redslastlaugh wrote:Overall the Jaden Springer move is the most head scratching thing since Brad took over. Like even if the team wasn’t coming up for sale, Brad/Zarren knew about the repeater tax and that Springer would be $12 million more than a vet minimum signing…
Anyway, it seems like Jaden may get waived and stretched and that Anton Watson will take his roster spot. This would reduce the tax bill by $5-7 million but put 1/3 of Springers money on next years cap and one third on 26-27 … so not ideal. But ultimately that’s what I’m expecting. I wish I could text Brad Stevens and ask, “what was the thinking on Jaden Springer on the financial side, I get you liked his defense but you thought Wyc would eat the tax bill… I don’t understand, where was the miscue.”
It's really not that much of a head scrather, imo.
There's 3 different types of players you could get to fill the end of bench spots:
-Vet ring chasers like Blake Griffin
-Guys who are a bit older (typically age 25-29), have been around the league a bit but are just end of bench guys cause they're not that good, low upside. But at least you know what you're gonna get from them, they can come in and play a role here and there (Svi, Brissett, Kornet when we first got him, etc.)
-Younger guys (age 24 and under...less than 4 full seasons of NBA experience) who have upside we can try to develop (Hauser and Pritchard were once in this bucket, so was Banton, Walsh, Queta, Springer)
Springer simply fits into that last bucket. He was only 21 yrs old when we got him, with only 2 full years of NBA experience - and a good chunk of that 2 years was in the G league.
It was an upside swing. It was like playing the lottery, basically. A low risk, high reward move. The potential was crazy high. Former 5 star recruit, was a 1st round pick. Really good athleticism. Potential to be an elite defender, who also shot the ball well from 3 in college (43.5% from 3 and 81% FT) and in G league showed very good ability to score on drives and in the mid range. A guy who was only 21, came into the NBA *very* young so understandable that it may take him longer to develop. But the team that drafted him was ready to move on (to clear cap space for Paul George) so it was a classic example of a guy who could end up breaking out for his 2nd team... what they call a "2nd draft" guy.
And all it took was a mid 2nd round pick to get him. Mid 2nd round picks are all lottery tickets anyways. Most don't work out, but occasionally they do. They're low risk, high reward.
Sure, we could saved some $ by just keeping that mid 2nd round pick and not making the trade. But clearly, Brad saw something in Springer and felt like the probability of Springer "hitting" was higher than some guy we could take in the mid 2nd round of a draft that was considered one of the weaker ones in recent memory (and that outweighed any potential tax savings). Especially since we already had *two* other picks in that draft..I don't think Brad was ever going to draft 3 guys in the same draft. Prior to the 2024 draft, he only took 1 guy in each of the first 3 drafts since taking over as POBO.
Plus he probably figured that Springer's contract could be a useful trade chip since we could move him and acquire a player making up to $4.0 mil which means we could get a better player in return than if we had some random minimum contract guy in that roster spot who was only making like $2 mil. So we'd only be able to trade that player for a guy making up to $2 mil..so that limits our options and means we likely can't trade for a player who is as good as if we traded Springer.
So Brad probably felt like it was low risk, high reward..and that Springer could end up being a solid player for us..but if there was a logjam and not enough mins for him, we could always just trade him and use that contract as a valuable trade chip to get a decent player in return, at a position of greater need...or perhaps you just trade the contract away to save $.
Either way, I don't think the Celtics org really minds that much about the $7 mil or so in additional tax from having Springer on the team. What they care about is winning championships. And they try to save some $ on the tax bill here and there where they can (like having Pritchard, Hauser, Kornet, Queta and Tillman on team friendly deals..Jrue, Derrick and KP all signed for less $ than they could have gotten if they waited to hit free agency. You add up all the $ savings from those deals, it's a lot more than $7 mil.