How many titles will OKC win until 2030?

Moderators: Clav, Domejandro, ken6199, bisme37, Dirk, KingDavid, cupcakesnake, bwgood77, zimpy27, infinite11285

A poll to revisit for ages. How many titles will OKC win until 2030 (6 seasons)?

0
37
24%
0 or 1
47
30%
1
14
9%
1 or 2
28
18%
2
16
10%
2 or 3
10
6%
3
0
No votes
3 or 4
0
No votes
4
0
No votes
4 or 5
4
3%
 
Total votes: 156

bluejerseyjinx
RealGM
Posts: 22,248
And1: 4,945
Joined: Oct 18, 2014
Location: Maine
       

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#61 » by bluejerseyjinx » Mon Dec 16, 2024 11:00 pm

25 games into a season and your comparing the Thunder as an all times great team and defense. O.K. I understand bold predictions and smack talk, but come on man.
dk1115
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,923
And1: 1,163
Joined: Feb 23, 2009
     

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#62 » by dk1115 » Mon Dec 16, 2024 11:02 pm

For some reason, I read 'how many titties'
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#63 » by Lo Wang » Mon Dec 16, 2024 11:07 pm

I am going to prove to you guys you are smarter than you think. You can make predictions.

If I were to ask you who would win in a 7 game series between the Raptors and Thunder.

Not 1 of you would bat an eye and say Thunder.

Why?

Intuition. I believe Nietzche coined this concept.

This is the highest level of intelligence: this is a gathering of information so vast intuitively you can make an accurate prediction.

If you said the Raptors will win in 4, this means you have no clue about what you are talking about, and vice versa.
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#64 » by Lo Wang » Mon Dec 16, 2024 11:12 pm

bluejerseyjinx wrote:25 games into a season and your comparing the Thunder as an all times great team and defense. O.K.


No.

I am using facts (stats) to support that position. It is a fact the Thunder have defensive stats comparable to Russell's Celts.

I never said they were the same team (strawman). I am simply comparing their relative defensive efficiency.

P.S. If you can't have an opinion after 25 games, then you should actually watch the games and not the highlights, no offense.
User avatar
SFour
RealGM
Posts: 40,810
And1: 61,220
Joined: Apr 07, 2012
   

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#65 » by SFour » Mon Dec 16, 2024 11:15 pm

They should be happy with 1-2.....I thought the Nuggets were going to be a dynasty with multiple championships but now it seems like they'd be lucky to win another one, and they have Jokic an all-time great with 4 MVPs
bluejerseyjinx
RealGM
Posts: 22,248
And1: 4,945
Joined: Oct 18, 2014
Location: Maine
       

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#66 » by bluejerseyjinx » Mon Dec 16, 2024 11:33 pm

Lo Wang wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote:25 games into a season and your comparing the Thunder as an all times great team and defense. O.K.


No.

I am using facts (stats) to support that position. It is a fact the Thunder have defensive stats comparable to Russell's Celts.

I never said they were the same team (strawman). I am simply comparing their relative defensive efficiency.

P.S. If you can't have an opinion after 25 games, then you should actually watch the games and not the highlights, no offense.

There is still 54 games left. You really think that stat will hold up all year? :wavefinger: Get back to me when the Thunder win 8 straight titles. :wave:
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#67 » by Lo Wang » Tue Dec 17, 2024 12:01 am

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote:25 games into a season and your comparing the Thunder as an all times great team and defense. O.K.


No.

I am using facts (stats) to support that position. It is a fact the Thunder have defensive stats comparable to Russell's Celts.

I never said they were the same team (strawman). I am simply comparing their relative defensive efficiency.

P.S. If you can't have an opinion after 25 games, then you should actually watch the games and not the highlights, no offense.

There is still 54 games left. You really think that stat will hold up all year? :wavefinger: Get back to me when the Thunder win 8 straight titles. :wave:


So we can't have an opinion until the playoffs?

Gotcha.
MiltownMadness
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,799
And1: 2,304
Joined: Mar 23, 2010

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#68 » by MiltownMadness » Tue Dec 17, 2024 12:15 am

0 or 1, you need to be super lucky to win a title without overwhelming talent like 10s Heat or Warriors dynasty. Takes great health, lots of lucky bounces, roleplayers stepping up, etc...
bluejerseyjinx
RealGM
Posts: 22,248
And1: 4,945
Joined: Oct 18, 2014
Location: Maine
       

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#69 » by bluejerseyjinx » Tue Dec 17, 2024 12:16 am

Lo Wang wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
No.

