:If the KJ balloon contract happens when would you expect the shoe to drop?
ProcessDoctor wrote:
NearingZero wrote:I've mentioned before that I think going right up to the apron with 14 contracts is too aggressive. But I don't know enough of the nitty-gritty to know for sure.

I'd feel safe at around $11-11.5M for the 14th contract because that's two more minimum's worth of flexibility. But that would eliminate a lot of those options, unfortunately. Undoubtedly the team will have a much better grasp of exactly what they can pull off.

One guy that's well below those numbers that I'm curious about is Trey Lyles at $8M. Maybe not readily available right now if the Kings are trying to compete, though.


Yea, we'll see what the team's comfort zone is if they do the KJ balloon thingy.


After January 15th, assuming they balloon KJ.
2025-2026 Philadelphia 76ers:

Maxey/McCain/Lowry
Edgecombe/Grimes/Gordon
George/Oubre/Edwards
Watford/Barlow/Walker
Embiid/Drummond/Bona/Broome
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1417 » by 76ersfan96 » Mon Jul 8, 2024 2:12 am

Embiid wearing a knee brace still at the Olympics, precautionary or you think stability is still an issue?
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1418 » by FireMorey » Mon Jul 8, 2024 2:16 am

Meniscus isn't really about stability, it's more about cushioning of the knee. My guess is it's precautionary. Probably relieves some stress put on it.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1419 » by Ben » Mon Jul 8, 2024 2:31 am

youngcrev wrote:
Ben wrote:
GoSixersBro wrote:
Maybe if he was actually still a top threat from three you could make that argument, but no, he's not helping this team in a playoff series more than Oubre. I don't even care for comparing the two, but my point is we are literally **** if he's our consensus 4th best player.


Just to amplify your last point: any team on which DFS is arguably the 4th-best player is not going to be worth a darn, unless the team's top 3 are the league's top 3 superstars. He's mediocre at best.

Take a look at this past season's Celtics: their top 4 were Taytum, Brown, Porzingis and White, with #3 and #4 interchangeable depending on how one views things. Then maybe Horford and Holiday, with Pritchard still in the mix. We're at the top 7 players and we still haven't gotten to someone as mediocre as DFS.

Caleb Martin is already being overvalued by some in terms of what he's likely to bring-- he's never been as good as Derrick White was before he went to the Celtics-- but hopefully Martin can still plug some holes and provide value. We don't need ALSO to be over-hyping DFS as some kind of missing link, a guy whose value warrants entering financial straits. He might be the fourth-best player on a bad team, not one with title aspirations.


I get that the Celtics have become the measuring stick... But like, we can't poopoo every deal that doesn't automatically make us better than the best team in the league. DFS is a quality role player and would help tremendously with matching up with the Celtics wings defensively.

Would I prefer a better player that moved the needle more? Absolutely. But I'm not turning my nose up at helpful playoff caliber rotation pieces.

Our top-3 is going to have to outperform their top-3, because we're not getting anything close to their 4th and 5th best guys.


I don't mean to get in your face about this, 'cause we're both rooting for the same thing and I know you just want the team to be better.

So please take the following in that spirit of a fan just trying to get at the truth:

(1) If all that matters is for our top 3 to outperform all other teams' top 3s, then it doesn't matter whether we trade assets for DFS (and it doesn't matter much whatever else we do).

(2) If a lot of other stuff DOES indeed matter besides how our top 3 perform (as I think will be the case), then we can't be getting tricked into overspending for mediocre role players.

(3) Back to my original point, if your 4th best player is mediocre-- not even a good NBA player-- then you're pretty much screwed. The 2022 champion Warriors' 4th through 7th players were, in no particular order, Kevon Looney, Jonathan Kuminga, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green, all of whom are good NBA players. The 2021 champion Bucks' 4th and 5th best players (in whichever order you prefer) were Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez, who at the time were both good NBA players.

