WentzerWuver wrote:Wow you really are trying hard to justify paying Purdy his 60 mil per bag along with those who are in the same camp as you if he repeat what he did last season with these points while ignoring my earlier point that you will lose Deebo and another playmaker plus key inpact players on the defensive side cause the 49ers CANNOT pay record contracts to so many players. They were only able to do so due to Purdy's current salary.
Now from the other post i read from you, you are willing to lose those other players with the assumption that Purdy can still win without a loaded roster. If that is true, why did Purdy struggled so much during all 3 preseason games with mostly 2nd/3rd string players facing the opponents 2nd/3rd string players? Let me guess, Purdy was not in football shape or some other excuses, so that doesn't count...is that it? If so, why don't the other elite level QB struggled during their preseason games with 2nd/3rd string players even if only given a few drives before being pulled? Even Dobbs played better than Purdy during this preseason with the same units. Well, maybe Purdy can only be elite with a star studded roster. There are many QB who can take fully loaded roster to the SB and you don’t even need to be elite but be a game manager like JimmyG. Even the Ravens won the SB easily with a washed-up former 49ers game manager at the helm.
All I am pointing out is that I MUCH prefer to have a game manager on a rookie scale contract with this current star studded roster to reach the SB than hoping Purdy will not struggle like he did during preseason cause they lose key players just to pay him his bag. If you swap Purdy for Bryce, the 49ers will still play at a high level, possibly even better with Bryce cause it be like Bama all over again for him while Purdy would struggle with that garbage roster in Carolina, similar to his struggles in preseason and you know it. This is why I am willing to hand the golden keys to Dobbs with this loaded roster going forward cause all he needs to be is a game manager. If Alex Smith can learn to become one, so can he and he's smart enough to be able to play that role. The smart and wise option based on past history is that once you are able to contruct a super team like the 49ers has done with smart drafting and trades - don't *** it up, just so you can pay a QB the bag otherwise you haven't learned anything from a guy named Brady. Oh, he did lose to a backup named Foles. Could our backup be the next Foles?
https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/news/why-brock-purdy-49ers-offense-struggled-against-saints-insider/d9e16bd056d5c70f81110231https://youtu.be/7KqD3MNwBMQ?si=XQj-i6nfAd_hSFb-https://youtu.be/vomG9v5nOtg?si=PjY8WjguinUBVpsjIf I am wrong, at least I won't get stuck with a vastly overpaid QB who can only succeed with a roster loaded with record-breaking contracts as currently constructed now. You can only know I might be right once you take off your rose petals Purdy glasses.
Where to begin?
You talk about my rose colored glasses. What have I said about Purdy that is wrong? In terms of my assessment of him. The discussion of whether to pay him or not is separate, but I made my view on him very plain just above in this thread, and I don't see you disputing any of my points about his strengths and weaknesses.
I'm not trying to justify $60 million for Purdy. I'd love to pay him less, but I don't think that's realistic. So the choice is between paying Purdy or coming up with a viable alternative.
Your Josh Dobbs plan is frankly dumb, for the reasons I've stated at length. Dobbs is a stopgap. You hope he can keep you competitive in a couple games. But it's asking an awful lot of him to lead a competitive team for a season and beyond. Again, he's never shown a hint of that ability to date. He hasn't shown that he's a game manager. On the contrary, he's been an improvisational player who makes plays with his legs and by extending plays as much (or really more) than with his vision and understanding of the offense. And there may be reasons for that given his short tenure most places (though again, Pittsburgh twice chose Mason Rudolph over him), but we have not seen him lead an offense in an efficient manner to date.
I'm not really sure why you're bringing up Bryce Young. Did I miss him somehow becoming available? Are we likely to be able to get a guy who is talented enough to be the first overall pick in a draft?
Could we bring in a rookie and roll with that? I mean, I guess. But most rookies don't play the way Purdy did. Most rookies - especially later-round picks - struggle a lot. I expect this team to take some personnel hits next year given all the FAs and aging players, but I still expect us to be in the hunt. I wouldn't trust that team to a rookie.
So do we bring in an inexpensive backup or former bust, a la Darnold last year, or maybe we look into a Mac Jones, etc.? Again, we could, but that's letting a lot ride on an unproven commodity. You asked in another post if maybe Kyle isn't a QB guru. I think there's a strong argument he's not. He definitely has a QB-friendly system, but it's not like any player turns to gold. Beathard was downright bad. Mullens had some similarities to Purdy and put up impressive passing stats, but he threw (and has continued to throw) INTs at an incredibly high rate that makes him untenable as a starting QB. Clearly Lance didn't work out.
So you're left with two good players who were more or less developed by Shanahan: Jimmy and Purdy. Jimmy gets an awful rap, and some of it merited, but he was generally good at reading the middle of the field (except that darn lurking LB once or twice a game) and he got the ball out quickly, accurately, and in rhythm. He had too many limitations to become what Purdy is now, but at least he could move the offense relatively efficiently. That said, he didn't improve and arguably got worse the longer he was with the Niners (though his final season was arguably his best before the injury). I'm not sure how much we can credit Shanahan for Purdy given how good Purdy looked from day one. Again, the system definitely plays a part, but Purdy seems to have brought the tools that have allowed him to really take advantage of the system.
So again, we're back to this question of whether to pay Purdy or not. I happen to think we can expect Purdy to continue to improve. He's still in the learning phase of his NFL career. Brady was not this good entering year three. Brees certainly wasn't. Peyton might have been, but you're talking a generational player there (Brady would eventually pass him, but Peyton enjoyed earlier individual success). There's really no reason to think that Purdy will get worse as an individual, even if his statistical performance declines. For context, this past season, Mahomes had his second-highest yards total, worst TD %, worst INT %, and worst sack %, but I don't think anyone would argue he was a worse player.
I have little doubt that Purdy would struggle at times if he loses Trent, Deebo, and Kittle, and plays opposite a less dominant defense. But I still think he'll play well.
This post has gotten very long, so I'll address some of your other points in another one.