Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE — Hakeem Olajuwon

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Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE — Hakeem Olajuwon 

Post#1 » by AEnigma » Thu Nov 28, 2024 7:12 pm

General Project Discussion Thread

Discussion and Results from the 2010 Project

In this thread we'll discuss and vote on the top 5 players and the top 3 offensive and defensive players of 1992-93.

Player of the Year (POY)(5) — most accomplished overall player of that season
Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY)(3) — most accomplished offensive player of that season
Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY)(3) — most accomplished defensive player of that season

Voting will close sometime after 12:00PM EST on Monday, December 2nd. I have no issue keeping it open so long as discussion is strong, but please try to vote within the first three days.

Valid ballots must provide an explanation for your choices that gives us a window into how you thought and why you came to the decisions you did. You can vote for any of the three awards — although they must be complete votes — but I will only tally votes for an award when there are at least five valid ballots submitted for it.

Remember, your votes must be based on THIS season. This is intended to give wide wiggle room for personal philosophies while still providing a boundary to make sure the award can be said to mean something. You can factor things like degree of difficulty as defined by you, but what you can't do is ignore how the player actually played on the floor this season in favor of what he might have done if only...

You may change your vote, but if you do, edit your original post rather than writing, "hey, ignore my last post, this is my real post until I change my mind again.” I similarly ask that ballots be kept in one post rather than making one post for Player of the Year, one post for Offensive Player of the Year, and/or one post for Defensive Player of the Year. If you want to provide your reasoning that way for the sake of discussion, fine, but please keep the official votes themselves in one aggregated post. Finally, for ease of tallying, I prefer for you to place your votes at the beginning of your balloting post, with some formatting that makes them stand out. I will not discount votes which fail to follow these requests, but I am certainly more likely to overlook them.

Contrarian votes can be and have been sincere, but they look a lot more sincere when you take the time to fully present your reasoning rather than transparently pretend nothing is amiss.
Doctor MJ wrote:Vote sincerely. Do not move a player down in your voting to give another player an advantage. I would encourage every voter to give some explanations while they do their voting - but particularly if you have a top 5 that deviates strongly with the norm and you haven't expressed your thoughts on it earlier in the thread. If I'm not satisfied, I may ask you for more of an explanation - and it may come to actually booting people out of the project.

The rules here are that you've got to use the same type of thinking for all 5 votes. I understand putting more thought into #1 than #5, but I don't want PJ Brown votes. Voters do Brown type votes to give a guy an honorable mention. Makes sense if people only care about who finishes 1st, but I've been clear that I want to measure more than that. I've been trying to encourage literal "honorable mentions" to serve that purpose, and I'd ask that people use that as the way they honor guys who did something special but who aren't actually a top 5 guy that year.

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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#2 » by One_and_Done » Thu Nov 28, 2024 7:25 pm

This will likely be between Jordan and Hakeem for me.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#3 » by trelos6 » Thu Nov 28, 2024 9:28 pm

OPOY

1.Michael Jordan. One of the best playmakers in the league, and was a pretty good passer in 92-93. Scored at 32.3 pp75 on +2.8 rTS% with a team rOrtg of 4.9. In the playoffs, his efficiency dropped to just above league average, while his volume went up a little.

2.Charles Barkley. Sir Charles was never a great passer, but in 92-93, he was better. He was 24.5 pp75 on only +6 rTS%, but the Suns offense was a league best +5.3 rOrtg. His scoring remained static in the playoffs, but his efficiency cratered to league average. I try not to be swayed too much by one game, but that 44/24 game to close out the Sonics was special.

3.Mark Price. Wasn’t great in the playoffs, but in the regular season, he was the best playmaker in the league, and a pretty good passer. 21.8 pp75 on +7.3 rTS%. Team rOrtg of +4.7.


DPOY

1.Hakeem Olajuwon. Anchored a top 5 defense in the regular season, then backed it up by anchoring the best playoff defense of any teams playing more than one series.

2.Patrick Ewing. Anchored the best defense in the league in the regular season.

3.David Robinson. Anchored a top 10 defense in the regular season, and his defense was good in the playoffs.



POY

1.Michael Jordan. It was a close one, and could really be seen as a 1A/B situation this year. I’m giving the nod to Jordan for his amazing playoffs. +5.81 OPIPM, +1.08 DPIPM, +6.89 PIPM. 22.34 Wins Added.

2.Hakeem Olajuwon. Peak Hakeem. Rudy’s the coach for the whole season, and Hakeem elevates his game offensively. +2.97 OPIPM, +4.31 DPIPM. +7.28 PIPM. 23.04 Wins Added. Super close with MJ this year. 25.2 pp75 on +4.1 rTS%. Team rOrtg of +1.6.

3.Charles Barkley. It was close between Charles and Robinson. Ultimately, being on a better team helps Charles here, and his extra playmaking covered the gap to Robinson’s elite D. +4.63 OPIPM, +1.13 DPIPM, +5.76 PIPM. 20.05 Wins Added.

4.David Robinson. +2.64 OPIPM, +3.31 DPIPM, +5.95 PIPM. 19.43 Wins Added. 22.5 pp75 on +3.3 rTS%.

5.Patrick Ewing. 24.8 pp75 on +1 rTS%, great D. +1.04 OPIPM, +3.33 DPIPM. +4.36 PIPM. 16.35 Wins Added. Beat’s out Karl Malone for 5th.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#4 » by One_and_Done » Thu Nov 28, 2024 11:52 pm

1. Jordan
2. Hakeem

3. D.Rob
4. K.Malone
5. Barkley

This is a tough year to rank. Jordan v.s Hakeem for #1 is a close contest. I don’t feel like Jordan was quite at his apex anymore in 1993, and he was definitely coasting a little in the RS after 2 titles. I am not too fussed by that, it’s just a mild demerit. Hakeem hit another level this year, his 93-96 prime is a clear step up from his earlier years. He was kind of like a slightly worse Tim Duncan in this stretch, which is one of the greatest players of all-time. That merits consideration over Jordan. If this was 2003 Duncan for example, I’d take him over Jordan without hesitation.

