Daryl Morey's Projection System Gave Sixers Better Chance Of Winning Title Than 2018 Rockets

[RealGM Wiretap]

Daryl Morey's internal projection system had this year's Philadelphia 76ers as having the best chance of winning an NBA championship than any team he had previously assembled, including the Houston Rockets in 2018 that lost to the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference finals.

The Sixers entered the season with the NBA's fourth best odds of winning a title at 8-1 with an over/under of 51.5 regular season wins.

Morey's proprietary system usually assigns title contenders as having between a five and 10 percent chance. Morey's formula topped out at 70 percent when the Warriors acquired Kevin Durant ahead of the 16-17 season.

But the Sixers have struggled with injuries to each of Joel Embiid, Paul George and Tyrese Maxey.

"Except for [Jared] McCain, everything that could go wrong, has gone wrong," one team source said.

Via Ramona Shelburne/ESPN

[Twinkie defense]

Oops.

[beefman]

he's the biggest joke in the NBA

[_BALLDONTLIE]

Who leaked this to the media?

[the_process]

The model clearly doesn't factor in health nor clutchness.

[Revived]

Who leaked this to the media?

Embiid’s on it to find out.

[Cassius]

lol his proprietary system looks a lot like Krang.

[MitchB3]

You can tell he's not a serious GM at all.

[FeatheryTouch]

It's a predictive projection system to establish probabilities folks, nothing is ever guaranteed in trying to predict future events. The same sort of thing happens in the draft every year...some guys pan out, some guys don't. Same thing with trades and some medical evaluations. You are always making calculated gambles as a GM.

Things have definitely gone sideways in Philly(mostly due to health), but almost every preseason expert had Philly as a top 3 team in the east this year.

None of this is to say Morey hasn't made mistakes of course.

[Jabroni Lames]

That system is still running on Windows XP.