Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA

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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#41 » by 70sFan » Tue Jul 23, 2024 11:28 am

Tetlak wrote:
FrodoBaggins wrote:
MrBigShot wrote:There is absolutely no way bill russell is putting up 24ppg in today's nba. His career high ppg is ~19ppg in a league where the average team was scoring more than even today's scoring centric nba. And he did it on fairly low field goal percentages for his type of shot selection, and was a pretty bad FT shooter for his career. He was limited offensively and the gulf in talent between now and then is huge.

Realistically, Bill Russell in today's NBA is a rich man's Ben Wallace. An HoFer and an all time great, but not the player some people prop him up to be on here, and certainly not a legitimate GOAT contender.
One_and_Done wrote:Who would the archetype for Russell even be? Even if he was Gobert, Gobert is not a top 10 player.


These are pretty weak arguments. I'm not convinced.

At least present an argument that goes into depth like I did in the OP. Such as analyzing specific skills, play types, and historical/modern circumstances influenced by the style of play and rules and interpretations.


Honestly the weakest argument in this whole thread is you projecting that a guy who shot 43% from the floor , probably entirely in the restricted area, would deserve more usage today, and score with any semblance of efficiency.

Russell didn't limit his offensive game to restricted area only.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#42 » by 70sFan » Tue Jul 23, 2024 11:29 am

FarBeyondDriven wrote:He had zero scoring acumen. No post moves, no jumper and couldn't hit FTs.

How to say you haven't watched a single minute of Russell's games without saying that.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#43 » by FrodoBaggins » Tue Jul 23, 2024 12:05 pm

RealGM poster Dipper 13 stat tracked nearly 500+ possessions of Bill Russell from available footage back in 2013. This is a small sample of games but it's cool to look at.

Dipper 13 wrote:What stands out to me the most is Russell's defensive rebounding. He looked especially dominant there in the 1964 game. Also Oscar Robertson is completely indefensible in a pick & roll situation (87.5%), especially compared to the others (18.2%) in this sample. The same goes for Wilt finishing at the rim (85.7%), compared to the others (25.4%).

For those who prefer the linear pace adjusted statistics (which I don't), this is what Russell averaged in the footage, adjusting for 2012-13 pace (92.0).

11.7 pts, 19.5 rbs, 3.8 ast, 5.5 blk, 2.3 tov, 1.0 stl, 59.5% FG, 57% FT, 60.5% TS


At Rim: 21/28 FG (75.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 24/36 (66.6%)
Mid-Range: 1/6 FG (16.6%)

Shot Charts:

Spoiler:
Image
Image



List Of Games:

Spoiler:
1962 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1963 Finals Gm. 6 Celtics vs Lakers
1964 Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1965 Finals Gm. 1 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Royals (2nd Half)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 5 Royals vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1967 Playoffs Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs Lakers (4th Quarter)




Various Statistics:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 11
Loose Ball & Off. Foul: 4
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 2
Outside Paint - 29
In Paint - 12 (At Rim) - 8
Turnovers: 12
Half Court Touches: 126
Team Possessions: 486 (This figure is the same for offense & defense)
Blocks: 29
Assists: 20
TO's Forced: 16
Steals: 5
FT: 12/21
Total Rebounds: 103
Off: 17
Def: 86

Spoiler:
*The P&R figures for Big O includes Wayne Embry who was 2/2 FG on assists from Oscar, with him drawing Russell out of position. Also nobody outside of Wilt would even attempt a low post shot against Russell. Very seldom did they even post him up at all.

Pick & Roll: 9/19 FG (47.4%)
-Oscar:
7/8 FG (87.5%)

Isolation: 4/7 FG (57.1%)

Low Post: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4
-Wilt: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4

Help Defense/Rim Protector: 14/62 FG (22.6%) Fouls: 5


Spoiler:
*Team FG stats do not include his man's stats

FG allowed from opposing TEAM (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 15/59 FG (25.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 33/108 FG (30.5%)
Midrange: 69/193 FG (35.8%)


FG allowed from opposing TEAM (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 30/38 FG (78.9%)
In Paint (Overall): 31/43 FG (72.1%)
Midrange: 10/15 FG (66.6%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 19/26 FG (73.1%) *Includes putbacks on offensive boards
-Wilt: 12/14 FG (85.7%)

In Paint (Overall): 22/31 FG (71.0%)
-Wilt: 12/16 FG (75.0%)

Midrange: 10/21 FG (47.6%) *Includes baseline shots near basket area
-Wilt: 1/4 FG (25.0%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 0/1 FG (0.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 0/1 FG (0.0%)
Midrange: 0/0 FG


