The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful.

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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#81 » by tsherkin » Sat Aug 3, 2024 1:36 am

canada_dry wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
bledredwine wrote:Embiid, Harden, and Chris Paul are all cut from the same mold.

All three are willing to game the system for buckets. While this can be a good sign of competitiveness, it fails in the playoffs when defense tightens up and you can't rely on the same tricks.

I mentioned for all three of these players that they would struggle well before the fact and all three have.


Chris Paul has only ever really struggled with health in the playoffs. Health and size, of course, since being 5'11 or whatever is its own form of ceiling despite his evident ability. I don't think his style of play has presented him any real sort of issue at all.
2014 playoffs vs okc

2015 playoffs

2017 game 7 1st round

2019 vs warriors

2021 in the finals.

2022 game 7 vs mavs.

Most 2 game leads blown of any player ever.

He has a history of coming up small that way exceeds injuries. A lot like embiid. And a lot like in embiids case people only want to talk about health rather than context imo.

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Struggling and issues with his style of play arent the same thing, though.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#82 » by mattg » Sat Aug 3, 2024 2:03 am

tsherkin wrote:
canada_dry wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
Chris Paul has only ever really struggled with health in the playoffs. Health and size, of course, since being 5'11 or whatever is its own form of ceiling despite his evident ability. I don't think his style of play has presented him any real sort of issue at all.
2014 playoffs vs okc

2015 playoffs

2017 game 7 1st round

2019 vs warriors

2021 in the finals.

2022 game 7 vs mavs.

Most 2 game leads blown of any player ever.

He has a history of coming up small that way exceeds injuries. A lot like embiid. And a lot like in embiids case people only want to talk about health rather than context imo.

Sent from my SM-G960W using RealGM mobile app


Struggling and issues with his style of play arent the same thing, though.

Ehh, you could definitely make an argument that Chris Paul's tendency to hold the ball and play ultra conservatively does put more of a ceiling on his team's offensive potential compared to what it could be. He is less willing to aggressively push the ball upcourt and push pace in favor of limiting mistakes. However you can definitely argue that he misses a lot of secondary transition opportunities due to this and just the baskets that get created with an initial aggressive push where offensive chances materialize only after the ball is advanced.

The easiest way I can explain this will make sense to anyone who has coached boys and girls in basketball. Generally boys are much more willing to play selfishly/thinking of themselves to push the ball upcourt even if on first glance there is NOTHING there and multiple defenders back. However this aggression is a really nice thing to have as just forcing the defense to make a decision of some kind is ALWAYS VALUABLE. So even in the case of a reckless transition 1v3 push where the handler gets swallowed up under the rim and surrounded by 3 defenders, often an opportunity is created because the defense reacted and made a choice and their communication and exceution wasn't perfect, so a shooter was left open, or a lane for a cutter presented itself.

With coaching young girls they often are SO team oriented that they will not aggressively push the ball upcourt, and often you have to really really really drill that into them to be aggressive and push the ball by yourself, that they don't have to wait for the entire team to get organized with them.

With CP3 I see a lot of that in his game. He's such a control freak on the floor, wanting to make every decision, and not make a single mistake that sometimes he definitely is too risk-averse, which like you said combined with his 5'11" stature somewhat limiting him in the playoffs especially when opponents throw big defenders on him, can be a problem. Especially since a lot of times his teams in his prime were so reliant on him creating EVERYTHING because he specifically did not let other players do certain things, his Clipper teams could never adapt IMO. Those Clipper teams definitely should have been running more initial actions through Griffin at times with his solid playmaking and instead they ended up bogging themselves down going entirely through CP3. It's tough to create nonstop looks spamming PnR as a 5'11 dude when you have 6'6-6'8 on ball defenders who can not only move their feet with you, but can play back and still contest everything. Always predictable actions, and not playing fast enough to get to multiple actions in a half court set if the initial option or 2 was well defended.

