bwgood77 wrote:garrick wrote:bwgood77 wrote:
I thought the east made some ground at some point, or at least was deeper, but the fact that Milwaukee, Philly and NY have started out so poorly is crazy.
I still think it's a toss up who will be the best teams after OKC, but we need Booker back at his best for sure. GS is obviously better than I expected. They are interesting, given they are not all that far removed from winning at title...it's hard to believe they won the finals just two years ago in 2022 (3 NBA championship ago)...but really the main difference is swapping in Hield for Klay, and that feels like an upgrade....and their younger guys have had more time to improve. I thought Wiggins had regressed from that season but there isn't any real reason he should have.
Some teams are really banged up too. Memphis, as usual, is super banged up without Ja, Bane, etc...though Scotty Pippen Jr is playing awesome. The Pelicans are banged up and maybe not that good. It's still so early. I don't think the Spurs are near playoff caliber yet, but they are probably better than last season when they beat us twice in a row. Seems like we are better too though, when healthy. Jokic will carry Denver on his back...and Gordon has been out for them too. Dallas has had the best or 2nd best record after Jan 1st for 2-3 years in a row, so they may come on strong after the new year...not sure why that happens with them. I like Houston as a team, but a lot of their wins are against bad teams. Jabari Smith Jr has been pretty disappointing.
I don't know if it's the fact that the west is really good right now or that no one is THAT good outside of OKC, or if there are some really good teams. I think a lot of teams have really up and down nights. The fact that everyone has a good pt differential except Utah, NO, and Portland makes me think there have been a lot of blowouts against either those 3 teams or EC teams. We haven't really played any bad EC teams I don't think, but have played Utah and Portland once each. There are so many western teams we haven't played yet that it's hard to tell where we stand in relation to teams like GS, Denver, Memphis, Houston, Minnesota, etc. GS does look like a HCA team though. They have been pretty strong all season.
The insane part is that Boston is probably a tier above anyone on the West and will be elite for the next 3-4 seasons and while the Western conference teams are in a dog fight the Celtics have a relatively easy path to the finals barring major injuries.
Philly and Milwaukee just aren't as good as they used to be and NY is still inferior to Boston even after the Mikail and KAT trades.
While I think Boston is/was loaded last year, KP's health is a HUGE factor given Horford is so old. If Horford drops off, which HAS to happen soon, and he's already dropped off soon, they will be thin up front. But with KP, they are elite, given they can play Jrue, Brown, White and Tatum. Jrue has been a lot more healthy in recent years than he was.
However, I think OKC is just as talented. As good as KP is, Chet is much better already. Shai is better than anyone on the Celtics, Jalen Williams is as good as anyone outside of maybe Tatum, and then even though Boston is great defensively with Jrue, White, Tatum, KP, OKC may be better there with Shai, Dort, Caruso and Chet. Isaiah Joe is good too.
Then who have the Cavs. Their backcourt rivals anyone's, and so does their frontcourt. And it's their frontcourt where the defense is strong, with Mobley and Allen, which together, combined, trump KP/Tatum or Horford. Though Chet and Hartenstein, even though he doesn't start is very strong.
i think those 3 teams are above everyone, with maybe GS in a tier by themselves (for now, but it's still early), then a bunch of teams, mostly WC ones. Indy has a lot of potential..and are solid defensively with Turner and Siakam up front, with solid offense with Siakam, Haliburton, Mathurin, and Turner spreading the floor. Any of those guys can have big nights.
I figured they'd be behind NY, Philly and Milwaukee, but obviously they are ahead of those teams. The Nets are somehow fighting hard. Their record isn't good and their roster doesn't seem great, but it feels their schedules have been brutal and they were leading Boston and Cleveland late, and it seems like another really good team or two, but lost those in close games.
Orlando should be better record wise, but lost Banchero which is a huge blow. A couple teams in that tier below GS in the west will rise, it's just a matter of who, but we can only do it healthy.
I don't mind Beal being out today to get healthy because it was extremely unlikely we have a chance against OKC anyway. They will play small, and while I think we are very good small, we still have to play a lumbering C, unless it's Oso there, and they may play all smaller guys...all solid ones to exploit our slower (or rookie) bigs.
I kind of wish we would scratch Booker for this game so he can get right.