He also did 500+ possessions for Wilt as well:

Dipper 13 wrote:I realize this is a small sample size. But it is all that is available, unless someone can upload the 1973 game that was recently shown on MSG Network. I have used the following games:

Spoiler:
1964 NBA Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1967 EDF Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs. Lakers (4th Quarter)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Lakers vs. Knicks (Incomplete)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Knicks
1971 WCSF Gm. 6 Lakers vs. Bulls
Jan 9, 1972 - Lakers vs. Bucks
1972 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Knicks vs. Lakers (Incomplete)



Various statistics I kept track of:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 18
Loose Ball & Off Ball: 8
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 5
Outside Paint- 30
In Paint - 19 (At Rim) - 15
Half Court Touches: 172
Turnovers: 14
Team Offensive Possessions: 568
Blocks: 22
Assists: 26
TO's Forced: 13
Steals: 4
FT: 17/43
Total Rebounds: 104
Off: 34
Def: 70




Charts:

At Rim: 42/51 FG (82.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 42/61 FG (68.9%)
Midrange: 3/10 FG (30.0%)
Slam Dunk: 18/19 FG (94.7%)

Spoiler:
Image
Image





Adjusted for 2012-13 pace (92.0), this is what Wilt averaged in the specified games above:

17.3 pts, 16.8 rbs, 4.2 ast, 3.6 blk, 2.3 tov, 63.4 FG%, 39.5% FT, 59.5 TS%


To me it is clear that Wilt's team offenses in the early years were playing below capabilities in part due to his foul shooting, but also because they didn't get the ball into him enough. The culture back then was to push the tempo and get up as many shots as possible. Whereas to get the ball to Wilt you had to not necessarily slow the pace down, but make a concerted effort to get the ball in his hands, which goes against the culture. After all it is the main reason they lost both in 1966 & 1968. It's something I'm sure the guards had trouble doing in a half court setting, if not due to full court pressing defenses, then because of backcourt fouls, when all backcourt fouls resulted in a trip to the FT line. We all know what Coach Hannum told Wilt in 1967, but what did he tell the others? The ball goes inside every single time. Rookie Matt Guokas even noted how if you didn't get the ball to Wilt, you would be benched. Given the pace adjusted statistics above from all available Wilt games, there is no reason to believe that a high assist low turnover center couldn't get a teammate a good shot more often than not. He also could get himself a good shot too. Despite the trendy belief here, he actually had the ability to score points in the low post in professional basketball. Who would have thought? He only scored 28,212 pts from the field in his career during regular season & playoff competition, most of which came inside the paint.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#44 » by 70sFan » Tue Jul 23, 2024 12:07 pm

FrodoBaggins wrote:RealGM poster Dipper 13 stat tracked nearly 500+ possessions of Bill Russell from available footage back in 2013. This is a small sample of games but it's cool to look at.

Dipper 13 wrote:What stands out to me the most is Russell's defensive rebounding. He looked especially dominant there in the 1964 game. Also Oscar Robertson is completely indefensible in a pick & roll situation (87.5%), especially compared to the others (18.2%) in this sample. The same goes for Wilt finishing at the rim (85.7%), compared to the others (25.4%).

For those who prefer the linear pace adjusted statistics (which I don't), this is what Russell averaged in the footage, adjusting for 2012-13 pace (92.0).

11.7 pts, 19.5 rbs, 3.8 ast, 5.5 blk, 2.3 tov, 1.0 stl, 59.5% FG, 57% FT, 60.5% TS


At Rim: 21/28 FG (75.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 24/36 (66.6%)
Mid-Range: 1/6 FG (16.6%)

Shot Charts:

Spoiler:
Image
Image



List Of Games:

Spoiler:
1962 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1963 Finals Gm. 6 Celtics vs Lakers
1964 Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1965 Finals Gm. 1 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Royals (2nd Half)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 5 Royals vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1967 Playoffs Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs Lakers (4th Quarter)




Various Statistics:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 11
Loose Ball & Off. Foul: 4
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 2
Outside Paint - 29
In Paint - 12 (At Rim) - 8
Turnovers: 12
Half Court Touches: 126
Team Possessions: 486 (This figure is the same for offense & defense)
Blocks: 29
Assists: 20
TO's Forced: 16
Steals: 5
FT: 12/21
Total Rebounds: 103
Off: 17
Def: 86

Spoiler:
*The P&R figures for Big O includes Wayne Embry who was 2/2 FG on assists from Oscar, with him drawing Russell out of position. Also nobody outside of Wilt would even attempt a low post shot against Russell. Very seldom did they even post him up at all.