CP3 is an all timer and one of the best PGs ever. But I think it's burying your head in the sand to not acknowledge he has clear flaws in terms of play style that did limit his ability to succeed at the highest level.

Also fair to note that when he is losing he has an all time terrible attitude and does some really really questionable stuff. Punching Julius Hodge in the nuts. Or this play from the finals that is literally blatantly shoving someone in mid air as hard as he could. This play should be talked about as one of the dirtiest attempted plays in the history of the NBA, it just gets glossed over because Giannis still dunked it and held onto the rim. But a 2 handed shove on a player high in the air with no play on the ball/not even looking at the ball is as scummy as it gets in basketball basically. That should have been a flagrant 2 ejection instantly.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#83 » by tamaraw08 » Sat Aug 3, 2024 2:26 am

AI_Efficiency wrote:Yea, was just going to add, for better or worse, he picked up basketball relatively late (age 15). So some of this makes sense in that context.

I was thinking about guys like Michael Olowokandi and Andrew Bynum too.
The main difference was Joel developed many skills which lead to many of us expecting so much.
Hakeem was mentioned but I wonder if would have won 2 rings without clutch players like Cassell, Smith, Clyde while Embiid had Harden
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#84 » by picc » Sat Aug 3, 2024 3:24 am

That's a very poignant thought piece on Embiid, and I'm sure its accurate to an extent.

But its really as simple as he is:

A) Majorly injury prone, and
B) A mental midget with a loser mentality

In a game like NBA basketball where winning and losing happens on the razor thinnest of margins, those two things will result in underachievement 99% of the time.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#85 » by Rust_Cohle » Sat Aug 3, 2024 3:39 am

Quattro wrote:
SelfishPlayer wrote:So what's Steve Nash, Karl Malone, and John Stockton's excuse?


Robert Horry and Michael Jordan


Nah, Suns had a chance to win game 6 and got crushed. Nash also flopped on the play as dirty as Horry's play was.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#86 » by p0peye » Sat Aug 3, 2024 8:11 am

dirkdiggler4177 wrote:
Richard Miller wrote:
dirkdiggler4177 wrote:Jokic did not make it out of the first round the year before becoming the finals MVP.


Half of the guys on that Jokic's team if not more were out of the league almost immediately after that. Context also matters :)


That was the context of what I said with all those players. That we analyze these players up and down, but what usually makes them champions is the team around them. So you can analyze them all you want, but give LeBron a great team and your analysis
goes in the trash.


Jokić has been in WCF before he won his first MVP.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#87 » by dirkdiggler4177 » Sat Aug 3, 2024 9:13 am

p0peye wrote:
dirkdiggler4177 wrote:
Richard Miller wrote:
Half of the guys on that Jokic's team if not more were out of the league almost immediately after that. Context also matters :)


That was the context of what I said with all those players. That we analyze these players up and down, but what usually makes them champions is the team around them. So you can analyze them all you want, but give LeBron a great team and your analysis
goes in the trash.


Jokić has been in WCF before he won his first MVP.


The point here is that fans will hate a player till he wins. Like Trae was in the Eastern Conference finals and everybody loved him. Now everyone thinks he sucks and has little value. Too small, does not play defense, etc. The problem with this is that he can become finals MVP if you put the right team around him. The problem is that it's very hard to find that team for such a player compared to other stars but believe me if he wins nobody will talk about his size. Like nobody cared that Rondo could not shoot when he was winning, but it became a problem when they were not. Everybody talked about how Dirk was soft, but nobody mentions it anymore. The dude lost two teeth during a game, threw them in a bucket, and played on and they called him soft :lol: If Chris Paul did not play with great teams everybody would hate on him because he controlled the ball too much and was too small.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#88 » by hippesthippo » Sat Aug 3, 2024 9:56 am

benhillboy wrote:Like Anthony Davis too much of Embiid’s shot diet comes between 10 feet and the three point line without the elite efficiency. His pacing isn’t ideal for a team to build a rhythm either. But as a Hawks fan I wish I could complain about a player as great as Embiid. His insane regular season metrics drop off significantly in the post season outside of his on/off at a ridiculous +17.6.