I am using facts (stats) to support that position. It is a fact the Thunder have defensive stats comparable to Russell's Celts.

I never said they were the same team (strawman). I am simply comparing their relative defensive efficiency.

P.S. If you can't have an opinion after 25 games, then you should actually watch the games and not the highlights, no offense.

There is still 54 games left. You really think that stat will hold up all year? :wavefinger: Get back to me when the Thunder win 8 straight titles. :wave:


So we can't have an opinion until the playoffs?

Gotcha.

You sure can. I have a different one however. Lets see if you are correct first and Thunder win one first. And then back it up another 7 consecutive years after that.
User avatar
chilluminati
Analyst
Posts: 3,455
And1: 6,184
Joined: Feb 15, 2021
 

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#70 » by chilluminati » Tue Dec 17, 2024 12:28 am

1. And then if they can manage to keep their finances right, and they don't lose any key pieces later like our last 3 champions, they can easily win more than 1.

But 1 is the safe choice in this era of the CBA and teambuilding.
Image
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#71 » by Lo Wang » Tue Dec 17, 2024 12:49 am

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote:There is still 54 games left. You really think that stat will hold up all year? :wavefinger: Get back to me when the Thunder win 8 straight titles. :wave:


So we can't have an opinion until the playoffs?

Gotcha.

You sure can. I have a different one however. Lets see if you are correct first and Thunder win one first. And then back it up another 7 consecutive years after that.


Where's the fun in that?
bluejerseyjinx
RealGM
Posts: 22,248
And1: 4,945
Joined: Oct 18, 2014
Location: Maine
       

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#72 » by bluejerseyjinx » Tue Dec 17, 2024 12:54 am

Lo Wang wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
So we can't have an opinion until the playoffs?

Gotcha.

You sure can. I have a different one however. Lets see if you are correct first and Thunder win one first. And then back it up another 7 consecutive years after that.


Where's the fun in that?

Winning 8 chips in a row isn't fun. Boring actually. It was an awful time. :winkgrin:
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#73 » by Lo Wang » Tue Dec 17, 2024 1:21 am

bluejerseyjinx wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
bluejerseyjinx wrote:You sure can. I have a different one however. Lets see if you are correct first and Thunder win one first. And then back it up another 7 consecutive years after that.


Where's the fun in that?

Winning 8 chips in a row isn't fun. Boring actually. It was an awful time. :winkgrin:


:lol: Truth.
dhsilv2
RealGM
Posts: 50,581
And1: 27,283
Joined: Oct 04, 2015

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#74 » by dhsilv2 » Tue Dec 17, 2024 2:19 pm

Lo Wang wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
Those are lazy choices.

Why?

Predictive measures for stacked teams are accurate.

Kobe/Shaq = 5+
Lebron/Wade = 5+
KD/West/Harden = 1+

You're telling me these predictions are wrong if the teams are intact and healthy?

All 3 could easily accomplish those goals.

It's possible to predict if you do your homework.

This whole wait and see approach is a wash. This is a speculative thread, so why are yall acting like you have to be 100% correct?


None of those made up numbers happened. 0-1 is the only reasonable guess here. And there's no reason to discuss intact and healthy as there's near 0% chance of that either.


Those aren't made up; those were predictions at the time.

Heck, if I said Kobe/Shaq will get 8 rings, I wouldn't be wrong. Prime and healthy Shaq/Kobe for 15 years? 8 is a low number.

Predictions can be accurate. Your insistence on the wait and see approach is really no position.

Anybody can say wait and see.

The person with the correct prediction is the smartest 1 in the room.

We call this gambling. There is a science behind it; we're all gamblers when we make predictions. Sure it's impossible to predict the future, but the predictions can be more reliable based on the research.


So bad prediction?

And yes, you WERE wrong if you said Shaq and Kobe would get 8. We played it out and they didn't. more importantly, they barely got the 3 they did. That took a lot of luck falling their way.

But no there isn't a science behind "gambling".

But of the choices, 0-1 has by far the highest probability.
Blame Rasho
On Leave
Posts: 42,188
And1: 9,936
Joined: Apr 25, 2002

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#75 » by Blame Rasho » Tue Dec 17, 2024 2:21 pm

Lo Wang wrote:I am going to prove to you guys you are smarter than you think. You can make predictions.

If I were to ask you who would win in a 7 game series between the Raptors and Thunder.

Not 1 of you would bat an eye and say Thunder.

Why?

Intuition. I believe Nietzche coined this concept.

This is the highest level of intelligence: this is a gathering of information so vast intuitively you can make an accurate prediction.