Pick & Roll: 9/19 FG (47.4%)
-Oscar:
7/8 FG (87.5%)

Isolation: 4/7 FG (57.1%)

Low Post: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4
-Wilt: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4

Help Defense/Rim Protector: 14/62 FG (22.6%) Fouls: 5


Spoiler:
*Team FG stats do not include his man's stats

FG allowed from opposing TEAM (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 15/59 FG (25.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 33/108 FG (30.5%)
Midrange: 69/193 FG (35.8%)


FG allowed from opposing TEAM (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 30/38 FG (78.9%)
In Paint (Overall): 31/43 FG (72.1%)
Midrange: 10/15 FG (66.6%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 19/26 FG (73.1%) *Includes putbacks on offensive boards
-Wilt: 12/14 FG (85.7%)

In Paint (Overall): 22/31 FG (71.0%)
-Wilt: 12/16 FG (75.0%)

Midrange: 10/21 FG (47.6%) *Includes baseline shots near basket area
-Wilt: 1/4 FG (25.0%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 0/1 FG (0.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 0/1 FG (0.0%)
Midrange: 0/0 FG


He also did 500+ possessions for Wilt as well:

Dipper 13 wrote:I realize this is a small sample size. But it is all that is available, unless someone can upload the 1973 game that was recently shown on MSG Network. I have used the following games:

Spoiler:
1964 NBA Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1967 EDF Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs. Lakers (4th Quarter)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Lakers vs. Knicks (Incomplete)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Knicks
1971 WCSF Gm. 6 Lakers vs. Bulls
Jan 9, 1972 - Lakers vs. Bucks
1972 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Knicks vs. Lakers (Incomplete)



Various statistics I kept track of:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 18
Loose Ball & Off Ball: 8
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 5
Outside Paint- 30
In Paint - 19 (At Rim) - 15
Half Court Touches: 172
Turnovers: 14
Team Offensive Possessions: 568
Blocks: 22
Assists: 26
TO's Forced: 13
Steals: 4
FT: 17/43
Total Rebounds: 104
Off: 34
Def: 70




Charts:

At Rim: 42/51 FG (82.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 42/61 FG (68.9%)
Midrange: 3/10 FG (30.0%)
Slam Dunk: 18/19 FG (94.7%)

Spoiler:
Image
Image





Adjusted for 2012-13 pace (92.0), this is what Wilt averaged in the specified games above:

17.3 pts, 16.8 rbs, 4.2 ast, 3.6 blk, 2.3 tov, 63.4 FG%, 39.5% FT, 59.5 TS%


To me it is clear that Wilt's team offenses in the early years were playing below capabilities in part due to his foul shooting, but also because they didn't get the ball into him enough. The culture back then was to push the tempo and get up as many shots as possible. Whereas to get the ball to Wilt you had to not necessarily slow the pace down, but make a concerted effort to get the ball in his hands, which goes against the culture. After all it is the main reason they lost both in 1966 & 1968. It's something I'm sure the guards had trouble doing in a half court setting, if not due to full court pressing defenses, then because of backcourt fouls, when all backcourt fouls resulted in a trip to the FT line. We all know what Coach Hannum told Wilt in 1967, but what did he tell the others? The ball goes inside every single time. Rookie Matt Guokas even noted how if you didn't get the ball to Wilt, you would be benched. Given the pace adjusted statistics above from all available Wilt games, there is no reason to believe that a high assist low turnover center couldn't get a teammate a good shot more often than not. He also could get himself a good shot too. Despite the trendy belief here, he actually had the ability to score points in the low post in professional basketball. Who would have thought? He only scored 28,212 pts from the field in his career during regular season & playoff competition, most of which came inside the paint.

I haven't finished Russell's tracking yet, but I have much more footage to work with than the great Dipper, so I hope to publish something about Bill in the future.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#45 » by hauntedcomputer » Tue Jul 23, 2024 12:15 pm

He was the greatest of all time at figuring out how to win, and I believe that would hold true in any era.

He's got rings, you've got asterisks.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#46 » by FrodoBaggins » Tue Jul 23, 2024 12:27 pm

70sFan wrote:
FrodoBaggins wrote:RealGM poster Dipper 13 stat tracked nearly 500+ possessions of Bill Russell from available footage back in 2013. This is a small sample of games but it's cool to look at.

Dipper 13 wrote:What stands out to me the most is Russell's defensive rebounding. He looked especially dominant there in the 1964 game. Also Oscar Robertson is completely indefensible in a pick & roll situation (87.5%), especially compared to the others (18.2%) in this sample. The same goes for Wilt finishing at the rim (85.7%), compared to the others (25.4%).

