KnixinSix wrote:NoDopeOnSundays wrote:KnixinSix wrote:
100% agreed here.
If KAT plays more 4 with an elite rim protecting and rebounding big...anything we lose offensively will be made up by our increase in rebounding and interior defense. Our D will look like it has when THibs has the right pieces and that's a D that teams absolutely HATE to play against (and usually a top 3-5 D in the entire league).
That could work against the Cavs and Sixers, but it won't work against the Celtics. The Mavs had elite rim protection, 2 elite shot creators and floor spacing, they had a 106.7 ORTG against the Celtics. If you have just 1 non-offensive threat in your lineup they punish you for it, it's why the Pacers of all teams had the best ORTG against them in the playoffs (114.8), because everyone in their starting 5 was a threat. The Mavs offense was killing teams with a 112, 115.9, 118.3 ORTG prior to getting their heads crushed by the Celtics defense.
If the goal is to win regular season games, Tom's boilerplate coaching and 2 bigs will do just fine, if the goal is to win a title you're not getting by a healthy Celtics team playing 2 bigs, they have beaten that type of team routinely since 2018.
I see your point but keep in mind, it's a bit more nuanced than that. With Mitch the theory is now we have FOUR elite wing perimeter defenders (OG, Bridges, Hart, McBride) who can cheat a bit more to the perimeter bc they can funnel inside to a beast in Mitch. Our D when Mitch returns (or a trade for a Poetl type) is arguably better than any of those teams you mention.
The Celtics aren't really trying to attack the basket, they're trying to get you to help on the rim so they can kick out for a three. There's nobody in the lane to funnel to, when Kristaps plays his average shot distance is 27.1 feet, that's the average three he takes. So, what happens to the rim protector is he's standing 27-30 feet away from the rim on the vast majority of plays that KP is on the floor. They negate the rim protectors impact by taking him completely out of the way, and on the offensive end they punish you for playing him. If we ever put Hart and Mitch on the floor together Mitch would be guarded by Tatum and KP would be on Hart, they'll help off Hart and have KP help Tatum on the glass.
This is exactly what they did to the Mavericks, their offense fell off a cliff because the Celtics can switch almost all the matchups, and their wings were big enough to gang rebound and keep Lively/Gafford off the glass, and both being so limited offensively it cratered their offense. That happened to everyone but Indy, because Turner was outside and they had to account for that.