ImageImageImageImageImage

Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast

Moderators: 7 Footer, Morris_Shatford, DG88, niQ, Duffman100, tsherkin, Reeko, lebron stopper, HiJiNX

torsport
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,027
And1: 178
Joined: Aug 25, 2004
Location: Toronto

Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#1 » by torsport » Tue Sep 10, 2024 8:52 pm

Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast goes through all Eastern Conference team expectations.


Starts at 1:52:30 or so.

Some highlights:

Raps have a 'weird team' - young vets, vets and rookies with flexible/movable contracts.

If Raps aren't tanking - 40 win team and play-in expectation. Missing the play-in would be a disappointment.

If Quickly is a 20/6 guy, RJ plays the same and Scottie plays like he did first half of the season, should win 40 games.

Goal - what is the winning recipe with Scottie?

Could do the Utah, look strong first half of the season, then maximize draft position latter half of the season to pick up another piece.

Highest win total I've hear so far. Thoughts?
C_Money
RealGM
Posts: 26,458
And1: 26,693
Joined: Jun 30, 2008
       

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#2 » by C_Money » Tue Sep 10, 2024 9:17 pm

With no injuries to the “Big 3” it’s possible.
Image
User avatar
Duffman100
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 47,827
And1: 72,189
Joined: Jun 27, 2002
   

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#3 » by Duffman100 » Tue Sep 10, 2024 9:32 pm

I dunno. With injuries and still meh bench depth, I have us in the low 30s.
MessiahUjiri
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,938
And1: 4,528
Joined: Dec 16, 2014
Contact:

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#4 » by MessiahUjiri » Tue Sep 10, 2024 9:55 pm

That’s the worst possible outcome for this team.


Playin for what?
User avatar
Scase
RealGM
Posts: 14,640
And1: 10,781
Joined: Feb 02, 2009
Location: Ottawa by way of MTL
       

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#5 » by Scase » Tue Sep 10, 2024 11:32 pm

Trying to make the playoffs would be quite frankly the worst thing they could do with this roster.
Image
Props TZ!
User avatar
TorontoBarneys
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,898
And1: 7,038
Joined: Dec 30, 2022
   

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#6 » by TorontoBarneys » Tue Sep 10, 2024 11:37 pm

Nobody really knows, in reality. Could be anywhere between 25-40 games. I highly, highly doubt we hit 40 unless Scottie, IQ, and RJ make insane leaps.
User avatar
CPT
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 14,362
And1: 2,863
Joined: Jan 21, 2002
Location: Osaka/Seoul/Toronto
         

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#7 » by CPT » Tue Sep 10, 2024 11:50 pm

I would prefer to tank, but if they get to 40 wins organically (no win-now trades), I would have to reconsider my evaluation of the team's talent level.

That said, not doing things like moving Poeltl, Boucher, and/or Brown could be considered a win-now move in and of itself.
GLF
Senior
Posts: 689
And1: 987
Joined: Sep 03, 2018
 

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#8 » by GLF » Tue Sep 10, 2024 11:59 pm

Raptors are clearly looking to win. I don’t think they win 40 of course but they are looking to try and win. Lord this board is gonna be insufferable this season ahahaha Every win is gonna just be people crying about tanking. But I’ve prepared mentally for it lol
metafisical
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,962
And1: 6,072
Joined: Jun 13, 2014
     

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#9 » by metafisical » Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:00 am

MessiahUjiri wrote:That’s the worst possible outcome for this team.


Playin for what?


To prove that we are a mid-tier powerhouse!
I acknowledge and thank the lək̓ʷəŋən peoples of the Songhees, Esquimalt and W̱SÁNEĆ First Nations for allowing me to live, work and play on their unceded traditional territories.
User avatar
Scase
RealGM
Posts: 14,640
And1: 10,781
Joined: Feb 02, 2009
Location: Ottawa by way of MTL
       

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#10 » by Scase » Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:14 am

GLF wrote:Raptors are clearly looking to win. I don’t think they win 40 of course but they are looking to try and win. Lord this board is gonna be insufferable this season ahahaha Every win is gonna just be people crying about tanking. But I’ve prepared mentally for it lol

I imagine more apathy than anything. As much as people hate to watch a tanking team, at least it's building towards something. I think a play in 35ish win team will just be a bunch of people not caring, and then another chunk of delusional fans that think the team has a punchers chance.
Image
Props TZ!
PushDaRock
RealGM
Posts: 12,604
And1: 9,751
Joined: Jun 22, 2011

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#11 » by PushDaRock » Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:20 am

Scase wrote:
GLF wrote:Raptors are clearly looking to win. I don’t think they win 40 of course but they are looking to try and win. Lord this board is gonna be insufferable this season ahahaha Every win is gonna just be people crying about tanking. But I’ve prepared mentally for it lol

I imagine more apathy than anything. As much as people hate to watch a tanking team, at least it's building towards something. I think a play in 35ish win team will just be a bunch of people not caring, and then another chunk of delusional fans that think the team has a punchers chance.