For those who prefer the linear pace adjusted statistics (which I don't), this is what Russell averaged in the footage, adjusting for 2012-13 pace (92.0).

11.7 pts, 19.5 rbs, 3.8 ast, 5.5 blk, 2.3 tov, 1.0 stl, 59.5% FG, 57% FT, 60.5% TS


At Rim: 21/28 FG (75.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 24/36 (66.6%)
Mid-Range: 1/6 FG (16.6%)

Shot Charts:

Spoiler:
Image
Image



List Of Games:

Spoiler:
1962 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1963 Finals Gm. 6 Celtics vs Lakers
1964 Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1965 Finals Gm. 1 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Royals (2nd Half)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 5 Royals vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1967 Playoffs Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs Lakers (4th Quarter)




Various Statistics:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 11
Loose Ball & Off. Foul: 4
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 2
Outside Paint - 29
In Paint - 12 (At Rim) - 8
Turnovers: 12
Half Court Touches: 126
Team Possessions: 486 (This figure is the same for offense & defense)
Blocks: 29
Assists: 20
TO's Forced: 16
Steals: 5
FT: 12/21
Total Rebounds: 103
Off: 17
Def: 86

Spoiler:
*The P&R figures for Big O includes Wayne Embry who was 2/2 FG on assists from Oscar, with him drawing Russell out of position. Also nobody outside of Wilt would even attempt a low post shot against Russell. Very seldom did they even post him up at all.

Pick & Roll: 9/19 FG (47.4%)
-Oscar:
7/8 FG (87.5%)

Isolation: 4/7 FG (57.1%)

Low Post: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4
-Wilt: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4

Help Defense/Rim Protector: 14/62 FG (22.6%) Fouls: 5


Spoiler:
*Team FG stats do not include his man's stats

FG allowed from opposing TEAM (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 15/59 FG (25.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 33/108 FG (30.5%)
Midrange: 69/193 FG (35.8%)


FG allowed from opposing TEAM (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 30/38 FG (78.9%)
In Paint (Overall): 31/43 FG (72.1%)
Midrange: 10/15 FG (66.6%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 19/26 FG (73.1%) *Includes putbacks on offensive boards
-Wilt: 12/14 FG (85.7%)

In Paint (Overall): 22/31 FG (71.0%)
-Wilt: 12/16 FG (75.0%)

Midrange: 10/21 FG (47.6%) *Includes baseline shots near basket area
-Wilt: 1/4 FG (25.0%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 0/1 FG (0.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 0/1 FG (0.0%)
Midrange: 0/0 FG


He also did 500+ possessions for Wilt as well:

Dipper 13 wrote:I realize this is a small sample size. But it is all that is available, unless someone can upload the 1973 game that was recently shown on MSG Network. I have used the following games:

Spoiler:
1964 NBA Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1967 EDF Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs. Lakers (4th Quarter)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Lakers vs. Knicks (Incomplete)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Knicks
1971 WCSF Gm. 6 Lakers vs. Bulls
Jan 9, 1972 - Lakers vs. Bucks
1972 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Knicks vs. Lakers (Incomplete)



Various statistics I kept track of:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 18
Loose Ball & Off Ball: 8
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 5
Outside Paint- 30
In Paint - 19 (At Rim) - 15
Half Court Touches: 172
Turnovers: 14
Team Offensive Possessions: 568
Blocks: 22
Assists: 26
TO's Forced: 13
Steals: 4
FT: 17/43
Total Rebounds: 104
Off: 34
Def: 70




Charts:

At Rim: 42/51 FG (82.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 42/61 FG (68.9%)
Midrange: 3/10 FG (30.0%)
Slam Dunk: 18/19 FG (94.7%)

Spoiler:
Image
Image





Adjusted for 2012-13 pace (92.0), this is what Wilt averaged in the specified games above:

17.3 pts, 16.8 rbs, 4.2 ast, 3.6 blk, 2.3 tov, 63.4 FG%, 39.5% FT, 59.5 TS%


To me it is clear that Wilt's team offenses in the early years were playing below capabilities in part due to his foul shooting, but also because they didn't get the ball into him enough. The culture back then was to push the tempo and get up as many shots as possible. Whereas to get the ball to Wilt you had to not necessarily slow the pace down, but make a concerted effort to get the ball in his hands, which goes against the culture. After all it is the main reason they lost both in 1966 & 1968. It's something I'm sure the guards had trouble doing in a half court setting, if not due to full court pressing defenses, then because of backcourt fouls, when all backcourt fouls resulted in a trip to the FT line. We all know what Coach Hannum told Wilt in 1967, but what did he tell the others? The ball goes inside every single time. Rookie Matt Guokas even noted how if you didn't get the ball to Wilt, you would be benched. Given the pace adjusted statistics above from all available Wilt games, there is no reason to believe that a high assist low turnover center couldn't get a teammate a good shot more often than not. He also could get himself a good shot too. Despite the trendy belief here, he actually had the ability to score points in the low post in professional basketball. Who would have thought? He only scored 28,212 pts from the field in his career during regular season & playoff competition, most of which came inside the paint.