Sorry, but Embiid is absolutely elite in that range. Pretty sure he's been better than Dirk from there the last 2 seasons. (I'd have to double check on 23-24.)
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#89 » by p0peye » Sat Aug 3, 2024 10:32 am

dirkdiggler4177 wrote:
p0peye wrote:
dirkdiggler4177 wrote:
That was the context of what I said with all those players. That we analyze these players up and down, but what usually makes them champions is the team around them. So you can analyze them all you want, but give LeBron a great team and your analysis
goes in the trash.


Jokić has been in WCF before he won his first MVP.


The point here is that fans will hate a player till he wins. Like Trae was in the Eastern Conference finals and everybody loved him. Now everyone thinks he sucks and has little value. Too small, does not play defense, etc. The problem with this is that he can become finals MVP if you put the right team around him. The problem is that it's very hard to find that team for such a player compared to other stars but believe me if he wins nobody will talk about his size. Like nobody cared that Rondo could not shoot when he was winning, but it became a problem when they were not. Everybody talked about how Dirk was soft, but nobody mentions it anymore. The dude lost two teeth during a game, threw them in a bucket, and played on and they called him soft :lol: If Chris Paul did not play with great teams everybody would hate on him because he controlled the ball too much and was too small.


You need to win to validate yourself, true. In Embiid's case, he was arguably surrounded by a much better talent than Giannis, Jokić or Kawhi in Toronto when they won. But, point here is not that he didn't win, but that what separates him from others is that he fails to even get past second opponent in offseason while looking far from dominant especially compared to his performance in regular season. Yes, injuries can be an excuse but it is not a blanket that can hide his entire career so far.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#90 » by p0peye » Sat Aug 3, 2024 10:37 am

hippesthippo wrote:
benhillboy wrote:Like Anthony Davis too much of Embiid’s shot diet comes between 10 feet and the three point line without the elite efficiency. His pacing isn’t ideal for a team to build a rhythm either. But as a Hawks fan I wish I could complain about a player as great as Embiid. His insane regular season metrics drop off significantly in the post season outside of his on/off at a ridiculous +17.6.


Sorry, but Embiid is absolutely elite in that range. Pretty sure he's been better than Dirk from there the last 2 seasons. (I'd have to double check on 23-24.)


Embiid's last 2 seasons vs Dirk in 2010/11 seasons:

Image
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#91 » by hippesthippo » Sat Aug 3, 2024 10:50 am

p0peye wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
benhillboy wrote:Like Anthony Davis too much of Embiid’s shot diet comes between 10 feet and the three point line without the elite efficiency. His pacing isn’t ideal for a team to build a rhythm either. But as a Hawks fan I wish I could complain about a player as great as Embiid. His insane regular season metrics drop off significantly in the post season outside of his on/off at a ridiculous +17.6.


Sorry, but Embiid is absolutely elite in that range. Pretty sure he's been better than Dirk from there the last 2 seasons. (I'd have to double check on 23-24.)


Embiid's last 2 seasons vs Dirk in 2010/11 seasons:

Image


In 22-23 Embiid shot .514 from 10-16' and .498 from 16-3p.
In 23-24 Embiid shot .473 from 10-16' and .516 from 16-3p.

Dirk's career numbers are .468 and .474 from 10-16' and 16-3p range respectively.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nowitdi01.html#shooting
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/embiijo01.html#shooting

Seeing as how we're are specifically talking about 10-3p range, I stand by my point. Embiid is absolutely elite from 10-3p.

