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Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October

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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1021 » by thelead » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:30 pm

VFX wrote:
Knightro wrote:
VFX wrote:Makes no sense. Cole isn't good enough offensively off-ball and AB isn't good enough offensively on-ball. But ok.


Cole won’t be off the ball.


So what is AB doing?

Doing what he can while he develops

Example:
Read on Twitter


My biggest issue with AB running point is his inability to get past any defender. Dude just can’t create any separation against guards and his off-the-dribble jumper isn’t good enough yet to confidently pull up and shoot over shorter defenders.

Just gotta remember that he’s young and that he should develop if he’s a hard worker. He has great instincts and has shown that he will be, at worst, a solid 3 and D player. Let’s hope for more though.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1022 » by VFX » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:32 pm

RichCollab wrote:
VFX wrote:
Knightro wrote:
Cole won’t be off the ball.


So what is AB doing?


We don’t play with a traditional pg.There will be multiple ball handlers coming down the floor.


Cole is a traditional point guard. He plays no other position despite his skill set and can barely guard anything but that.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1023 » by RichCollab » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:34 pm

mattdelray1220 wrote:
eyriq wrote:
Read on Twitter
?t=j-iBC3iD7H1491NqMI4Ejg&s=19


This is exactly how I thought the season would start. With Jett, TDS and Caleb fighting the be to be first one called on if there is a injury to a G/F. This is a good problem to have. Depth. The thing I cannot wrap my mind around is the minutes allocation.

Suggs 28, Cole 20
KCP 30, AB 18
Franz 33, Gary 15
PB 35, JI 13
WCJ 28, Moe 18, JI 6

This looks pretty good to me. JI is the one who I really want to get more minutes. It doesnt seem like he is too excited about playing center. I am sure it will depend on the game. Wouldnt be shocked if Goga comes in from time to time either. Obviously the cream will rise which is exactly what we want. Does your minute allocation look that much different than mine?


JI should get something closer to 25 minutes per game.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1024 » by RichCollab » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:35 pm

VFX wrote:
RichCollab wrote:
VFX wrote:
So what is AB doing?


We don’t play with a traditional pg.There will be multiple ball handlers coming down the floor.


Cole is a traditional point guard. He plays no other position despite his skill set and can barely guard anything but that.


Cole is an undersized guard. He is more combo. Sure if it’s defense he is likely guarding the other team’s PG.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1025 » by VFX » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:44 pm

thelead wrote:
VFX wrote:
Knightro wrote:
Cole won’t be off the ball.


So what is AB doing?

Doing what he can while he develops

My biggest issue with AB running point is his inability to get past any defender. Dude just can’t create any separation against guards and his off-the-dribble jumper isn’t good enough yet to confidently pull up and shoot over shorter defenders.

Just gotta remember that he’s young and that he should develop if he’s a hard worker. He has great instincts and has shown that he will be, at worst, a solid 3 and D player. Let’s hope for more though.


And I get that.

He will be earning minutes in the backup rotation despite the video you posted getting minutes with starters (sans Goga) due to injuries.

What I'm attempting to illustrate here is that he's buried in the rotation because Mosely needs to play certain guys he feels comfortable with playing. AB is now going to have a more difficult time playing next to Cole and Gary for the sake of finding ways of getting him on the court. In reality, they should have found ways to get him in the second unit as a point guard and not relegated to guarding opposing wings. Just wont be the case now and wasnt really up for grabs considering the FO moves.

I like AB. I just struggle to see how seeing these kinds of lineups is putting him in positions for success given what we know.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1026 » by SOUL » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:44 pm

VFX wrote:
SOUL wrote:
VFX wrote:So what is AB doing?


If your gripe is that he's not aggressive (or good enough offensively) yet on-ball, and that he can't play a wing role either as a corner three shooter/occasional second ball handler, then I'm not sure how you view him or what role he should play at all lol.


