MartinToVaught wrote:og15 wrote:19-20 Clippers were a contender, but their minds were not in that playoffs as they should have been, sadly, and the two stars failed in game 7 of round 2. The 20-21 Clippers were contenders, they beat the Suns with healthy Kawhi, and they would match up better defensively against the Bucks than the Suns could even dream of. Giannis after getting his legs back coming from injury just totally dominated the Suns and they didn't have the size or individual defense to do anything, Clippers actually did.
Since then it has just been Kawhi out over and over, so...
Honestly, 19-20 never passed the eye test for me and I was already bracing for a first/second round exit before COVID. We simply did not have the coaching or roster capable of winning a title. We had too many regular-season-only players.
20-21 was our only legit contending year and we all saw how that ended.
It's not even worth dwelling on those seasons anymore because the team had only gotten older, slower and worse since then. By the time Ballmer and Frank finally changed it up, this team had become incapable of winning a playoff series anymore. We weren't going to be running back the 20-21 team, it would have been last year's team that was already unwatchable and mediocre
at best for all but one fluke month of the season despite Kawhi playing more games than usual. It boggles the mind that anyone would want to sit through another year of that.
That's fair, but they still had a chance even with that, sometimes it's about opportunity and right moment, right time.
esqtvd wrote:og15 wrote:esqtvd wrote:Any team that wins 50 games is a contender.
There was a season or seasons where the 8th seed in the West was a 50 win team, no way they were contenders. So yea, simply winning 50 games means very little in terms of being a contender.
Lob City were second tier contenders and for only 2 seasons, everything would have to go right for them and wrong for opponents for them to have, for example, get to a finals. They had enough for at least 1 WCF in them, but everything went right for Houston and wrong for them. It's like if Karl Malone and Stockton had just 89-90 and 90-91
You can't be a true contender in the West at the time they played with the lack of wing talent/defense/versatility and lack of big man bench depth in any of their Doc seasons. If you just had one of those problems, and your wings were big two way guys who can defend, but your big man depth is weak, okay. Or if your wings were weak, but your big man depth (especially with one who you couldn't keep on the court late in games) is excellent, okay, but you can't have both weaknesses with a small roster (small PG, small SG, small PF).
Did they try? Sure, it's not like they didn't know the problem, but Dudley,.Hedo, Granger, Stephenson on the wings, and Big Baby and Hawes as bigs were not it and/or didn't pan out.
19-20 Clippers were a contender, but their minds were not in that playoffs as they should have been, sadly, and the two stars failed in game 7 of round 2. The 20-21 Clippers were contenders, they beat the Suns with healthy Kawhi, and they would match up better defensively against the Bucks than the Suns could even dream of. Giannis after getting his legs back coming from injury just totally dominated the Suns and they didn't have the size or individual defense to do anything, Clippers actually did.
Since then it has just been Kawhi out over and over, so...
Then let's turn it around and just say that if you DON'T win 50 games you're not a contender. The principle is the same. I'd still have liked to see what they could have done last year with a healthy Kawhi.
The O/U on this year's team is 40.5. People have been pleading to give NBA minutes to these "kids" [who are like 24+ years old now] who haven't earned them, and now they'll get their wish. If they can win 42, I'll be happy enough, I suppose.
Certainly you aren't a contender under 50 wins unless it's some special circumstance like making some mid-season trade which totally changes your team, or injuries derailing your record and then the injured guy(s) coming back strong.
For example, people who weren't watching closely think Dallas was just a regular 50 win team and a regular 5th seed who just exceeded expectations. Those who watched closely saw a team go from a 118.8 Drtg the first 51 games, get a whole new starting lineup and go to 111.8 Drtg the last 30 games of the season. A 7 pts/100 change in defense is INSANE!
That is, they went from 25-27th in defense the first 51 games, made trades and became the 4th best defense, right after Boston.
I know many people didn't know that based on even how our fellow Clippers fans were thinking the stars being locked up by Dallas was just their lack of ability as players. Dallas was locking teams up since after they got Washington and Gafford. They got 48 minutes of rim protection and size at the 5 with Gafford/Lively and then they upgraded from one to two atheltic, versatile and long POA defenders by adding Washington to DJJ, so now they had two guys to mix and match against anyone from the 1-4 based on the matchup.
They were 28-23, jumped 20 spots in defense basically overnight and went 22-9 to end the season. The 22-9 was the actual representation of their strength as a team, which is a 58 win pace. But if we don't go more than surface, we don't see that.
Even GS in 21-22, that was not a 53 win team. They won 53 with 64 games of Curry, 46 games of Draymond and 32 games of Klay. If you had 65+ games of those three guys that year, you would have had closer to a 60 win team. But people not thinking more than surface won't take that into account. They were 34-12 when Draymond played, 61 win pace, lol.
So yes, generally you do have to cross the 50 win barrier, but crossing it is not indicative in itself if contender status also.