EDIT: I saw you mentioned 2010-11. Dirk shot .500 and .526 that season. So, Embiid has not reached Dirk's absolute peak. Okay... and?
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#92 » by p0peye » Sat Aug 3, 2024 10:55 am

hippesthippo wrote:
p0peye wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
Sorry, but Embiid is absolutely elite in that range. Pretty sure he's been better than Dirk from there the last 2 seasons. (I'd have to double check on 23-24.)


Embiid's last 2 seasons vs Dirk in 2010/11 seasons:

Image


In 22-23 Embiid shot .514 from 10-16' and .498 from 16-3p.
In 23-24 Embiid shot .473 from 10-16' and .516 from 16-3p.

Dirk's career numbers are .468 and .474 from 10-16' and 16-3p range respectively.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nowitdi01.html#shooting
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/embiijo01.html#shooting

Seeing as how we're are specifically talking about 10-3p range, I stand by my point. Embiid is absolutely elite from 10-3p.


Dude, you are cherry picking too much to prove a point in my opinion.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#93 » by hippesthippo » Sat Aug 3, 2024 11:00 am

p0peye wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
p0peye wrote:
Embiid's last 2 seasons vs Dirk in 2010/11 seasons:

Image


In 22-23 Embiid shot .514 from 10-16' and .498 from 16-3p.
In 23-24 Embiid shot .473 from 10-16' and .516 from 16-3p.

Dirk's career numbers are .468 and .474 from 10-16' and 16-3p range respectively.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nowitdi01.html#shooting
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/embiijo01.html#shooting

Seeing as how we're are specifically talking about 10-3p range, I stand by my point. Embiid is absolutely elite from 10-3p.


Dude, you are cherry picking too much to prove a point in my opinion.


I said his last two seasons in my post that you replied to, which is fair because he notably improved and sustained it for multiple seasons. You cherry-picked a single season from Dirk.

Are you really still trying to argue that Embiid is not elite from 10-3p range? You are the one who singled out that area (and it's a rather large area of the court at that.) Who else has numbers that high with that kind of volume in the modern game. CP3 and... I think that's about it.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#94 » by p0peye » Sat Aug 3, 2024 11:02 am

hippesthippo wrote:
p0peye wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
In 22-23 Embiid shot .514 from 10-16' and .498 from 16-3p.
In 23-24 Embiid shot .473 from 10-16' and .516 from 16-3p.

Dirk's career numbers are .468 and .474 from 10-16' and 16-3p range respectively.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nowitdi01.html#shooting
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/embiijo01.html#shooting

Seeing as how we're are specifically talking about 10-3p range, I stand by my point. Embiid is absolutely elite from 10-3p.


Dude, you are cherry picking too much to prove a point in my opinion.


I said his last two seasons in my post that you replied to, which is fair because he notably improved and sustained it for multiple seasons. You cherry-picked a single season from Dirk.

Are you really still trying to argue that Embiid is not elite from 10-3p range? Who else has numbers that high with that kind of volume in the modern game. CP3 and... I think that's about it.


There are two seasons on that image for Dirk, no? And also, I do not care what Embiid is from any range, he can't be compared to Dirk. Other than that, I don't care.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#95 » by Lockdown504090 » Sat Aug 3, 2024 11:02 am

picc wrote:That's a very poignant thought piece on Embiid, and I'm sure its accurate to an extent.

But its really as simple as he is:

A) Majorly injury prone, and
B) A mental midget with a loser mentality

In a game like NBA basketball where winning and losing happens on the razor thinnest of margins, those two things will result in underachievement 99% of the time.

If your argument is that something is simple about winning playoff basketball games, you’re doing it wrong.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#96 » by hippesthippo » Sat Aug 3, 2024 11:05 am

p0peye wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
p0peye wrote:
Dude, you are cherry picking too much to prove a point in my opinion.


I said his last two seasons in my post that you replied to, which is fair because he notably improved and sustained it for multiple seasons. You cherry-picked a single season from Dirk.