If you said the Raptors will win in 4, this means you have no clue about what you are talking about, and vice versa.


I love that you have proven me right with all the amazing and great obtuse posts you have made.

Don’t stop and go on…
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#76 » by Lo Wang » Tue Dec 17, 2024 2:56 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
None of those made up numbers happened. 0-1 is the only reasonable guess here. And there's no reason to discuss intact and healthy as there's near 0% chance of that either.


Those aren't made up; those were predictions at the time.

Heck, if I said Kobe/Shaq will get 8 rings, I wouldn't be wrong. Prime and healthy Shaq/Kobe for 15 years? 8 is a low number.

Predictions can be accurate. Your insistence on the wait and see approach is really no position.

Anybody can say wait and see.

The person with the correct prediction is the smartest 1 in the room.

We call this gambling. There is a science behind it; we're all gamblers when we make predictions. Sure it's impossible to predict the future, but the predictions can be more reliable based on the research.


So bad prediction?

And yes, you WERE wrong if you said Shaq and Kobe would get 8. We played it out and they didn't. more importantly, they barely got the 3 they did. That took a lot of luck falling their way.

But no there isn't a science behind "gambling".

But of the choices, 0-1 has by far the highest probability.


The difference between you and I is I'm willing to take the risk and make a prediction.

I think a few posters in here are scared of being wrong.

Guess what? They are both right and wrong. It's an opinion. Opinions are not facts, so why are some of you guys acting like we are speaking in facts?

If you are wrong, then you are wrong. Who cares?

That's the whole point of a discussion: we throw the best ideas out there and see what sticks.

But if you are afraid of giving your opinion because you might be wrong, you're really robbing us of your insight.

I don't hate stats; I think the over reliance on it hinders creativity: the wait and see approach is nothing more than a stats game. Stats are conclusive, and nobody wants to look stupid in this forum.

Who cares guys?
dhsilv2
RealGM
Posts: 50,581
And1: 27,283
Joined: Oct 04, 2015

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#77 » by dhsilv2 » Tue Dec 17, 2024 3:18 pm

Lo Wang wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
Those aren't made up; those were predictions at the time.

Heck, if I said Kobe/Shaq will get 8 rings, I wouldn't be wrong. Prime and healthy Shaq/Kobe for 15 years? 8 is a low number.

Predictions can be accurate. Your insistence on the wait and see approach is really no position.

Anybody can say wait and see.

The person with the correct prediction is the smartest 1 in the room.

We call this gambling. There is a science behind it; we're all gamblers when we make predictions. Sure it's impossible to predict the future, but the predictions can be more reliable based on the research.


So bad prediction?

And yes, you WERE wrong if you said Shaq and Kobe would get 8. We played it out and they didn't. more importantly, they barely got the 3 they did. That took a lot of luck falling their way.

But no there isn't a science behind "gambling".

But of the choices, 0-1 has by far the highest probability.


The difference between you and I is I'm willing to take the risk and make a prediction.

I think a few posters in here are scared of being wrong.

Guess what? They are both right and wrong. It's an opinion. Opinions are not facts, so why are some of you guys acting like we are speaking in facts?

If you are wrong, then you are wrong. Who cares?

That's the whole point of a discussion: we throw the best ideas out there and see what sticks.

But if you are afraid of giving your opinion because you might be wrong, you're really robbing us of your insight.

I don't hate stats; I think the over reliance on it hinders creativity: the wait and see approach is nothing more than a stats game. Stats are conclusive, and nobody wants to look stupid in this forum.

Who cares guys?


Words have meanings. When someone asks what's most likely to happen, then you provide that. I don't give a crap if I'm wrong about something. But what I want to happen and what is most likely aren't the same thing. If you thought the MOST likely result was 8 titles for Kobe and Shaq, you were stupid. If you thought they'd beat the odds and shocked the world, cool. Different questions with very different words.

But in short, you can hope for whatever. The most likely result will be 0-1.
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#78 » by Lo Wang » Tue Dec 17, 2024 4:22 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
So bad prediction?

And yes, you WERE wrong if you said Shaq and Kobe would get 8. We played it out and they didn't. more importantly, they barely got the 3 they did. That took a lot of luck falling their way.

But no there isn't a science behind "gambling".

But of the choices, 0-1 has by far the highest probability.


The difference between you and I is I'm willing to take the risk and make a prediction.

I think a few posters in here are scared of being wrong.

Guess what? They are both right and wrong. It's an opinion. Opinions are not facts, so why are some of you guys acting like we are speaking in facts?

If you are wrong, then you are wrong. Who cares?