What’s holding me back from taking Hakeem this year is one of the same things that jumps out in the Hakeem v.s Duncan analysis. Hakeem lost in both 93 and 96 to the Sonics. That wasn’t random. The Sonics deployed a defence that pushed the limits of illegal defence rules, and Hakeem was bad at dealing with it. If Hakeem had come up against the Sonics in 94 or 95, maybe he doesn’t win a title at all. I feel like that failure to adapt in the PS has to hold him back against Jordan, just as I mark him down for it v.s Duncan (who didn’t have the benefit of illegal D for almost the whole of his career, and yet was still awesome.

D.Rob didn’t have much around him, and lost to a more stacked Suns team. He is a fairly clear #3 for me, despite a dip in playoff performance. As for Barkley, I’ve been a big backer of his but by this point he was no longer peak Barkley. His weight had started to increase, his athleticism had dipped somewhat, and he was winning so much in part because he was traded to a team that was able to make a WCF run without him. Mailman was more impactful at this point. I regard Stockton as a worse player than KJ, never mind all the other help Barkley had.

HM: Pippen & rookie Shaq. It was tough to leave Pippen out, but I’ve leaned Barkley this year despite his shortcomings as he did have a very big season and playoffs nonetheless. Shaq probably needed another year of seasoning to have the same impact as the top 5, though it’s close. He was already better than Ewing though.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#5 » by capfan33 » Fri Nov 29, 2024 1:03 am

1. Hakeem- all-time two way season taking a subpar supporting cast to 55 wins and bringing them one game shy of the conference finals. Peak Hakeem and one of the 5ish best peaks ever.

2. Jordan- Kind of a down-year but he turns it up enough in the playoffs to secure a historic three-peat. Knicks series was rough however.

3. Ewing- Defensive titan with strong scoring. Improved his volume and efficiency against Chicago, got by far the closest to stopping the first three-peat which deserves a lot of credit.

4.Barkley- Not his best season but leading the Suns to the finals along with being one of the best players in the league in a vacuum definitely deserves to be on this list.

5. Robinsons- incredible regular season player ofc, but also had a reasonable performance against the Suns this year, so feel that he should be in here.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#6 » by AEnigma » Fri Nov 29, 2024 1:17 am

Truly astounding how such definite statements apparently require no basis other than vaguely gesturing at the cheapest possible basketball banalities.

One_and_Done wrote:Hakeem lost in both 93 and 96 to the Sonics. That wasn’t random.

“Duncan lost to Kobe in 2001, 2002, 2004, and 2008. That wasn’t random.”

The Sonics deployed a defence that pushed the limits of illegal defence rules,

Very specific stuff here. How exactly did the Sonics “push the limits” in a way distinct from every other historically elite defence of the era.

and Hakeem was bad at dealing with it.

Even more specific. How. What was “bad” about his performance. What did Hakeem uniquely fail to do that we know the brilliant Duncan — who routinely lost with more advantages than Hakeem ever had — would have done to guarantee a win.

If Hakeem had come up against the Sonics in 94 or 95, maybe he doesn’t win a title at all.

Oh, so true, if only Hakeem had been replaced with Dikembe or Vlade, then the Rockets would have been able to solve that unprecedented “limit-pushing” defence.

feel like that failure to adapt

To what. The Rockets won every home game and lost game 7 in overtime with Hakeem acting as the team’s primary playmaker. What exact “adaptation” did you expect.

in the PS has to hold him back against Jordan, just as I mark him down for it v.s Duncan (who didn’t have the benefit of illegal D for almost the whole of his career, and yet was still awesome.

What precise “benefit” was denied to Duncan by comparison. You think the 2003 Finals was a better performance? Hey, I agree, but that is not because the Nets were replicating the Sonics’ approach; they were more stylistically comparable to the Knicks.

Hakeem on an individual level did not deal poorly with the Sonics in any year except 1996, but you are committed to this fiction that someone like Duncan — with absolutely no evidentiary support — could magically guarantee his teammates would convert on any open look and would be immune to what may have been the most aggressive ball pressure backcourt in league history.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#7 » by One_and_Done » Fri Nov 29, 2024 2:14 am

AEnigma wrote:Truly astounding how such definite statements apparently require no basis other than vaguely gesturing at the cheapest possible basketball banalities.

One_and_Done wrote:Hakeem lost in both 93 and 96 to the Sonics. That wasn’t random.

“Duncan lost to Kobe in 2001, 2002, 2004, and 2008. That wasn’t random.”

The Sonics deployed a defence that pushed the limits of illegal defence rules,

Very specific stuff here. How exactly did the Sonics “push the limits” in a way distinct from every other historically elite defence of the era.

and Hakeem was bad at dealing with it.

Even more specific. How. What was “bad” about his performance. What did Hakeem uniquely fail to do that we know the brilliant Duncan — who routinely lost with more advantages than Hakeem ever had — would have done to guarantee a win.

If Hakeem had come up against the Sonics in 94 or 95, maybe he doesn’t win a title at all.

Oh, so true, if only Hakeem had been replaced with Dikembe or Vlade, then the Rockets would have been able to solve that unprecedented “limit-pushing” defence.

feel like that failure to adapt

To what. The Rockets won every home game and lost game 7 in overtime with Hakeem acting as the team’s primary playmaker. What exact “adaptation” did you expect.

in the PS has to hold him back against Jordan, just as I mark him down for it v.s Duncan (who didn’t have the benefit of illegal D for almost the whole of his career, and yet was still awesome.

What precise “benefit” was denied to Duncan by comparison. You think the 2003 Finals was a better performance? Hey, I agree, but that is not because the Nets were replicating the Sonics’ approach; they were more stylistically comparable to the Knicks.

Hakeem on an individual level did not deal poorly with the Sonics in any year except 1996, but you are committed to this fiction that someone like Duncan — with absolutely no evidentiary support — could magically guarantee his teammates would convert on any open look and would be immune to what may have been the most aggressive ball pressure backcourt in league history.