Are you really still trying to argue that Embiid is not elite from 10-3p range? Who else has numbers that high with that kind of volume in the modern game. CP3 and... I think that's about it.


There are two seasons on that image for Dirk, no? And also, I do not care what Embiid is from any range, he can't be compared to Dirk. Other than that, I don't care.


Sure. Just know that if you're going to say that Embiid shoots too many shots from 10-3p range and that he is inefficient from that range you are wrong. You're just putting out classic "soft big man," tropes with no knowledge of what you're talking about.

He really is one of the best to do it. Curry's isn't close. Jordan isn't close. Go look at any of your favorite shooters / mid-range artists. It's just Dirk, CP3 and Embiid.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#97 » by AleksandarN » Sat Aug 3, 2024 11:22 am

tamaraw08 wrote:
AI_Efficiency wrote:Yea, was just going to add, for better or worse, he picked up basketball relatively late (age 15). So some of this makes sense in that context.

I was thinking about guys like Michael Olowokandi and Andrew Bynum too.
The main difference was Joel developed many skills which lead to many of us expecting so much.
Hakeem was mentioned but I wonder if would have won 2 rings without clutch players like Cassell, Smith, Clyde while Embiid had Harden

Embiid also had Bulter.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#98 » by bledredwine » Sat Aug 3, 2024 12:46 pm

tsherkin wrote:
canada_dry wrote:2014 playoffs vs okc

2015 playoffs

2017 game 7 1st round

2019 vs warriors

2021 in the finals.

2022 game 7 vs mavs.

Most 2 game leads blown of any player ever.

He has a history of coming up small that way exceeds injuries. A lot like embiid. And a lot like in embiids case people only want to talk about health rather than context imo.

Sent from my SM-G960W using RealGM mobile app


Struggling and issues with his style of play arent the same thing, though.


I disagree here.
Giannis was inconsistent because in the regular season, he could get to the hoop whenever but for a while, struggled because he had no jump shot. The same can be said with Westbrook/Simmons.

If you have a great midrange game, the playoffs will generally be easier (not pertaining to Embiid, generally speaking, hence Giannis early struggles). Defense is much stronger in the playoffs.
If you rely more on baiting, you're generally going to struggle more in the playoffs. Harden/Embiid

Style of play and skillset is directly correlated with more impact in the playoffs.
:o LeBron is 0-7 in game winning/tying FGs in the finals. And is 20/116 or 17% in game winning/tying FGs in the 4th/OT for his career. That's historically bad :o
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#99 » by TFJava » Sat Aug 3, 2024 12:57 pm

Injury prone, he does not have that "Dog" mentality, i.e Shaq.
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Re: The most accurate description as to why Embiid isn’t successful. 

Post#100 » by bledredwine » Sat Aug 3, 2024 3:08 pm

tsherkin wrote:
bledredwine wrote:Embiid, Harden, and Chris Paul are all cut from the same mold.

All three are willing to game the system for buckets. While this can be a good sign of competitiveness, it fails in the playoffs when defense tightens up and you can't rely on the same tricks.

I mentioned for all three of these players that they would struggle well before the fact and all three have.


Chris Paul has only ever really struggled with health in the playoffs. Health and size, of course, since being 5'11 or whatever is its own form of ceiling despite his evident ability. I don't think his style of play has presented him any real sort of issue at all.


Chris Paul also struggled to score in quite a few important games.
He was also outplayed by half of his all-star point guard matchups in full series.

The issue with Paul wasn't that he wasn't a great player. It was that this forum treated
him as some sort of GOAT or at the least, GOAT of his position, and he never was.

He never had the scoring prowess of a strong number 1 option.
He was a fantastic all-around point guard who would be best with someone next
to him who could take over when needed.
:o LeBron is 0-7 in game winning/tying FGs in the finals. And is 20/116 or 17% in game winning/tying FGs in the 4th/OT for his career. That's historically bad :o

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