Djoker wrote:70sFan wrote:Djoker wrote:This is a very reasonable and tempered post.
Thank you, I always appreciate your contribution as well
The only thing I'll say is that I think it's unfair to say that Jordan just wasn't good against the Knicks. He put up 32.2/6.2/7.0 on +1.8 rTS and had a very low 2.3 turnovers per game. I feel like if he missed fewer shot in each game but committed one more turnover instead, people would be a lot higher on the series because everyone factors in scoring efficiency but not turnovers into offensive efficiency. Even if we go game-by-game, he had an insanely good Game 4 and a very good Game 5 so it wasn't all bad.
He indeed had insanely good G4, G5 isn't bad but that's just 2 out of 6 games. Without games 4 and 5, he averaged 27.5/5.3/6.5 on 45.5 TS% with 1.8 tov. Of course excluding the best games from the average is not fair, but I would call all these 4 games massive underperformances for him.
It's also very important to remember that Jordan had one of the worst games of his career in game 3, which was critical for the series. Had the Bulls not step up, the series would be over and even his heroic G4 performance wouldn't have changed anything.
Good point about low turnovers by the way - it's true that people often forget about it. I don't think it changes my evaluation of the series, but it does make it a little "less bad" than it looks in the first place.
I see this series by Jordan in a similar light to Kareem's series in the 1972 WCF. Not very good but not terrible efficiency at all (still +rTS) and still a very good performance.
I don't think the analogy is perfect because:
1. Kareem had a monstrous defensive series, Jordan wasn't close him in that regard.
2. Kareem's averages weren't inflated by one game.
3. Kareem didn't have much help in the series, while Jordan's supporting cast played fantastic.
That Game 3 had the Bulls come out to a huge lead in the 2nd quarter with his Bulls teammates hitting shots. A lot of them were open off of Jordan's assists. So he had some doing in that victory. I think Jordan's high playmaking volume in the series combined with very low turnovers makes a big difference. 3:1 assist to turnover ratio is elite.
One other point that I don't think anyone brought up in this thread is the Bulls had a +12.7 rORtg in the Knicks series so the offense was doing really well despite Jordan's poor shooting. Probably because of all the attention he drew giving his teammates open shots. The series was close because the Bulls' defense allowed the Knicks to do well on offense. Bulls posted a pretty poor +0.9 rDRtg and Ewing lit them up.
The analogy isn't perfect indeed.
1. Agreed. Although Jordan was better offensively as well because of playmaking.
2. Kareem also had two good shooting games in Game 1 and Game 2 and then four bad ones.
3. Agreed.
With all that said, I do want to re-watch this series at some point soon and do some tracking. Defense, plus minus and some MJ shot charts with a bunch of X's for a change lol

Few things. Firstly, interesting analogy, always great to see Kareem brought up out of context as opposed to rehashing the same players/arguments over and over again. Would say that MJs game 4 is a way bigger outlier than any game Kareem had, which charitably you could interpret as MJ having a higher ceiling.
Secondly to the point of ORTG, it sounds and is very impressive, but I think one thing we have to note is they weren’t some middling offense being elevated purely by Jordan’s presence. The following year, they posted an +8.5 rORTG against a very similar Knicks team. I actually eyeballed this once using Ben’s database, and among playoff runs with at least 7 games, a +8.5 was in the top 10% historically. So take of that what you will.
Another thing to note is that Kareem’s (relatively) poor efficiency was by necessity, as I’m sure you know Oscar was basically half a player due to a horrific groin strain that had started to affect his stomach, and another key guard in McGlocklin could barely move. Kareem was forced to take 30+ (mostly self created shots) per game against Wilt and an ATG team.
And with this, I wonder whether MJ really needed to take as many shots as he did as a decoy (of sorts) to elevate his team overall, or whether some of his shot chucking habits got the better of him. Moreover, the Knicks were a solid title contender, but era relative, they weren’t the same challenge that the 72 lakers posed.
And finally, I wholeheartedly agree that the Knicks series should have been tracked yesterday. It’s the only time in MJs career I believe that he faced a -8 rDRTG team and I think it deserves to be analyzed properly as opposed to just throwing numbers back and forth.