Chill. There’s no need to take disagreements so personally.

1) Duncan lost to Shaq and his sidekick Kobe in 01, 02 and 04, because he was outgunned due to his rubbish support cast. In 08 he wasn’t in his prime and lost to Kobe and Pau and others. That’s the context that is relevant here. I know you weren’t being serious, but it’s worth pointing out nonetheless.

2) How did the Sonics “push the limits” of illegal D? Well, there’s countless google articles that discuss that point. Here’s the first one that I found, which illustrates the issue thusly.
https://www.red94.net/14511/14511/
History in Hindsight: The Houston Rockets, The Seattle SuperSonics, and Hakeem Olajuwon’s greatest foe.
But beyond Kemp and Payton was George Karl’s “unique” defense. Up until the 2001-02 NBA season, the league did not allow zone defenses. Double teams were permitted, but players had to commit to the double and were not allowed to hedge. Otherwise, the result was an illegal defense violation. However, the Sonics under Karl used a pressing, trapping defense which had elements of zone. Hakeem was always relentlessly doubled by the Sonics regardless of whether he had the ball. Whether these were legal doubles or otherwise was a controversial matter. At best, Karl skirted the line between legal and illegal defenses… The Rockets were far from the only team to complain about Seattle’s zone defense over the years. Phil Jackson and Scottie Pippen stated that the Sonics played a zone defense before the 1996 NBA Finals began, and teams like Sacramento and the Lakers also complained. In 1996, Seattle received by a significant margin the most illegal defensive violations in the league.


Other teams tried this as well, but lacked the speed and athleticism of the Sonics for the most part. Hakeem struggled with this because, even in his peak from 93-96, his passing and decision making weren’t on the same level as other stars. When the pressure was applied, he couldn’t handle it. This is notable because guys like Duncan lacked the protection afforded to Hakeem in the form of illegal defence, and thrived anyway.

And no, Duncan did not “routinely lose with more advantages than Hakeem ever had”. Duncan’s teams through his whole prime (98-07) either met or exceeded expectations. His playoff record looks nothing like the shaky one Hakeem has.

If Hakeem is going to be compared to the greatest players of all-time, which is what a comparison to Duncan and Jordan constitutes, then he should have been able to overcome this basic problem. Jordan overcame the Sonics doing this in 96 for instance. Duncan had to play almost his whole career without any protection from soft doubles and more ball pressure. This is not about Hakeem’s team mates failing, and Duncan’s succeeding. Duncan’s team mates often failed spectacularly during his prime, or were just bad in the first place some years, but when Duncan lost it was to the likes of Shaq and Kobe, not the Payton and Kemp Sonics (who were only 23 and 24 in 1993). Payton wasn’t even playing like an all-star that year. I also find it a bizarre thing to claim in 1993. The Rockets were 39/102 from 3 in the Sonics series; an incredibly high % and volume for that era. Hakeem should have had plenty of support to beat the Sonics if he really had the impact of Duncan (or Jordan).
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#8 » by DirtyDez » Fri Nov 29, 2024 3:16 am

Barkley can’t be lower than third here. 62-20 with KJ missing games and playing hurt all year. The west was very strong that year with Houston, Seattle, Utah, San Antonio, Portland and Phoenix. All would have been top-4 teams in the east.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#9 » by One_and_Done » Fri Nov 29, 2024 3:28 am

DirtyDez wrote:Barkley can’t be lower than third here. 62-20 with KJ missing games and playing hurt all year. The west was very strong that year with Houston, Seattle, Utah, San Antonio, Portland and Phoenix. All would have been top-4 teams in the east.

But some of those teams were only strong because their stars made them strong (e.g. Spurs, Houston, etc). If Barkley had the same level of support then the Suns wouldn't have been near 62 wins.

Yeh, KJ missed some RS games (though only 1 all playoffs), but look at the rest of the team; Majerle, Chambers, Ainge, Dumas pre-steriod ban, young Ceballos. That was a strong team even in games KJ missed. Barkley gets alot of credit of course, but he can be lower than 3.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#10 » by Djoker » Fri Nov 29, 2024 4:21 am

For plus-minus I only got Jordan and Pippen for this year but unlike most other years, the RS sample is almost complete with 79 games sampled.

Michael Jordan

Regular Season - 79 games (partial)

ON: +8.9
OFF: -6.1
ON-OFF: +15.0

Playoffs - 19 games

ON: +8.7
OFF: -5.6
ON-OFF: +14.4

Scottie Pippen

Regular Season - 79 games (partial)

ON: +7.1
OFF: +0.2
ON-OFF: +6.9

As for my thoughts on the season.

Hakeem really wasn't that good against Seattle. In a year in which peak or near peak MJ leads his team to a title, his PS performance just wasn't good enough to seriously challenge for the #1 spot. For the record, I consider 1993 Jordan's best title run only a smidge behind 1991. The 1993 team was running on fumes and had no positive impact players beyond Pippen, Grant and Armstrong. And even Pippen and Grant had down years in 1993 so MJ carried his highest load.

Barkley vs. Hakeem is a good debate. That one I can see going either way because Hakeem does build a huge gap on D that can overcome Barkley's offensive edge. I'll probably go Hakeem #2 Barkley #3 but not 100% sure about that. Although come to think of it, Ewing's season looks to be a good contender for the #2 spot as well. Anchored a 60+ win team that is historically great on D and then had a very good PS. I don't think Hakeem > Ewing is a slam dunk for this year at all even though I prefer Hakeem. Robinson probably gets my #5 spot as of now.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#11 » by AEnigma » Fri Nov 29, 2024 4:23 am

One_and_Done wrote:
AEnigma wrote:Truly astounding how such definite statements apparently require no basis other than vaguely gesturing at the cheapest possible basketball banalities.

One_and_Done wrote:Hakeem lost in both 93 and 96 to the Sonics. That wasn’t random.

“Duncan lost to Kobe in 2001, 2002, 2004, and 2008. That wasn’t random.”