I haven't finished Russell's tracking yet, but I have much more footage to work with than the great Dipper, so I hope to publish something about Bill in the future.

That's awesome. What's your assessment of Bill's finishing at the rim? I feel like his freakish combination of size, athleticism, and soft yet very strong hands would make him a serious problem in today's NBA. Just too many avenues to get to the rim for a guy like that.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#47 » by BarbaGrizz » Tue Jul 23, 2024 12:43 pm

Bill would be an above the rim, rich man Draymond Green. I can see a 15/15/6/2/3 averages for him with the ocasional triple double and 5x5s, but he would really shine in the advanced metrics
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#48 » by cupcakesnake » Tue Jul 23, 2024 12:54 pm

theonlyclutch wrote:To say that Russell can even begin to replicate Draymond/Giannis roles on offense must have not watched much of what Draymond/Giannis do in terms of handling the ball, especially through traffic. And needless to say, somebody who shot 44% FG, mostly in the paint with a big athletic advantage over his 1960s peers almost certainly does not have the 'touch' to become a high-efficency scorer today.


It's basically impossible to compare ball-handlers from the 60s and now because of how officiating has changed. Putting your hand on the top or side of the ball was called a carry. The advanced ball handling of today isn't sheerly a product of advancing skill, all those moves were illegal and not allowed to be developed. Cross overs were illegal, any kind of misdirection hesi, in-and-out dribble etc. etc. All you could do was pound the ball into the ground, change hands low to the ground, and wrap the ball behind your back (but even on that last one you had to be careful).

If we forced modern ball handlers to play with 60s rules, they'd all look like 60s ball handlers.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#49 » by cupcakesnake » Tue Jul 23, 2024 1:02 pm

One_and_Done wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Who would the archetype for Russell even be? Even if he was Gobert, Gobert is not a top 10 player.


What if Draymond was 4 inches taller and an elite athlete?

That's an insanely valuable player. I don't think Bill Russell is a good scorer in any generation, but he was a crafty, cerebral playmaker on offense who was very good at reading the floor. As an athlete, we have video proof that this guy was just ridiculous in terms of speed, mobility, and vertical leap.



So modern Bill Russell would bring value as a rim threat, a passing hub, and as a terror in transition.

I don't think I need to explain why his defense would translate.

I know you're pretty dead set on the idea that any player who came before is automatically worse and therefor not discussing, but Bill Russell is a very rare basketball player and it's fun to imagine what he might look like if he was born in the year 2000.

That Russell dunk has been shared so much, that I think people have lost sight of what it shows. There is nothing in that video that any number of athletic roll men in today's NBA couldn't do. Russell isn't Frank Weissing a 7 footer, he's not even jumping over that (very short) guy. Russell jumps beside him.

I have no problem saying Russell could play today. He was clearly an athletic outlier for his time. This talk of being a hybrid Duncan or having the passing and shooting of Draymond, is a bit silly though. It's like all the exaggerated stories about Wilt. Modern basketball is so much more sophisticated, the idea we can just assume Russell's basic defensive awareness translates today doesn't hold water.

But even if we granted all that, his lack of offense condemns him to a reduced impact. Even if he's Rudy Gobert, he's not a top 10 player in today's game.


Were not watching the same video if you think "any number of athletic roll men in today's NBA" are equivalent athletes. Bill Russell could touch the top of the backboard. He's one of the best vertical athletes ever, while also being fast.

I don't get the Draymond shooting thing you keep talking about. Draymond shot the ball well for 1 season and 1 playoff run. It got hella hyped, and people kept talking about it for years, but it's safe to call it an aberration at this point.

I never made the Duncan point and don't see them as offensively comparable at all. Russell would have limitations as a scorer in any era (the FT% is the safest indicator of this). In terms of era-related stylistic limitations, I think Russell operating as a play finisher would make him a much more efficient scoring weapon than he was in the 60s.