He's a point guard that has positional advantage over other point guards because he's 6'7...
Why is this the most complicated thing in the world to understand for 99% of this board?

He's not skilled enough off ball to contribute immensely on offense. He's average defensively against dudes his exact size at the 2/3. We have also yet to see him "run point" with someone like Cole on the floor.

He isnt being utilized correctly playing next to another point guard and other dudes that can also handle the ball. He's just another guy on the court then...

So is your idea that you want AB to be "plugged in" to the 3 because we need him on the floor for the sake of it? Or is it because he's significantly better than the older 6'8 dude they just drafted that has played that exact role for the last 4+ seasons?


AB just needs to be on the floor period. This board the last two years has been literally obsessed with AB and Jett and their roles instead of the 15+ more important things that this team will need to figure out to be contenders. AB is quite literally built to be a Swiss army knife sort of player due to his skillset. If he had a Kidd-like sort upside with his size, I'd be right there with you, but he's someone who shows nice instincts but is still an extremely raw 20 year old in many areas of being a point guard.

Those advantages don't matter if you're also saying that he's passive and hasn't shown much (whether it was scheme or his own passiveness) when it comes to his loose ball handling or lack of aggressive nature of being a PG. Cole can be 10x the more aggravating player to watch play (and he is), but the fact that he can get into the paint regularly and create for himself and others, even as a short king who isn't a real PG, makes him the more appealing option to most coaches who are trying to win games, whether fans like it or not. But it also seems clear that Cole is the most likely candidate to get traded if he doesn't do well in his role.

TDS seems plug and playable at SG/SF/PF just like Franz. This board gets caught up in positions while the NBA hasn't cared about positions since like 2017. This isn't 2003 anymore. Yes, we're not de-facto putting in all 6 or 7 of our young guys in their best positions and having it all work out, and no, we don't need to trade those guys right away because of that either as long as there is some sort of plan moving forward. Every young team is figuring that out no matter what stage they are in. Thunder have young guys still not playing at all like Ousmane Dieng (and previously Tre Mann who they moved on from in his 3rd season), Rockets have way too much young depth that they will have to figure out, Pistons are still figuring out who the hell even works in the starting lineup.

It's not a problem unique to the Magic at all. If Black is a savant that we haven't unlocked yet at the PG position, it will show through with the secondary ball-handling touches he receives, and he'll get more responsibility/perhaps lineup changes if it works well.

Yes, it would be nice to have a clearer picture forward for every young guy right this second, but it's a pick-your-poison scenario with every team. Having too little depth, having too much depth, etc. Hell, maybe their plan is to flip these guys in a trade with picks, who knows. I just know there's as much risk if not more in having a "clear pathway" for every young guy as there is having people "blocked", so to speak.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1027 » by VFX » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:55 pm

SOUL wrote:
VFX wrote:
SOUL wrote:
If your gripe is that he's not aggressive (or good enough offensively) yet on-ball, and that he can't play a wing role either as a corner three shooter/occasional second ball handler, then I'm not sure how you view him or what role he should play at all lol.


He's a point guard that has positional advantage over other point guards because he's 6'7...
Why is this the most complicated thing in the world to understand for 99% of this board?

He's not skilled enough off ball to contribute immensely on offense. He's average defensively against dudes his exact size at the 2/3. We have also yet to see him "run point" with someone like Cole on the floor.

He isnt being utilized correctly playing next to another point guard and other dudes that can also handle the ball. He's just another guy on the court then...

So is your idea that you want AB to be "plugged in" to the 3 because we need him on the floor for the sake of it? Or is it because he's significantly better than the older 6'8 dude they just drafted that has played that exact role for the last 4+ seasons?


AB just needs to be on the floor period. This board the last two years has been literally obsessed with AB and Jett and their roles instead of the 15+ more important things that this team will need to figure out to be contenders. AB is quite literally built to be a Swiss army knife sort of player due to his skillset. If he had a Kidd-like sort upside with his size, I'd be right there with you, but he's someone who shows nice instincts but is still an extremely raw 20 year old in many areas of being a point guard.