To find a title caliber team with a 4th player as "meh" as DFS, I think you'd have to go all the way back to the 2012 Miami Heat and Udonis Haslem (or Mario Chalmers, take your pick), and that Heat team had two of the top 5 or 6 players in the past 25 years as well as a third who was the league's top 1 or 2 at his position, all in their primes.

In short: if we're to have any chance at a title in the next year or two we're going to need to acquire another good player-- perhaps with a KJ Martin S&T -- or else need one of our existing crew to take a big step up (Oubre or Council or Martin, although I doubt that Martin's going to become an entirely different-level player than he's been for the past several years). It won't be accomplished by adding one or more mediocre players.
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Re: Sixers Offseason Thread Part 4 

Post#1420 » by jstross » Mon Jul 8, 2024 2:45 am

Obviously upgrading a 4th starter would be ideal, but the Sixers primary issue is when Embiid sits they get destroyed. They need quality minutes when he's on the bench. Drummond is a big upgrade over what they had last year, but is it enough? They're almost there.
Ben wrote:
youngcrev wrote:
Ben wrote:
Just to amplify your last point: any team on which DFS is arguably the 4th-best player is not going to be worth a darn, unless the team's top 3 are the league's top 3 superstars. He's mediocre at best.

Take a look at this past season's Celtics: their top 4 were Taytum, Brown, Porzingis and White, with #3 and #4 interchangeable depending on how one views things. Then maybe Horford and Holiday, with Pritchard still in the mix. We're at the top 7 players and we still haven't gotten to someone as mediocre as DFS.

Caleb Martin is already being overvalued by some in terms of what he's likely to bring-- he's never been as good as Derrick White was before he went to the Celtics-- but hopefully Martin can still plug some holes and provide value. We don't need ALSO to be over-hyping DFS as some kind of missing link, a guy whose value warrants entering financial straits. He might be the fourth-best player on a bad team, not one with title aspirations.


I get that the Celtics have become the measuring stick... But like, we can't poopoo every deal that doesn't automatically make us better than the best team in the league. DFS is a quality role player and would help tremendously with matching up with the Celtics wings defensively.

Would I prefer a better player that moved the needle more? Absolutely. But I'm not turning my nose up at helpful playoff caliber rotation pieces.

Our top-3 is going to have to outperform their top-3, because we're not getting anything close to their 4th and 5th best guys.


I don't mean to get in your face about this, 'cause we're both rooting for the same thing and I know you just want the team to be better.

So please take the following in that spirit of a fan just trying to get at the truth:

(1) If all that matters is for our top 3 to outperform all other teams' top 3s, then it doesn't matter whether we trade assets for DFS (and it doesn't matter much whatever else we do).

(2) If a lot of other stuff DOES indeed matter besides how our top 3 perform (as I think will be the case), then we can't be getting tricked into overspending for mediocre role players.

(3) Back to my original point, if your 4th best player is mediocre-- not even a good NBA player-- then you're pretty much screwed. The 2022 champion Warriors' 4th through 7th players were, in no particular order, Kevon Looney, Jonathan Kuminga, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green, all of whom are good NBA players. The 2021 champion Bucks' 4th and 5th best players (in whichever order you prefer) were Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez, who at the time were both good NBA players.

To find a title caliber team with a 4th player as "meh" as DFS, I think you'd have to go all the way back to the 2012 Miami Heat and Udonis Haslem (or Mario Chalmers, take your pick), and that Heat team had two of the top 5 or 6 players in the past 25 years as well as a third who was the league's top 1 or 2 at his position, all in their primes.

In short: if we're to have any chance at a title in the next year or two we're going to need to acquire another good player-- perhaps with a KJ Martin S&T -- or else need one of our existing crew to take a big step up (Oubre or Council or Martin, although I doubt that Martin's going to become an entirely different-level player than he's been for the past several years). It won't be accomplished by adding one or more mediocre players.

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