Vampirate wrote:Here's a question for you (and anyone) how many games is enough of a sample size with Barnes, both positively and negatively? He's at 17 currently.
How much should be explained from injuries?
That's a good question. I'm very hesitant to look at particulars under 40 games as a general rule of thumb, and then you have to consider how significantly they deviate from the last coupe of seasons. Shooting percentage versus FT percentage. Proportion of volume, etc. I don't know that I could give you a specific number for Barnes because I don't think there's a fixed bracket to stuff it in, it'll depend heavily on what he's doing.
If he shoots 40% for 20 games, I'll generally call BS. He isn't that kind of FT shooter or perimeter shooter in general and he isn't spamming from the corner on assisted shots, he's taking unassisted, above-break 3s, right? The least-efficient 3s in the game. Now, he's working on it, and that's fine, and if he's shooting 35-37% over 30 or 40 games, it's worth noting, as it was last year... although again, last year, he shot well for 28 games and then fell off a cliff again for an equal period before he was shut down. So, hard to tell.
But right now, I'm not really looking at his specific numbers. Short sample, very volatile. Looks good on the court, so I'm just waiting and hoping to see if he can get some consistency with health. And, of course, the roster around him. As with Barrett, Scottie is far more dependent upon his peripheral cast for his own performance than is an actual superstar-level player, right? So when we're evaluating him, we need to be cognizant of if Gradey and RJ are there, if Quick is there, Olynyk, etc. Are we spacing for him? Are we taking some of the playmaking and volume scoring pressure off? Etc.
Long-winded answer, as is my custom. The short version is "it depends on a lot of different stuff. Just gotta be patient this year."
EDIT: If you mean more broadly, then I've got about 2 seasons of patience after this one. And then, I'll be about done with hoping for a higher ceiling.