Those advantages don't matter if you're also saying that he's passive and hasn't shown much (whether it was scheme or his own passiveness) when it comes to his loose ball handling or lack of aggressive nature of being a PG. Cole can be 10x the more aggravating player to watch play (and he is), but the fact that he can get into the paint regularly and create for himself and others, even as a short king who isn't a real PG, makes him the more appealing option to most coaches who are trying to win games, whether fans like it or not. But it also seems clear that Cole is the most likely candidate to get traded if he doesn't do well in his role.

TDS seems plug and playable at SG/SF/PF just like Franz. This board gets caught up in positions while the NBA hasn't cared about positions since like 2017. This isn't 2003 anymore. Yes, we're not de-facto putting in all 6 or 7 of our young guys in their best positions and having it all work out, and no, we don't need to trade those guys right away because of that either as long as there is some sort of plan moving forward. Every young team is figuring that out no matter what stage they are in. Thunder have young guys still not playing at all like Ousmane Dieng (and previously Tre Mann who they moved on from in his 3rd season), Rockets have way too much young depth that they will have to figure out, Pistons are still figuring out who the hell even works in the starting lineup.

It's not a problem unique to the Magic at all. If Black is a savant that we haven't unlocked yet at the PG position, it will show through with the secondary ball-handling touches he receives, and he'll get more responsibility/perhaps lineup changes if it works well.


Should they find ways of getting the #6 pick onto the court? Yes.

Those advantages absolutely matter. He isn't drafted that high AT ALL if he was 6'3 or 6'4. It's what gives him unique potential as a guard defender, rather than being relegated to an average wing defender.

People say "positions don't matter" but you'd never argue that skillsets or defensive capabilities aren't important within that context. Which is exactly the entire point of harping on the former and never focusing on the latter. AB is the prime example of this argument. Does he get better playing in a situation where he's not really guarding point guards or "running" the offense because everything is by committee? The answer is no. It just happens to be a convenient cope for people wanting to see dudes on the floor regardless of whether it makes sense in reality outside of a video game.

They have set up the roster in a way that is conducive to "earning" playing time over vets but also convoluted like your very apt examples of other teams in similar situations. The difference? AB is a top lotto pick point guard on a team without a true starting point guard. The solution then would become obvious to most people. Probably not playing him, in the second unit, in a position better suited for another dude buried looking for minutes. Not necessarily the best spot for him to be honest.

I'd rather see his minutes be in the best possible situation to succeed and not because he needs to be on the floor by any means necessary. Maybe thats just me.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1028 » by Rainwater » Tue Oct 1, 2024 11:59 pm

Bensational wrote:

Interesting shot of a journal entry there from Suggs. Says he started it on the first day of training camp “in the middle of contract negotiations”.

So they’re still talking at least. I interpret that as it’s something he’s hoping to sort out sooner rather than later.


Don't they have 16 more days to sort it out before they have to figure it out in the offseason?
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1029 » by SOUL » Wed Oct 2, 2024 12:12 am

VFX wrote:Those advantages absolutely matter. He isn't drafted that high AT ALL if he was 6'3 or 6'4. It's what gives him unique potential as a guard defender, rather than being relegated to an average wing defender.


It matters within context of where a roster is. If he was drafted in the Franz draft or even Paolo draft, yes, he deserves all the run and opportunity he could handle at the PG position. It also doesn't help that he's also that he's on a team with two other guards who could feasibly make an All-Defensive first or second team as a perimeter hounding guard, so even his biggest advantage at this moment is more of a luxury than something this team is starved for.

VFX wrote:People say "positions don't matter" but you'd never argue that skillsets or defensive capabilities aren't important within that context. Which is exactly the entire point of harping on the former and never focusing on the latter. AB is the prime example of this argument. Does he get better playing in a situation where he's not really guarding point guards or "running" the offense because everything is by committee? The answer is no.