The Sonics deployed a defence that pushed the limits of illegal defence rules,

Very specific stuff here. How exactly did the Sonics “push the limits” in a way distinct from every other historically elite defence of the era.

and Hakeem was bad at dealing with it.

Even more specific. How. What was “bad” about his performance. What did Hakeem uniquely fail to do that we know the brilliant Duncan — who routinely lost with more advantages than Hakeem ever had — would have done to guarantee a win.

If Hakeem had come up against the Sonics in 94 or 95, maybe he doesn’t win a title at all.

Oh, so true, if only Hakeem had been replaced with Dikembe or Vlade, then the Rockets would have been able to solve that unprecedented “limit-pushing” defence.

feel like that failure to adapt

To what. The Rockets won every home game and lost game 7 in overtime with Hakeem acting as the team’s primary playmaker. What exact “adaptation” did you expect.

in the PS has to hold him back against Jordan, just as I mark him down for it v.s Duncan (who didn’t have the benefit of illegal D for almost the whole of his career, and yet was still awesome.

What precise “benefit” was denied to Duncan by comparison. You think the 2003 Finals was a better performance? Hey, I agree, but that is not because the Nets were replicating the Sonics’ approach; they were more stylistically comparable to the Knicks.

Hakeem on an individual level did not deal poorly with the Sonics in any year except 1996, but you are committed to this fiction that someone like Duncan — with absolutely no evidentiary support — could magically guarantee his teammates would convert on any open look and would be immune to what may have been the most aggressive ball pressure backcourt in league history.

Chill. There’s no need to take disagreements so personally.

I do not care if you vote Hakeem second. I do not care if you think Jordan was better. I do not care if you are more impressed by Jordan’s postseason. I do not care if you are relatively indifferent to Hakeem’s postseason. I start to care when you push false narratives to justify any of that.

1) Duncan lost to Shaq and his sidekick Kobe in 01, 02 and 04, because he was outgunned due to his rubbish support cast. In 08 he wasn’t in his prime and lost to Kobe and Pau and others. That’s the context that is relevant here. I know you weren’t being serious, but it’s worth pointing out nonetheless.

Does not seem like you care about Hakeem being grossly outgunned himself — and unlike with 2001/2004 Duncan, he did not even have homecourt, and unlike every single one of those Duncan losses, he went to a Game 7.

2) How did the Sonics “push the limits” of illegal D? Well, there’s countless google articles that discuss that point. Here’s the first one that I found, which illustrates the issue thusly.
https://www.red94.net/14511/14511/
History in Hindsight: The Houston Rockets, The Seattle SuperSonics, and Hakeem Olajuwon’s greatest foe.
But beyond Kemp and Payton was George Karl’s “unique” defense. Up until the 2001-02 NBA season, the league did not allow zone defenses. Double teams were permitted, but players had to commit to the double and were not allowed to hedge. Otherwise, the result was an illegal defense violation. However, the Sonics under Karl used a pressing, trapping defense which had elements of zone. Hakeem was always relentlessly doubled by the Sonics regardless of whether he had the ball. Whether these were legal doubles or otherwise was a controversial matter. At best, Karl skirted the line between legal and illegal defenses… The Rockets were far from the only team to complain about Seattle’s zone defense over the years. Phil Jackson and Scottie Pippen stated that the Sonics played a zone defense before the 1996 NBA Finals began, and teams like Sacramento and the Lakers also complained. In 1996, Seattle received by a significant margin the most illegal defensive violations in the league.

You can also find similar complaints about the defences employed by the Bad Boys and the Riley Knicks. Now, the Sonics were more blatant (think Warriors screening), but no truly elite defence in any era let opposing stars just take them one-on-one.

Other teams tried this as well, but lacked the speed and athleticism of the Sonics for the most part. Hakeem struggled with this because, even in his peak from 93-96, his passing and decision making weren’t on the same level as other stars. When the pressure was applied, he couldn’t handle it.

This is not a real comment based on watching the teams. You are just gesturing at some assumed truism about “passing and decision-making,” with no comparative thought or analysis of what was supposedly being missed. In fact, I am not even sure you are bothering to check the statsheet, for as low a bar as that would be, because then you would have noticed Hakeem had a very high assist rate (higher than every Shaq postseason save 1996, and higher than every Duncan postseason save 2002/03). Later on you cite the Rockets’ relative success from three, but you make no connection to the idea that maybe Hakeem had something to do with that.

The Sonics were not trying to exploit Hakeem’s “decision-making”. It was literally the opposite. Their entire scheme was designed to keep the ball away from him — not put it in his hands and trust he would make dumb plays. :noway: They made it as difficult as possible to get the ball to him, and when he did get the ball, they wanted him to pass it away. And again the most infuriating part of this is that it is not even necessary to have watched the series to infer as much.

This is notable because guys like Duncan lacked the protection afforded to Hakeem in the form of illegal defence, and thrived anyway.

Duncan never faced any defence at all stylistically similar to those Sonics. He was not doubled (or tripled) more than Hakeem.

And no, Duncan did not “routinely lose with more advantages than Hakeem ever had”. Duncan’s teams through his whole prime (98-07) either met or exceeded expectations. His playoff record looks nothing like the shaky one Hakeem has.

Duncan had multiple hall-of-famers and a top three coach throughout his entire career yet also has one of the worst records as a favourite or home team of any all-time great. Only Bird’s is clearly worse.

If Hakeem is going to be compared to the greatest players of all-time, which is what a comparison to Duncan and Jordan constitutes, then he should have been able to overcome this basic problem.

Still avoiding ever speaking specifically. What “basic problem”. “This basic problem” was not something Duncan ever experienced.

Jordan overcame the Sonics doing this in 96 for instance.

His team did, but that was one of Jordan’s career worst series.

Duncan had to play almost his whole career without any protection from soft doubles and more ball pressure.

Wrong, and further confirmation you have never really bothered to watch Hakeem.

This is not about Hakeem’s team mates failing, and Duncan’s succeeding.

