ConstableGeneva wrote:Minutes Distribution, 82-game season, no OT for simplification sake:
• PG: White (1976), Pritchard (1760), Springer (120), Davison (80)
• SG: Holiday (2112), Brown (1000), White (456), Walsh (328), Springer (40)
• SF: Hauser (1872), Brown (1310), Scheierman (508), Walsh (166), Peterson (80)
• PF: Tatum (2625), Horford (650), Tillman (425), Scheierman (236)
• C: Porzingis (1050), Kornet (990), Horford (950), Queta (500), Tillman (446)
Tatum (PF): 75 g, 35 mpg
White (PG/SG): 76 g, 32 mpg
Brown (SG/SF): 70 g, 33 mpg
Holiday (SG): 66 g, 32 mpg
Pritchard (PG): 80 g, 22 mpg
Hauser (SF): 78 g, 24 mpg
Horford (PF/C): 64 g, 25 mpg
Porzingis (C): 35 g, 30 mpg
Kornet (C): 66 g, 15 mpg
Tillman (PF/C): 67 g, 13 mpg
Queta (C): 50 g, 10 mpg
Scheierman (SF/PF): 62 g, 12 mpg
Walsh (SG/SF): 38 g, 13 mpg
Springer (PG/SG): 20 g, 8 mpg
Davison (PG): 16 g, 5 mpg
Peterson (SF): 10 g, 8 mpg
Tried my own version of this off the back of Summer League:
PG: Holiday (1950), Pritchard (1650), White (236), Davison (100)
SG: White (1909), Brown (1037), Springer (990)
SF: Hauser (1650), Brown (1108), Scheierman (745), Tatum (233), Walsh (200)
PF: Tatum (1912), Horford (769), Tillman (500), Watson (410), Scheierman (245), Peterson (100)
C: Porzingis (1025), Kornet (990), Queta (990), Horford (606), Tillman (325)
Tatum (PF/SF): 65 games, 33 mpg (2145 total mins)
Brown (SG/SF): 65 games, 33 mpg (2145 total mins)
White (SG/PG): 65 games, 33 mpg (2145 total mins)
Holiday (PG): 65 games, 30 mpg (1950 total mins)
Hauser (SF): 75 games, 22 mpg (1650 total mins)
Pritchard (PG): 75 games, 22 mpg (1650 total mins)
Horford (PF/C): 55 games, 25 mpg (1365 total mins)
Porzingis (C): 41 games, 25 mpg (1025 total mins)
Springer (SG): 66 games, 15mpg (990 total mins)
Kornet (C): 66 games, 15 mpg (990 total mins)
Queta(C): 66 games, 15 mpg (990 total mins)
Scheierman (SF/PF): 66 games, 15 mpg (990 total mins)
Tillman (PF/C): 55 games, 15 mpg (825 total mins)
Watson (PF): 41 games, 10 mpg (410 total mins)
Walsh (SF): 20 games, 10 mpg (200 total mins)
Davison (PG): 10 games, 10 mpg (100 total mins)
Peterson (PF): 10 games, 10 mpg (100 total mins)
It's probably overly conservative on our top 6 players minutes, assuming some level of minutes reduction for everyone but White. I assume, apart from KP/Horford, they'll all want to be award eligible so barring injury 65 games seems to be the bottom end for all of four.
Horford I think rests more than ever before and I've got KP missing half the season (although I don't know what's realistic for him, maybe I'm overstating it). That opens up a ton of minutes for the rest of the big men. Tillman historically doesn't play above 60 games so Queta/Kornet get extra run to compensate. I've got Watson playing half the season on less minutes, but still part of this crew, although that might be an overreaction to SL. Physically he just seems best placed to pick up minutes left at the 4 that Tillman doesn't already get.
Walsh didn't look ready at all in his limited sample size, but Scheierman looks like he can play now. In terms of extra wing minutes, the pendulum swings between those two and possibly Watson. I could also see either of those guys playing more PF in place of the minutes I've allocated to Watson. Springer I've also got entering the rotation, but eating minutes left behind by the smaller wings/guards. Realistically it might be Hauser and Pritchard that see a massive uptick as opposed to minutes getting spread across the new(ish) guys, but I think Joe/Brad know they need to develop some of this cheap talent to future proof this team.