It is actually impossible to project defensive awareness translating with completely different rules. There isn't really a basis to talk about it, unless you want to go into specific play-types and imagine what Russell could and could not do, based on the footage we have. If he was a prospect coming up today, I'd be pretty positive talking about his timing, court mapping, reaction speed, and ability to cover his own mistakes and others with that insane vertical reach.

A lot of the fg% stuff is a bit overblown imo, since the average fg% of the league was 42% in Russell's playing days.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#50 » by JonFromVA » Tue Jul 23, 2024 2:49 pm

We can't know, we'll never know, and you know what? We don't need to know.

It would be cool someday if someone invented a bio-mechanical model based on a player's film that let us simulate how different players might perform in different scenarios, but any model is going to need to make assumptions and have a level of uncertainty.

And that means we will never really know, but it might make for a really fun NBA2K50.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#51 » by theonlyclutch » Tue Jul 23, 2024 2:53 pm

cupcakesnake wrote:
theonlyclutch wrote:To say that Russell can even begin to replicate Draymond/Giannis roles on offense must have not watched much of what Draymond/Giannis do in terms of handling the ball, especially through traffic. And needless to say, somebody who shot 44% FG, mostly in the paint with a big athletic advantage over his 1960s peers almost certainly does not have the 'touch' to become a high-efficency scorer today.


It's basically impossible to compare ball-handlers from the 60s and now because of how officiating has changed. Putting your hand on the top or side of the ball was called a carry. The advanced ball handling of today isn't sheerly a product of advancing skill, all those moves were illegal and not allowed to be developed. Cross overs were illegal, any kind of misdirection hesi, in-and-out dribble etc. etc. All you could do was pound the ball into the ground, change hands low to the ground, and wrap the ball behind your back (but even on that last one you had to be careful).

If we forced modern ball handlers to play with 60s rules, they'd all look like 60s ball handlers.


The point being here is that in the modern era, Draymond/Giannis are elite big ball-handlers relative to the league + position and stating that these are skills that Russell could develop without any issues trivializes how rare they are even now.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#52 » by cupcakesnake » Tue Jul 23, 2024 4:18 pm

theonlyclutch wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:
theonlyclutch wrote:To say that Russell can even begin to replicate Draymond/Giannis roles on offense must have not watched much of what Draymond/Giannis do in terms of handling the ball, especially through traffic. And needless to say, somebody who shot 44% FG, mostly in the paint with a big athletic advantage over his 1960s peers almost certainly does not have the 'touch' to become a high-efficency scorer today.


It's basically impossible to compare ball-handlers from the 60s and now because of how officiating has changed. Putting your hand on the top or side of the ball was called a carry. The advanced ball handling of today isn't sheerly a product of advancing skill, all those moves were illegal and not allowed to be developed. Cross overs were illegal, any kind of misdirection hesi, in-and-out dribble etc. etc. All you could do was pound the ball into the ground, change hands low to the ground, and wrap the ball behind your back (but even on that last one you had to be careful).

If we forced modern ball handlers to play with 60s rules, they'd all look like 60s ball handlers.


The point being here is that in the modern era, Draymond/Giannis are elite big ball-handlers relative to the league + position and stating that these are skills that Russell could develop without any issues trivializes how rare they are even now.


I don't agree either of them elite ball handlers, and I don't think of Draymond as big (on offense).
They're both super fast (Giannis on a whole other level of speed), and do most of their ballhandling in transition. Giannis also has that crazy first step, and most of his dribble moves are just to set up the first step. Neither are players who use the dribble to get where they need to go in the half court.

For the record, I have zero thoughts on what Bill Russell's handles would be like if he was born in this era. All I'm saying is that ballhandling is probably the hardest thing to do era related comparisons for with such drastically different rules. We've never seen 60s guys even try to dribble the way guys are allowed to do today, so it's hard to make a calculate assumption.

Russell handled the ball in transition in the 60s. Anything we say he could or couldn't do now is just our imaginations.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#53 » by slick_watts » Tue Jul 23, 2024 4:32 pm

it is impossible to say whether he would be good in today's nba or not since today's nba is an utterly different game than what he was playing in the 60's. the same goes for wilt and all the others.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#54 » by louc1970 » Tue Jul 23, 2024 4:41 pm

One_and_Done wrote:Who would the archetype for Russell even be? Even if he was Gobert, Gobert is not a top 10 player.

Russell would be a more dominant Adebayo. Similar size. But Russell was ferocious going after the ball.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#55 » by Michael Beasley » Tue Jul 23, 2024 5:44 pm

louc1970 wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Who would the archetype for Russell even be? Even if he was Gobert, Gobert is not a top 10 player.