Wrong.

Duncan’s team mates often failed spectacularly during his prime,

Not as badly as Hakeem’s.

or were just bad in the first place some years,

Never as bad as Hakeem’s.

but when Duncan lost it was to the likes of Shaq and Kobe, not the Payton and Kemp Sonics (who were only 23 and 24 in 1993).

He was also much less competitive despite having more support.

Payton wasn’t even playing like an all-star that year.

Not offensively, no.

I also find it a bizarre thing to claim in 1993.

When they had the league’s best SRS?

The Rockets were 39/102 from 3 in the Sonics series; an incredibly high % and volume for that era. Hakeem should have had plenty of support to beat the Sonics if he really had the impact of Duncan (or Jordan).

Still no actual analysis of the series or his supposed limitations, and now you are even retreating to a notion you yourself oppose in other contexts. It is about the real spacing and shooting provided, not about whether it was solid relative to even worse shooting teams. 5.5 made threes a game is not some outstanding support, and Hakeem was the entire reason they were getting those looks.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#12 » by Paulluxx9000 » Fri Nov 29, 2024 4:41 am

1 Hakeem Olajuwon
2 Patrick Ewing
3 Micheal Jordan
4 Charles Barkley
5 Scottie Pippen
The Bigs are back.
Spoiler:
And here’s a big man. Best defender. One of the best offensive players in the league. Maybe even top 3 in the playoffs.
Hakeem Olajuwon isn’t perfect. Definitely not this young. He has a perchance for dumb fouls, overhelping, ill-advised shots, all that jazz. But there’s no one else in the league who blends offensive threat, and defensive dynamism like he does and he had himself a dream (heh) of a playoff run. Sampson played great those playoffs (at least before the finals)), key guys stepped up, but this was Hakeem’s show and that show bulldozed the west while holding itself pretty well against a proper superteam even with the key guys went off-key

Hakeem’s not young this year. But he is wiser and has his first opportunity to really show out. Show out he did.
His defense is better than when he was stomping on show-time and larry bird. Best rim protector. Best man defender. Best help defender. A top 3 rebounder.
But his offense, whoo. He opens teams up just as much (maybe more) than the MJs and the Mark Prices and the Barkleys. He can’t render everyone meaningless in a flash like Magic but he’s a invalidate 2-3-4 guy too now. He scores in bunches and those bunches are extra special because alot of them come facing bunches of defenders.
Statistically this is obvious but the tape makes it undeniable. Hakeem is far and away the best player in the league. Not in the heres the ws48 way, but in the no one comes close to the totality of what I’m doing to make my team win way.
I think that’s the way that matters personally. He should get all the votes (I know he won’t).
Ewing isn’t so easy, but I feel good about this one too. Top 3 rim protector, top 10 man defender, top 10 scorer,top 10 at opening defenses, wins more games than Jordan without the same can compete on their own help. Then facing an elite chicago defense, he scores more more efficiently while doing the most to make the league’s best scorer score poorly. He was inefficient in all but 1 game. His efficiency was horrific in all but 2.But some will overlook this because that ineffeciency was done on a massive chunk of shots. To me that communicates poor decision making, not an admirable do it all to win.
In their closest loss Ewing was much better. In the close out loss Ewing was much better. 2 games down with a chance to basically end the series, Ewing was better.
He was better all season. And he was better when the season was most at stake. Jordan gambled and partied and went for stats. Ewing went to win and almost pulled off history. I’m not rewarding Jordan for a selfish playstyle just because he got extra points his teammates would have converted more efficiently. And I’m not rewarding Jordan for having better teammates because the MVP and all-star voters said they weren’t so good like we didn’t see them prove those pundits completely wrong the next year.
Ewing was better and when you’re better you should be voted higher. That’s all there is to it.
An MVP (not deserved) and pushed Chicago hard in the finals on good scoring and good playmaking and great rebounding and good rim protection. No his numbers weren’t as amazing as in 91, but context is important. Jordan played a bad defense switching between being the focal point with Pippen. Barkley played a excellent defense as the center of everyone’s attention and the final result was pretty close. I could put him higher but like with 91 it seems there is a minimum placement considered acceptable. I just hope this is respected for Olajuwon as well. He’s far more deserving.
The Bulls do not dominate the way a team with Pippen and Micheal Jordan should and Pippen takes some blame for this. The bigger culprit is his teammate but if he played like he did in 91 the Bulls are runaway winners. I understand taking the regular season lightly chasing a three-peat but that can’t be rewarded in a year to year project imo. He played better chasing a 4 peat anyway.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#13 » by OhayoKD » Fri Nov 29, 2024 4:45 am

Kola's Ballot:
Spoiler:
1993

Hakeem Olajuwon - (Grain Version) Maki
Grade: Special
Hoop Expansion - Center Cemetery

Ball Techniques
+ Russellian Remix
+ Post-up Nightmare; Reverse Ball-Technique - Dream Shot; Maximum Output - A Three-Man’s Dream
+ A Dreamer’s Postseason - 2 arc use
+ Bucket-Getter - Grade 2
+ Rim-Protection - Special Grade
+ Stoppah - Special Grade; Reverse Ball-Technique - Running Robinsons - 1 arc use
+ Board-Bringer - Grade 1

Baller Vow
+ In exchange for dominating Micheal Jordan in Baller-Battles, Hakeem may never face MJ in a battle that matters

Key Chapters:
+ Hoop Flash Flurry vs Clippers
+ Hoop Flash Flurry vs Supersonics

Patrick Ewing - (Grain Version) Reggie
Grade: 2
Hoop Expansion - None

Ball Techniques:
+ Dunk Devourer
+ Bucket-Getter - Grade 2 3
+ Rim-Protection - Grade 1
+ Stoppah - Grade 2 1
+ Board-Bringer - Grade 1

Key Chapters:
+ New York School scares Chicago School
+ Hoop Flash Flurry vs Chicago School, Rim-Protection - Special Grade; Stoppah - Special Grade; Bucket-Getter - Grade 2