People don't just hate to watch a tanking team, they literally don't watch at all. Game threads on here the last quarter of the season consisted of 2-3 pages.
User avatar
right between the eyes
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,566
And1: 6,869
Joined: Jul 19, 2004
   

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#12 » by right between the eyes » Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:31 am

I honestly don't at this point get why people aren't ok with just trying to win as many games as possible this year. We've gotten rid of our old core and now have a new younger core which will take time to gel. Of course we need to add talent.

We aren't nearly bad enough to be in the Cooper sweepstakes so might as well try and surprise a little. If we fall flat mid year, simply get rid of Bruce, Chris...for younger players.

It could be a lot more depressing if we still had the old regime with Pascal and OG... At least we have a new direction.
WhatsaTDot
RealGM
Posts: 11,286
And1: 7,222
Joined: May 16, 2010
Location: ♫ Whoa Black Betty Shambleland ♫

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#13 » by WhatsaTDot » Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:38 am

Nightmare scenario
Image

This place is insufferable.
REJECTEDBYCLARK
Head Coach
Posts: 6,514
And1: 4,662
Joined: Jan 25, 2023

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#14 » by REJECTEDBYCLARK » Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:43 am

Vecenie simps for Kristen Peek. That's all you need to know about the guy and his basketball knowledge.
Raptorfan2012
Head Coach
Posts: 7,016
And1: 4,877
Joined: Mar 25, 2012

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#15 » by Raptorfan2012 » Wed Sep 11, 2024 1:07 am

If everything goes well (no major injuries), plus BBQ Dick show great growth, then its possible we make the play-in; sure.
Nebuchadnezzar
Starter
Posts: 2,452
And1: 2,356
Joined: Sep 20, 2010

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#16 » by Nebuchadnezzar » Wed Sep 11, 2024 1:07 am

CPT wrote:I would prefer to tank, but if they get to 40 wins organically (no win-now trades), I would have to reconsider my evaluation of the team's talent level.

That said, not doing things like moving Poeltl, Boucher, and/or Brown could be considered a win-now move in and of itself.


Right, because you can just trade players like it's 2K
GLF
Senior
Posts: 689
And1: 987
Joined: Sep 03, 2018
 

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#17 » by GLF » Wed Sep 11, 2024 1:14 am

Scase wrote:
GLF wrote:Raptors are clearly looking to win. I don’t think they win 40 of course but they are looking to try and win. Lord this board is gonna be insufferable this season ahahaha Every win is gonna just be people crying about tanking. But I’ve prepared mentally for it lol

I imagine more apathy than anything. As much as people hate to watch a tanking team, at least it's building towards something. I think a play in 35ish win team will just be a bunch of people not caring, and then another chunk of delusional fans that think the team has a punchers chance.


Well I guess I’m in the like 1% of fans because I’ll care without being delusional about what this team is currently lol. I hope it’s just apathy, because this place becoming a breading ground for people being pissed after every win (even with how few those will be) is going to be annoyingl lol. I just think no matter how much one may want to tank, being mad at the team you’re a fan of anytime they win a game is a little wild. Especially if you’re going to spam the forum with said disdain and rain on everyone’s parade lol. I know we will hear a lot of I told you so after the draft when we don’t get a top 5 pick. Let people at least enjoy the wins during the season.
And I’m not saying you’ll be doing that, but I’m preparing for it to happen in a general sense haha
User avatar
S.W.A.N
Head Coach
Posts: 6,704
And1: 3,302
Joined: Aug 11, 2004
Location: Sick Wicked And Nasty
 

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#18 » by S.W.A.N » Wed Sep 11, 2024 1:25 am

40 wins means our starters are really freaking good and stay healthy. And the bench isn't bad enough to make us a tank...

Not a bad position to be in.
35 seems more realistic but I can definitely see a scenario where everything clicks and BBQ looks like a dominant trio.
We the North
User avatar
Vampirate
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,627
And1: 4,478
Joined: Dec 04, 2016
     

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#19 » by Vampirate » Wed Sep 11, 2024 1:27 am

Duffman100 wrote:I dunno. With injuries and still meh bench depth, I have us in the low 30s.


It's just going to depend on if RJ can maintain his efficiency and one of the other 3 (IQ, Barnes, Gradey) makes a noticeable leap.
Image
Pointgod
RealGM
Posts: 24,047
And1: 24,387
Joined: Jun 28, 2014

Re: Toronto Raptors 24 Expectations - 40 wins and Play-in! Sam Vecenie Game Theory Podcast 

Post#20 » by Pointgod » Wed Sep 11, 2024 1:34 am

High expectations.Thats a 60% increase in wins from last year. We lost Siakam, OG and Trent Jr. Vecenie is expecting our improvements to come internally which is an interesting perspective.

Return to Toronto Raptors