It's not that they don't matter in terms of matchups or skillsets, especially in the playoffs, it's that to see the floor, coaches are putting literal guards like Dort at PF or center in some lineups, or guys like Josh Hart will play 1-5 depending on the lineup and if his skillset (energy, hustle, being a good rebounder) can mimic an actual big, he can create matchup advantages there. You wouldn't look at any of those guys, and many others, and even THINK about playing them out of position early on because it wouldn't be taking advantage of their skillsets. I don't think using Black in an Ingles-like role is even that "extreme" in terms of envisioning what his role might look at in the NBA if he isn't a full-time PG.

Because if he insists he is only a full-time PG, and he doesn't develop the skillset to even be a particular effective one, you are putting all of your eggs in one basket and finding a quick way out of the league.



VFX wrote:They have set up the roster in a way that is conducive to "earning" playing time over vets but also convoluted like your very apt examples of other teams in similar situations. The difference? AB is a top lotto pick point guard on a team without a true starting point guard. That should be obvious to most people what the solution should be. Probably not playing him in a second unit in a position better suited for another dude buried looking for minutes. Not necessarily the best spot for him to be honest.

I'd rather see his minutes be in the best possible situation to succeed and not because he needs to be on the floor by any means necessary.


You're right with this quote, but it only works as an individual statement with no context around anything else. Suggs was a higher draft pick who also needs to see minutes as an All-Defensive first guy and 40% three point shooter, and KCP is a proven top tier championship role player and shooter at his position, where there aren't many two-way guys who are able to do that.

They're all important, but it's hard to say that Black's situation supersedes what Suggs or KCP should. Hell, that's not even bringing up the fact that Paolo and Franz, despite them not being PGs, would have the ball in their hands a lot even if they had a Tyus Jones here.

If you're giving me a finalized version of Black who is an uber efficient PG who uses his length advantage at the spot, can shoot, has great vision and fits in perfectly, yes, move KCP immediately to the bench and start him right now. But there are way too many theoreticals to count before any of that happens, and unfortunately, the Magic got too good too soon, which occurred during the second half of the season before that draft even happened. Injuries were the only reason we were that bad. It's not like we tanked all season to make sure to get him.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1030 » by Knightro » Wed Oct 2, 2024 12:19 am

VFX wrote:
Knightro wrote:
VFX wrote:Makes no sense. Cole isn't good enough offensively off-ball and AB isn't good enough offensively on-ball. But ok.


Cole won’t be off the ball.


So what is AB doing?


AB will stand in a corner and wait for a catch-and-shoot 3PT, be a cutter, and sometimes do some secondary creation.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1031 » by thelead » Wed Oct 2, 2024 12:59 am

VFX wrote:
thelead wrote:
VFX wrote:
So what is AB doing?

Doing what he can while he develops

My biggest issue with AB running point is his inability to get past any defender. Dude just can’t create any separation against guards and his off-the-dribble jumper isn’t good enough yet to confidently pull up and shoot over shorter defenders.

Just gotta remember that he’s young and that he should develop if he’s a hard worker. He has great instincts and has shown that he will be, at worst, a solid 3 and D player. Let’s hope for more though.


And I get that.

He will be earning minutes in the backup rotation despite the video you posted getting minutes with starters (sans Goga) due to injuries.

What I'm attempting to illustrate here is that he's buried in the rotation because Mosely needs to play certain guys he feels comfortable with playing. AB is now going to have a more difficult time playing next to Cole and Gary for the sake of finding ways of getting him on the court. In reality, they should have found ways to get him in the second unit as a point guard and not relegated to guarding opposing wings. Just wont be the case now and wasnt really up for grabs considering the FO moves.

I like AB. I just struggle to see how seeing these kinds of lineups is putting him in positions for success given what we know.