Michael Jordan - (Grain Version) Kashimo
Grade: Special 2
Hoop Expansion - Collinearity Merchant

Ball Techniques:
+ Cursed Chucker
+ Mid-Range Kitchen
+ Gifted Gambler; Reverse Ball-Technique; Fastbreak Frenzy
+ Bucket-Getter - Special Grade Grade 1
+ Stoppah - Grade 2

Baller Vow:
+ In exchange for a fake DPOY, Jordan can only win playoff games with Pippen

Key Chapters:
+ Chicago School wins Conference Cross-over
- Hooper Burnout vs New York - Bucket-Getter Grade 2

David Robinson - Nanami
Grade: 1 2
Hoop Expansion - Death by Duncan

Ball Techniques:
+ Rim Robber
+ Bucket-Getter - Grade 2 3
+ Rim-Protection - Special Grade
+ Stoppah - Grade 4
+ Board-Bringer - Grade 1

Key Chapters:
- Misses Conference Cross-over
- Hooper Burnout vs Phoenix School - Rim-Protection - Grade 1; Bucket-Getter - Grade 4

Charles Barkley - (Grain Version) Panda
Grade: 2
Hoop Expansion - None

Ball Techniques:
+ The Brave Little Boarder
+ Needle in the Haystack
+ Bucket-Getter - Grade 1 2
+ Board-Bringer - Grade 2; Reverse Technique - Untimely Doubles

Baller Vow:
+ In exchange for being the funniest sorcerer, Barkley must attempt and miss 1500 long-range attacks or swear off McNuggets

Key Chapters:
- Hooper Burnout vs Bucks - Bucket-Getter - Grade 2
+ Hoop Flash Flurry vs Chicago School - Bucket-Getter - Special Grade
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#14 » by One_and_Done » Fri Nov 29, 2024 4:54 am

Ewing 2nd? Really? Not only was Jordan widely seen as the better player, but Ewing was seen as the 3rd or 4th best at his position behind Hakeem, D.Rob, and yes even rookie Shaq by many. I am kind of stunned by these Ewing votes I have to admit.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#15 » by capfan33 » Fri Nov 29, 2024 5:00 am

One thing to note from some of the comments I’ve seen in here, Hakeem against the sonics in 93 was almost like an inverted version of Kareem vs the blazers in 77.

It may come as a shock, but Kenny smith was not equipped to handle full court pressure from arguably the best defensive backcourt ever, and it made even running the offense very difficult. In essence, the Lakers asked Kareem to do everything, the Sonics forced Hakeem to do everything. Both were valiant efforts against all odds.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#16 » by OhayoKD » Fri Nov 29, 2024 5:17 am

One_and_Done wrote:Ewing 2nd? Really? Not only was Jordan widely seen as the better player, but Ewing was seen as the 3rd or 4th best at his position behind Hakeem, D.Rob, and yes even rookie Shaq by many. I am kind of stunned by these Ewing votes I have to admit.

Ewing won more games in the regular season(slightly behind in srs) without a team that played 50-win ball without him before outplaying him head to head(really just flat outclassing him in the closest loss and game 6)

I am stunned people are unironically trying to argue Jordan was on the same planet as Hakeem this year. The sorts of signals you spent 7 threads championing for Bird favor Hakeem by a massive margin, and Hakeem was probably more effective on both ends vs the Sonics than Jordan was facing the Knicks who he proceeded to shoot sub 50 against in 4 of 6 games.

With avaiable tracking currently awarding Hakeem more creations as well, short of a massive spike in creation quality(which i was hoping to track before this thread but whatever), arguing Jordan had a better performance on offense would require one to reward the chucking you said makes kobe being in the top 15 untenable (or said tracking being wildly off which, sure is possible, but I will need to see efforts made to show that).

Defensively there's no real comparison. Hakeem is better to much better at every single aspect excluding steal-hunting which studies show(as well as any cursory look at team steals vs team defense in a given season) has minimal effect on a team's defensive success. Jordan is getting cooked 1 v1 plenty, is below average at the most important aspect, offers comparatively little in rebounding value(his stuff tends to be wide open). and commits more breakdowns than the vast majority of the league. None of that shows up to any significant degree in stats like these:
trelos6 wrote:POY

1.Michael Jordan. It was a close one, and could really be seen as a 1A/B situation this year. I’m giving the nod to Jordan for his amazing playoffs. +5.81 OPIPM, +1.08 DPIPM, +6.89 PIPM. 22.34 Wins Added.


But that's a pretty silly excuse for treating this as 1a/1b.

Hakeem was much better than Jordan and made-up numbers don't change that.
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#17 » by One_and_Done » Fri Nov 29, 2024 5:34 am

OhayoKD wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Ewing 2nd? Really? Not only was Jordan widely seen as the better player, but Ewing was seen as the 3rd or 4th best at his position behind Hakeem, D.Rob, and yes even rookie Shaq by many. I am kind of stunned by these Ewing votes I have to admit.

Ewing won more games in the regular season(slightly behind in srs) without a team that played 50-win ball without him before outplaying him head to head(really just flat outclassing him in the closest loss and game 6)

I am stunned people are unironically trying to argue Jordan was on the same planet as Hakeem this year. The sorts of signals you spent 7 threads championing for Bird favor Hakeem by a massive margin, and Hakeem was probably more effective on both ends vs the Sonics than Jordan was facing the Knicks who he proceeded to shoot sub 50 against in 4 of 6 games.

With avaiable tracking currently awarding Hakeem more creations as well, short of a massive spike in creation quality(which i was hoping to track before this thread but whatever), arguing Jordan had a better performance on offense would require one to reward the chucking you said makes kobe being in the top 15 untenable (or said tracking being wildly off which, sure is possible, but I will need to see efforts made to show that).