Russell would be a more dominant Adebayo. Similar size. But Russell was ferocious going after the ball.

I was literally just thinking how he'd be like a mix of Bam Adebayo and Dennis Rodman. Dominant defensively, can switch everything, guard 1 through 5, rim protect, jump passing lanes, and run the floor in transition. Then on offense be basically Bam with a hook shot.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#56 » by og15 » Tue Jul 23, 2024 6:44 pm

FrodoBaggins wrote:RealGM poster Dipper 13 stat tracked nearly 500+ possessions of Bill Russell from available footage back in 2013. This is a small sample of games but it's cool to look at.

Dipper 13 wrote:What stands out to me the most is Russell's defensive rebounding. He looked especially dominant there in the 1964 game. Also Oscar Robertson is completely indefensible in a pick & roll situation (87.5%), especially compared to the others (18.2%) in this sample. The same goes for Wilt finishing at the rim (85.7%), compared to the others (25.4%).

For those who prefer the linear pace adjusted statistics (which I don't), this is what Russell averaged in the footage, adjusting for 2012-13 pace (92.0).

11.7 pts, 19.5 rbs, 3.8 ast, 5.5 blk, 2.3 tov, 1.0 stl, 59.5% FG, 57% FT, 60.5% TS


At Rim: 21/28 FG (75.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 24/36 (66.6%)
Mid-Range: 1/6 FG (16.6%)

Shot Charts:

Spoiler:
Image
Image



List Of Games:

Spoiler:
1962 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1963 Finals Gm. 6 Celtics vs Lakers
1964 Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1965 Finals Gm. 1 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Royals (2nd Half)
1966 Playoffs Gm. 5 Royals vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1966 Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Celtics (Incomplete)
1967 Playoffs Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs Lakers (4th Quarter)




Various Statistics:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 11
Loose Ball & Off. Foul: 4
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 2
Outside Paint - 29
In Paint - 12 (At Rim) - 8
Turnovers: 12
Half Court Touches: 126
Team Possessions: 486 (This figure is the same for offense & defense)
Blocks: 29
Assists: 20
TO's Forced: 16
Steals: 5
FT: 12/21
Total Rebounds: 103
Off: 17
Def: 86

Spoiler:
*The P&R figures for Big O includes Wayne Embry who was 2/2 FG on assists from Oscar, with him drawing Russell out of position. Also nobody outside of Wilt would even attempt a low post shot against Russell. Very seldom did they even post him up at all.

Pick & Roll: 9/19 FG (47.4%)
-Oscar:
7/8 FG (87.5%)

Isolation: 4/7 FG (57.1%)

Low Post: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4
-Wilt: 9/16 FG (56.3%) Fouls: 4

Help Defense/Rim Protector: 14/62 FG (22.6%) Fouls: 5


Spoiler:
*Team FG stats do not include his man's stats

FG allowed from opposing TEAM (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 15/59 FG (25.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 33/108 FG (30.5%)
Midrange: 69/193 FG (35.8%)


FG allowed from opposing TEAM (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 30/38 FG (78.9%)
In Paint (Overall): 31/43 FG (72.1%)
Midrange: 10/15 FG (66.6%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (HALFCOURT)

At Rim: 19/26 FG (73.1%) *Includes putbacks on offensive boards
-Wilt: 12/14 FG (85.7%)

In Paint (Overall): 22/31 FG (71.0%)
-Wilt: 12/16 FG (75.0%)

Midrange: 10/21 FG (47.6%) *Includes baseline shots near basket area
-Wilt: 1/4 FG (25.0%)


FG allowed from opposing MAN (TRANSITION)

At Rim: 0/1 FG (0.0%)
In Paint (Overall): 0/1 FG (0.0%)
Midrange: 0/0 FG


He also did 500+ possessions for Wilt as well:

Dipper 13 wrote:I realize this is a small sample size. But it is all that is available, unless someone can upload the 1973 game that was recently shown on MSG Network. I have used the following games:

Spoiler:
1964 NBA Finals Gm. 4 Celtics vs. Warriors (2nd Half)
1967 EDF Gm. 4 Sixers vs. Celtics (2nd Half)
1969 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Celtics vs. Lakers (4th Quarter)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Lakers vs. Knicks (Incomplete)
1970 NBA Finals Gm. 7 Lakers vs. Knicks
1971 WCSF Gm. 6 Lakers vs. Bulls
Jan 9, 1972 - Lakers vs. Bucks
1972 NBA Finals Gm. 5 Knicks vs. Lakers (Incomplete)



Various statistics I kept track of:

Spoiler:
Fouls Drawn
With Ball: 18
Loose Ball & Off Ball: 8
Shots Created: (Passes leading to clean shots & fouls, including direct half-court passes, outlet passes, and hockey assists) *Not all assists are necessarily counted as shots created, and vice versa.
Total Fouls Called: 5
Outside Paint- 30
In Paint - 19 (At Rim) - 15
Half Court Touches: 172
Turnovers: 14
Team Offensive Possessions: 568
Blocks: 22
Assists: 26
TO's Forced: 13
Steals: 4
FT: 17/43
Total Rebounds: 104
Off: 34
Def: 70




Charts:

At Rim: 42/51 FG (82.4%)
In Paint (Overall): 42/61 FG (68.9%)
Midrange: 3/10 FG (30.0%)
Slam Dunk: 18/19 FG (94.7%)

Spoiler:
Image
Image





Adjusted for 2012-13 pace (92.0), this is what Wilt averaged in the specified games above:

17.3 pts, 16.8 rbs, 4.2 ast, 3.6 blk, 2.3 tov, 63.4 FG%, 39.5% FT, 59.5 TS%


To me it is clear that Wilt's team offenses in the early years were playing below capabilities in part due to his foul shooting, but also because they didn't get the ball into him enough. The culture back then was to push the tempo and get up as many shots as possible. Whereas to get the ball to Wilt you had to not necessarily slow the pace down, but make a concerted effort to get the ball in his hands, which goes against the culture. After all it is the main reason they lost both in 1966 & 1968. It's something I'm sure the guards had trouble doing in a half court setting, if not due to full court pressing defenses, then because of backcourt fouls, when all backcourt fouls resulted in a trip to the FT line. We all know what Coach Hannum told Wilt in 1967, but what did he tell the others? The ball goes inside every single time. Rookie Matt Guokas even noted how if you didn't get the ball to Wilt, you would be benched. Given the pace adjusted statistics above from all available Wilt games, there is no reason to believe that a high assist low turnover center couldn't get a teammate a good shot more often than not. He also could get himself a good shot too. Despite the trendy belief here, he actually had the ability to score points in the low post in professional basketball. Who would have thought? He only scored 28,212 pts from the field in his career during regular season & playoff competition, most of which came inside the paint.

Russell would be great. I think a statistical analysis/projection of him also has to take into account that he isn't going to be playing the minutes he played then in the modern era, just because that's not how teams run rotations anymore

I think that ppg average from the initial post is just too much. Russell maxed at 18.9 ppg in 45 mpg on a 130.8 pace team. Going to 18-24 ppg, one isn't simply saying he's a rim roller with some skills, one is making him Tim Duncan on offense.

There were other skilled scoring bigs when Russell played and in his own time he was not at their level, so even comparing to peers he wasn't at that level scoring wise for us to just add so much offensive ability.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#57 » by Black Jack » Tue Jul 23, 2024 7:55 pm

I shook Bill Russell’s hand at an event once. Can confirm he was monstrous even as an older man.

I have zero doubt prime Russ would immediately be an elite center in today’s game personally. At a minimum he would be a dominant defensive presence out to the 3 point line.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#58 » by One_and_Done » Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:21 pm

Michael Beasley wrote:
louc1970 wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Who would the archetype for Russell even be? Even if he was Gobert, Gobert is not a top 10 player.

Russell would be a more dominant Adebayo. Similar size. But Russell was ferocious going after the ball.

I was literally just thinking how he'd be like a mix of Bam Adebayo and Dennis Rodman. Dominant defensively, can switch everything, guard 1 through 5, rim protect, jump passing lanes, and run the floor in transition. Then on offense be basically Bam with a hook shot.

Which is not a top 10 player today.
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#59 » by SNPA » Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:25 pm

One_and_Done wrote:
Michael Beasley wrote:
louc1970 wrote:Russell would be a more dominant Adebayo. Similar size. But Russell was ferocious going after the ball.

I was literally just thinking how he'd be like a mix of Bam Adebayo and Dennis Rodman. Dominant defensively, can switch everything, guard 1 through 5, rim protect, jump passing lanes, and run the floor in transition. Then on offense be basically Bam with a hook shot.

Which is not a top 10 player today.

This is solved by switching the comp to the more appropriate one…Duncan (more D/less O).
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Re: Why I believe Bill Russell would've been just as good in today's NBA 

Post#60 » by ReasonablySober » Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:53 pm

Duncan is one of the most skilled offensive bigs of all-time, while Bill Russell struggled to score in a nine team league despite having an overwhelming physical advantage.

Comparing Russell to Duncan or KG or even Bam is such a huge insult to these modern players.

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