I get your frustration… I just think they’re (Mose and the FO) going to let it play out and see which young guys on the bench are worth keeping before the inevitable consolidation trade occurs. We’re unfortunately a year away from that trade… at best.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1032 » by rcklsscognition » Wed Oct 2, 2024 1:28 am

I’m going all in on Suggs this year. 18ppg, 4.4 apg, 3.6rpg, 2.1spg.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1033 » by yoyojw17 » Wed Oct 2, 2024 1:56 am

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DAjwXYGy6F3/?igsh=dXNjMnQ4YnRzOXB4

Aj Griffin's retirement.... I could see this board losing their ish if we drafted him and he did this. Lol
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1034 » by thelead » Wed Oct 2, 2024 2:01 am

rcklsscognition wrote:I’m going all in on Suggs this year. 18ppg, 4.4 apg, 3.6rpg, 2.1spg.

:pray:
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1035 » by Knightro » Wed Oct 2, 2024 3:14 am

2nd unit...

Cole on the ball. AB secondary facilitator

Gary and AB spot shooting + AB and JI cutting/crashing OREB.

Moritz primary screener. JI secondary screener.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1036 » by Bensational » Wed Oct 2, 2024 3:22 am

Knightro wrote:2nd unit...

Cole on the ball. AB secondary facilitator

Gary and AB spot shooting + AB and JI cutting/crashing OREB.

Moritz primary screener. JI secondary screener.


Cole:AB 3:1 playmaking ratio.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1037 » by Knightro » Wed Oct 2, 2024 3:24 am

Bensational wrote:Cole:AB 3:1 playmaking ratio.


I have no idea what this means. But Black doesn't have the personality (or the jaws of life) necessary to wrestle the ball away from Cole, so for better or worse, it's gonna be Cole on the ball the majority of the time.

And the more I think about it, the more likely scenario seems to be the Magic stagger Franz by getting him out of the game a little earlier than the other starters so he can come back in the be the main guy on the 2nd unit.

So perhaps AB comes in for Franz and the Magic go with a Suggs/AB/KCP/Paolo/Carter lineup for a bit and then the 2nd unit is more like Cole/Harris/Franz/JI/Moritz.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1038 » by Bensational » Wed Oct 2, 2024 3:46 am

Knightro wrote:
Bensational wrote:Cole:AB 3:1 playmaking ratio.


I have no idea what this means. But Black doesn't have the personality (or the jaws of life) necessary to wrestle the ball away from Cole, so for better or worse, it's gonna be Cole on the ball the majority of the time.

And the more I think about it, the more likely scenario seems to be the Magic stagger Franz by getting him out of the game a little earlier than the other starters so he can come back in the be the main guy on the 2nd unit.

So perhaps AB comes in for Franz and the Magic go with a Suggs/AB/KCP/Paolo/Carter lineup for a bit and then the 2nd unit is more like Cole/Harris/Franz/JI/Moritz.


I don’t disagree, but I think the team will make the effort to have AB involved. So for every 3 plays Cole runs, AB will run 1, on average. Should add up to a very modest amount but it will have him involved and give him the chance for his game to demand more.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1039 » by VFX » Wed Oct 2, 2024 4:24 am

SOUL wrote:
VFX wrote:Those advantages absolutely matter. He isn't drafted that high AT ALL if he was 6'3 or 6'4. It's what gives him unique potential as a guard defender, rather than being relegated to an average wing defender.


It matters within context of where a roster is. If he was drafted in the Franz draft or even Paolo draft, yes, he deserves all the run and opportunity he could handle at the PG position. It also doesn't help that he's also that he's on a team with two other guards who could feasibly make an All-Defensive first or second team as a perimeter hounding guard, so even his biggest advantage at this moment is more of a luxury than something this team is starved for.

VFX wrote:People say "positions don't matter" but you'd never argue that skillsets or defensive capabilities aren't important within that context. Which is exactly the entire point of harping on the former and never focusing on the latter. AB is the prime example of this argument. Does he get better playing in a situation where he's not really guarding point guards or "running" the offense because everything is by committee? The answer is no.