Defensively there's no real comparison. Hakeem is better to much better at every single aspect excluding steal-hunting which studies show(as well as any cursory look at team steals vs team defense in a given season) has minimal effect on a team's defensive success. Jordan is getting cooked 1 v1 plenty, is below average at the most important aspect, offers comparatively little in rebounding value(his stuff tends to be wide open). and commits more breakdowns than the vast majority of the league. None of that shows up to any significant degree in stats like these:
trelos6 wrote:POY

1.Michael Jordan. It was a close one, and could really be seen as a 1A/B situation this year. I’m giving the nod to Jordan for his amazing playoffs. +5.81 OPIPM, +1.08 DPIPM, +6.89 PIPM. 22.34 Wins Added.


But that's a pretty silly excuse for treating this as 1a/1b.

Hakeem was much better than Jordan and made-up numbers don't change that.

There's no inconsistency because of the factors I've discussed before like the law of diminishing returns and the grind of the RS that teams with deep playoff runs every year endure. The Bulls weren't trying to win 65+ games in the RS because they didn't care about the RS anymore.

I also don't get why we would focus in on a single playoff series for Jordan, and ignore his whole of playoff scoring (which is great for that era; 35ppg on 553 TS%). He is generally much more efficient than Kobe, without the advantage of having Shaq to give him space or other favourable factors. His impact also clearly correlated to winning in a way Kobe did not.

I seriously considered Hakeem #1, and he will almost certainly be my #1 the next 2 years at least, but I am held back by the way he could be taken advantage of by the Sonics D in the playoffs. Many people don't even think Hakeem should be top 2 this year.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#18 » by OhayoKD » Fri Nov 29, 2024 6:07 am

One_and_Done wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Ewing 2nd? Really? Not only was Jordan widely seen as the better player, but Ewing was seen as the 3rd or 4th best at his position behind Hakeem, D.Rob, and yes even rookie Shaq by many. I am kind of stunned by these Ewing votes I have to admit.

Ewing won more games in the regular season(slightly behind in srs) without a team that played 50-win ball without him before outplaying him head to head(really just flat outclassing him in the closest loss and game 6)

I am stunned people are unironically trying to argue Jordan was on the same planet as Hakeem this year. The sorts of signals you spent 7 threads championing for Bird favor Hakeem by a massive margin, and Hakeem was probably more effective on both ends vs the Sonics than Jordan was facing the Knicks who he proceeded to shoot sub 50 against in 4 of 6 games.

With avaiable tracking currently awarding Hakeem more creations as well, short of a massive spike in creation quality(which i was hoping to track before this thread but whatever), arguing Jordan had a better performance on offense would require one to reward the chucking you said makes kobe being in the top 15 untenable (or said tracking being wildly off which, sure is possible, but I will need to see efforts made to show that).

Defensively there's no real comparison. Hakeem is better to much better at every single aspect excluding steal-hunting which studies show(as well as any cursory look at team steals vs team defense in a given season) has minimal effect on a team's defensive success. Jordan is getting cooked 1 v1 plenty, is below average at the most important aspect, offers comparatively little in rebounding value(his stuff tends to be wide open). and commits more breakdowns than the vast majority of the league. None of that shows up to any significant degree in stats like these:
trelos6 wrote:POY

1.Michael Jordan. It was a close one, and could really be seen as a 1A/B situation this year. I’m giving the nod to Jordan for his amazing playoffs. +5.81 OPIPM, +1.08 DPIPM, +6.89 PIPM. 22.34 Wins Added.


But that's a pretty silly excuse for treating this as 1a/1b.

Hakeem was much better than Jordan and made-up numbers don't change that.

There's no inconsistency because of the factors I've discussed before like the law of diminishing returns and the grind of the RS that teams with deep playoff runs every year endure. The Bulls weren't trying to win 65+ games in the RS because they didn't care about the RS anymore.

Irrelevant. This is player of the year. Not "player of the year if he hypothetically did more in the regular-season because of previous playoff results he already got credit for". You want to put Hakeem being much better than Jordan to coasting? Cool. Hakeem was still much better.

I also don't get why we would focus in on a single playoff series for Jordan, and ignore his whole of playoff scoring (which is great for that era; 35ppg on 553 TS%). He is generally much more efficient than Kobe

As opposed to you focusing on a single series for Hakeem? The whole of Jordan's playoff scoring did not stop the Bulls from underperforming against both legitimate threats and while Jordan made his numbers look nice scoring easy(and here's the key bit: easy to replace) buckets vs a bad defense, he got his **** pushed in by the good one because his decision-making was much worse that series than Hakeem's in the one you say the best playoff riser of the era was solved.

By what we're actually shown, Hakeem's impact was much higher. Not sure why it's so tough to accept the vastly better defender being more valuable you need to make up nonsense about how the Sonics "solved" him because some of his scoring turned into creation. The Rockets were a 55-win team in the regular season, 53-win by srs. They played like a 55-win team vs the Sonics, 55-win by SRS.

Hakeem wasn't stopped. The far and away more valuable player than Jordan in the regular season was still far and away more valuable vs Seattle. He was just valuable differently because facing the best player in the league, Seattle decided it would be better to throw more defenders at him than anyone threw at anyone else.

without the advantage of having Shaq to give him space or other favourable factors. His impact also clearly correlated to winning in a way Kobe did not.

No, he only has the advantage of Pippen drawing defenders as the primary ball-handler so he can dish and shoot in single coverage, as well as the advantage of a plethora of good/elite defenders behind him who can pad up his "guarding x percentage" and cover him when one of the most error prone defenders in the league(according to the tracking of someone who puts 5 jordan seasons above any for lebron) **** up.

Jordan was an extremely advantaged player in an extremely favorable situation, yet for some reason you insist on giving him hypothetical credit for impact he didn't actually show. Him being "seriously considered" by anyone who decided to take him over Magic when he was getting stomped in round 2 is a joke.
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#19 » by One_and_Done » Fri Nov 29, 2024 7:07 am

I’m not going to have time to respond to every one of the points that are made here, so I’ll make an effort to address everything here.

Enigma:

1) Narratives are not false just because you disagree with them.

