dcstanley wrote:This team as currently constructed is not capable of winning four series in a row without extreme injury luck. On top of that, they'll be lucky to finish as a fifth or sixth seed.
They're in the same tier as the Pelicans, Grizzlies, Kings, and Warriors and honestly, besides the Warriors, I think those teams are better equipped to have stronger regular seasons.
If Lakers are healthy, I believe they can improve their RS performance with a coach much better in setting the offense and rotation. Whether AD and LeBron stay healthy is another question, but Lakers underperformed last RS due to Ham's rotation and his panic mode during January's (?) slump.
I also believe that in the playoffs they can upset every team but healthy Nuggets, at least for now, maybe Thunder will make a leap forward this year. West is extremely deep, but not necessarily that deep in upside. After all, the biggest offseason by the Western team was ... OKC with Caruso and Hartenstein? Nice additions for them, but we'll see if that enables them to improve a tier as a team, and it shows that the East is more eager to actually compete: Bucks, Knicks, Celtics, Sixers, even Pacers - they all acquired significant names in the last season or two on the market.
But Lakers have injury-prone star duo, lack of PoA defender unless Vincent resurrects, questionable playoff performers and playoff matchups (Nuggets, Mavs).
First and foremost: it's pretty much clear that Lakers are 'satisfied' with current position - they still have the most marketable star in the league (LeBron) and are decent as a team, that's enough for them to be (I guess) very profitable team. It's also clear that Lakers won't make any major moves unless star is reachable (with Murray, they actually could've competed in the West last season), and even there's a star on trade block, there are several organizations in better position to fight for them. And - it's clear that Lakers will be fine with 'current' situation until 2026/2027 (when the last 1st round pick isn't controlled by them). With LeBron being nearly 40, trading away future first draft picks would be irrational, so I'm not even criticizing that.
So yeah, LeBron being healthy, decent RS, nice draw in the playoffs, maybe luck, potentially some upsets - that would be it. Westbrook trade, Westbrook trade, Westbrook trade, Caruso leaving, Caruso leaving, Caruso leaving. It's so infuriating that we're close from being in 2025, and still LeBron-AD-Caruso-KCP-Kuzma core would be a tier better than current roster, 4 seasons after a title. And yeah, nothing will change in this regard unless something unexpected happens.