jc23 wrote:im going to assume the wnba MVP is won in the same way the NBA is. Which means individual stats, team winning and narrative. Its going to be more difficult to win b2b then it is to win your first and its damn near impossible to win 3 in a row. Its not just about who is the best player in the league. Its a gumbo of ingredients.
So this is all true, but just to speak a little bit to context from immediately preceding years:
In 2022 A'ja won her 2nd MVP over Stewie, who only had 1. This despite the fact that a) Stewie had the more accomplished career and b) Stewie had the rep as the best player in the world. Then in the playoffs, while A'ja's Aces beat Stewie's Storm, Stewie's play in that series was astonishing.
My sense at that time was that MVP voters regretted the decision and would be looking to give Stewie the next MVP if possible.
In 2023 Stewie wins the MVP despite the fact A'ja seemed to pretty clearly have the more impressive regular season, and then being the clear star of the playoffs.
My sense then was that MVP voters regretted the decision and would be looking to give A'ja the next MVP if possible.
So then looking at MVP candidates as they stand now:
A'ja's:
1. The player MVP voters feel deserves another MVP.
2. The consensus best player in the world.
3. Putting up huge individual numbers.
4. On a disappointing team.
Stewie:
1. The consensus best player on the best team.
2. The consensus 2nd best player in the world.
3. "covered" in terms of having enough recent MVP love.
4. Less individually impressive by the numbers than she been in recent years.
Collier:
1. Best player on the 2nd best team.
2. Box score stats as impressive as anyone not named A'ja.
3. Possibly more impressive impact (On/Off, RAPM, etc) than A'ja, Stewie, or any other leader of contenders.