2) Was Hakeem outgunned? That depends who we are comparing him to. Certainly the team Hakeem had in 93 was not a strong support cast for a title contender. I don’t think Hakeem’s carry jobs, even in 93-96, are quite as strong as what Duncan was doing (for a variety of reasons, including a tougher league environment), but there’s no doubt the lift he was providing was very strong. I have Hakeem 2nd for a reason. The real question is what his lift was like compared to Jordan.

Comparing Hakeem to Jordan isn’t easy to do here. Yes, Hakeem’s support cast was worse no question. On the other hand, the Bulls were 1) coasting, 2) were affected by the law of diminishing returns, and 3) actually won the title. So I know Jordan did what he was supposed to with his superior support cast. The question is did Hakeem do what he was supposed to? I don’t think so, because if Hakeem is a Duncan/Jordan type of impact then he should have beaten the Sonics.

3) Homecourt in 01 or 04 is completely irrelevant. Firstly, back then the playoffs was in the 2-3-2 format, so you got no real advantage from having HC. Secondly, the Lakers were the better team in 01 and 04, they just coast in the RS and/or had injuries. You can’t take HCA seriously to determine who was the real favourite to win (and more importantly, who should have been the favourite to win).

4) The Sonics illegal D didn’t stop other teams, including the Bulls in 96. It stopped Hakeem from winning, and Hakeem seemed unusually weak to it. Not because of some talent advantage that should have left him outgunned against the Sonics. If Hakeem was the player you think he was, he should have crushed the Sonics. It was something unique to Hakeem and his inability to react to the pressure created by the Sonics zoning. Not only did Hakeem lose in the 93 and 96 playoffs to the Sonics, but his record in the RS from 93 to 96 was 3-11 against them. The RS isn’t everything, but I think that speaks pretty loudly when looked at in conjunction with the PS losses and the commentary of the time. You don’t have to agree with that narrative, but it is not a false one and people can genuinely hold to it as many do; and I have also watched games from that era, and that was my takeaway at the time also.

5) You complain about me buying fake narratives, but in truth you are all over the place with your explanation for why Hakeem lost. You were just telling us a few posts ago that it wasn’t Hakeem’s fault that his team mates couldn’t convert open looks, yet as I noted Hakeem’s team mates were shooting over 38% on a high volume of 3s for that era. I don’t think anyone at the time would have looked at the Rockets shooting 15 three point shots a game and thought “damn, the Sonics were too effective at cutting off the 3pt shot” or “Hakeem’s guys just aren’t getting enough 3s up”. The Rockets only shot an average of 13 threes a game that year in the RS, and only 14 in the PS, and their 3pt % was higher in the 93 Sonics series than for the RS or PS that year as well. Blaming them for missing open shots or not taking enough shots and letting Hakeem down doesn’t ring true at all. We can go back and forth on why Hakeem lost, but at the end of the day he did; to a team he should have beaten if he was on the level of a Duncan or Jordan. A team who he would lose to A LOT, and the reasons for which were discussed A LOT.

6) In terms of the points you made about Duncan, I won’t get into them too much because he’s not even in the league yet, but I flat out disagree. Duncan faced many double and triple teams, and was often swarmed. He also didn’t have the luxury of illegal defence to shield him for most of his prime. Saying Duncan had “multiple hall of famers” is disingenuous, given the level those “hall of famers” were in 01-03, which are the years people point to in order to cite Duncan’s lift on a bad team (which you know, because you’ve been told this 100 times). Citing Duncan’s “HCA record” is disingenuous, because you’re citing it over his whole career and not his prime (98-07), and you’re ignoring the context (e.g. Lakers were coasting or had RS injuries, and were not really the worse team, etc). I thought “record with HCA” was something only Jordan fans still cited. We can all be a bit more nuanced than that. Every year of Duncan’s prime he met or exceeded expectations (98-07), “HCA” has nothing to do with that. You can say “wrong” all you like, but I don’t agree, and I don’t think anyone else is going to be convinced by that line of argument either. Duncan’s support cast in 01-03, and especially 02, was worse than what Hakeem had in 93-96. The league was stronger in Duncan’s time as well.

KD:

1) The point being made is not that Jordan coasted. The point being made is that the whole Bulls team coasted. That didn’t make Jordan a worse player, though obviously if he was going all out every night that would have been more valuable. The coasting wasn’t by an amount sufficient to meaningfully affect Jordan’s standing this year. They won 57 and had one of the best SRS in the league, they didn’t win 50 with an SRS of 3 like some coasting teams. I find it hard to punish players for this sort of coasting, e.g. Jordan was rested 4 games, and the Bulls lost 3 of those. Am I supposed to blame Jordan for the team holding him out because their focus was the playoffs?

2) I think it’s fair to say Jordan didn’t shoot great in the Knicks series, and we should hold that against him, but it’s silly to focus too much on it because we never got to see how Hakeem would perform against a team like the Knicks in the WCF this year; they were too busy losing in the 2nd round to a weaker Sonics outfit. This is similar to when people hold Kawhi’s injury in the WCF’s against him. Am I supposed to take points away from Kawhi for a random injury in the WCFs, when other players never even made it that far? If other guys made it that far, perhaps they too would have had a fluke injury from a cheap shot. The only fair thing to do is to judge the whole of their playoffs against each other; and overall, Jordan’s playoffs was better than Hakeem. I also find it a bit weird to claim Jordan was “padding” his stats against weak foes, when his best series was the finals and his stats in that series were great (against a great team, that pretty clearly was the best team in the West).

I’ll stop there. What I find interesting, is that I have yet to hear anyone who is backing Hakeem tell me if they feel he could have beaten the Sonics if he’d played them in 94 or 95. If someone is going to reply to me, I’d rather they focused on that point as I think it highlights something important.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1992-93 UPDATE 

Post#20 » by jjgp111292 » Fri Nov 29, 2024 7:35 am

If a 15-4, +6.2 net rating championship run against an average opponent SRS of 4.4 (6.1 after the first round) is considered underperforming then we've lost the meaning of words.
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