It's not that they don't matter in terms of matchups or skillsets, especially in the playoffs, it's that to see the floor, coaches are putting literal guards like Dort at PF or center in some lineups, or guys like Josh Hart will play 1-5 depending on the lineup and if his skillset (energy, hustle, being a good rebounder) can mimic an actual big, he can create matchup advantages there. You wouldn't look at any of those guys, and many others, and even THINK about playing them out of position early on because it wouldn't be taking advantage of their skillsets. I don't think using Black in an Ingles-like role is even that "extreme" in terms of envisioning what his role might look at in the NBA if he isn't a full-time PG.

Because if he insists he is only a full-time PG, and he doesn't develop the skillset to even be a particular effective one, you are putting all of your eggs in one basket and finding a quick way out of the league.



VFX wrote:They have set up the roster in a way that is conducive to "earning" playing time over vets but also convoluted like your very apt examples of other teams in similar situations. The difference? AB is a top lotto pick point guard on a team without a true starting point guard. That should be obvious to most people what the solution should be. Probably not playing him in a second unit in a position better suited for another dude buried looking for minutes. Not necessarily the best spot for him to be honest.

I'd rather see his minutes be in the best possible situation to succeed and not because he needs to be on the floor by any means necessary.


You're right with this quote, but it only works as an individual statement with no context around anything else. Suggs was a higher draft pick who also needs to see minutes as an All-Defensive first guy and 40% three point shooter, and KCP is a proven top tier championship role player and shooter at his position, where there aren't many two-way guys who are able to do that.

They're all important, but it's hard to say that Black's situation supersedes what Suggs or KCP should. Hell, that's not even bringing up the fact that Paolo and Franz, despite them not being PGs, would have the ball in their hands a lot even if they had a Tyus Jones here.

If you're giving me a finalized version of Black who is an uber efficient PG who uses his length advantage at the spot, can shoot, has great vision and fits in perfectly, yes, move KCP immediately to the bench and start him right now. But there are way too many theoreticals to count before any of that happens, and unfortunately, the Magic got too good too soon, which occurred during the second half of the season before that draft even happened. Injuries were the only reason we were that bad. It's not like we tanked all season to make sure to get him.


I dunno man. I feel like if I’m drafting a 6’7 point guard athlete at #6 I’m going to try and prioritize getting them reps doing what I want them to do in the future. That instead of reinventing the wheel by moving guys around into “by committee” basketball because they failed to address simple concerns. Especially for dudes that are young and have little other reference.

What is the context? Orlando needs KCP’s 10ppg instead of Gary’s 7ppg? They need it so much they are willing to play a #6 pick as a mediocre wing defender as opposed to where he’s more advantageous in its wake? Ok I guess…

It’s like the plan goes completely out the window because moving Suggs to point guard, despite not actually being a distributor whatsoever, and getting 1 extra shooter is more important than trusting their investments. So much so that it feels like sacrificing long term development for short term win yield.

Let’s just say that I disagree with the pundits that adding KCP, while also re-signing Gary, was as huge of a home run than they would believe. Mostly for the questions I’m currently asking about AB and their other investments.

I think there will be opportunities for most of these guys. I just find it annoying that player development concessions have to be made to a first round exit roster that is nowhere near complete or competing for a championship this or next season. Like damn you’d think Paolo was on his second prime contract with some of these decisions.

I believe in a lot of these guys and they are ahead of schedule. Some decisions though feel like they are rushing expectations by not getting some of these guys as involved as they will be while the window isn’t fully open.
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Re: Official Offseason Thread 9.0: The Long Road to October 

Post#1040 » by eyriq » Wed Oct 2, 2024 4:27 am

I think AB is going to get heavy playmaking reps in the second unit. Are we pretending Cole was the lead playmaker last season? It was Ingles. AB is taking that role.

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