That's the whole point of a discussion: we throw the best ideas out there and see what sticks.

But if you are afraid of giving your opinion because you might be wrong, you're really robbing us of your insight.

I don't hate stats; I think the over reliance on it hinders creativity: the wait and see approach is nothing more than a stats game. Stats are conclusive, and nobody wants to look stupid in this forum.

Who cares guys?


Words have meanings. When someone asks what's most likely to happen, then you provide that. I don't give a crap if I'm wrong about something. But what I want to happen and what is most likely aren't the same thing. If you thought the MOST likely result was 8 titles for Kobe and Shaq, you were stupid. If you thought they'd beat the odds and shocked the world, cool. Different questions with very different words.

But in short, you can hope for whatever. The most likely result will be 0-1.


How am I stupid for saying Shaq and Kobe can win 8 rings if healthy and intact?

It's a speculation bro. I'm not talking in matter of fact terms.

If you disagree, state your position and speculate. Stop relying on stats. I understand nobody wants to look stupid, but I'm not learning anything from you guys except a few great posters in here who speculate and come up with the better idea.

If all you do is stats this and that, I'm sorry, you're not teaching me anything.
dhsilv2
RealGM
Posts: 50,581
And1: 27,283
Joined: Oct 04, 2015

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#79 » by dhsilv2 » Tue Dec 17, 2024 5:13 pm

Lo Wang wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
The difference between you and I is I'm willing to take the risk and make a prediction.

I think a few posters in here are scared of being wrong.

Guess what? They are both right and wrong. It's an opinion. Opinions are not facts, so why are some of you guys acting like we are speaking in facts?

If you are wrong, then you are wrong. Who cares?

That's the whole point of a discussion: we throw the best ideas out there and see what sticks.

But if you are afraid of giving your opinion because you might be wrong, you're really robbing us of your insight.

I don't hate stats; I think the over reliance on it hinders creativity: the wait and see approach is nothing more than a stats game. Stats are conclusive, and nobody wants to look stupid in this forum.

Who cares guys?


Words have meanings. When someone asks what's most likely to happen, then you provide that. I don't give a crap if I'm wrong about something. But what I want to happen and what is most likely aren't the same thing. If you thought the MOST likely result was 8 titles for Kobe and Shaq, you were stupid. If you thought they'd beat the odds and shocked the world, cool. Different questions with very different words.

But in short, you can hope for whatever. The most likely result will be 0-1.


How am I stupid for saying Shaq and Kobe can win 8 rings if healthy and intact?

It's a speculation bro. I'm not talking in matter of fact terms.

If you disagree, state your position and speculate. Stop relying on stats. I understand nobody wants to look stupid, but I'm not learning anything from you guys except a few great posters in here who speculate and come up with the better idea.

If all you do is stats this and that, I'm sorry, you're not teaching me anything.


Healthy and intact for 8 years is already impossible...so yeah. It's a stupid statement. That doesn't even get into the wear and tear of going to the finals for multiple seasons. There's a reason teams just can't keep doing it and breakdown.
Lo Wang
Rookie
Posts: 1,155
And1: 620
Joined: Jan 07, 2024

Re: How many titles will OKC win until 2030? 

Post#80 » by Lo Wang » Tue Dec 17, 2024 5:33 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
Lo Wang wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
Words have meanings. When someone asks what's most likely to happen, then you provide that. I don't give a crap if I'm wrong about something. But what I want to happen and what is most likely aren't the same thing. If you thought the MOST likely result was 8 titles for Kobe and Shaq, you were stupid. If you thought they'd beat the odds and shocked the world, cool. Different questions with very different words.

But in short, you can hope for whatever. The most likely result will be 0-1.


How am I stupid for saying Shaq and Kobe can win 8 rings if healthy and intact?

It's a speculation bro. I'm not talking in matter of fact terms.

If you disagree, state your position and speculate. Stop relying on stats. I understand nobody wants to look stupid, but I'm not learning anything from you guys except a few great posters in here who speculate and come up with the better idea.

If all you do is stats this and that, I'm sorry, you're not teaching me anything.


Healthy and intact for 8 years is already impossible...so yeah. It's a stupid statement. That doesn't even get into the wear and tear of going to the finals for multiple seasons. There's a reason teams just can't keep doing it and breakdown.


That's the criteria. The speculation is based on the criteria.

At the time, when Shaq/Kobe were in their primes, they still had 15 years left.

You're telling me they can't win 8 rings if they were completely healthy and remained as a team?

If you want a real debate, we can break down the metrics and go at it.

Return to The General Board