7seventynine9 wrote:The Nuggets have 3 guys in the top 20 in apg. That's kinda crazy. Their offense is definitely not the problem, though maybe they could afford to shoot some more 3s. Michael Porter leads the team in 3PA/36 at 6.4, which is good for 99th in the NBA. You would think with their ball movement they would get more open 3s. 2 seasons ago, Porter was at 9.1/36. Murray is at 5.8 this year, 2 seasons ago he was at 7.3.
But when you look at them as a team, this year they are at 30.8 3PA/G. 2 years ago, they were at 31.2. On the flipside, 2 years ago opponents were averaging 33.1 3PA/G, this year it's at 39.1. Teams are outscoring Denver by 7 points per game on 3 pointers this year. Denver has a 3.1 point advantage in FTs, and a 6.8 point advantage in 2s for an overall point differential of 3.0 points.
Yup. Their opponent 3pt A/G is a problem.
Their perimeter defense that needs to be fixing. Some podcaster that said that the among below average at rim protecting and below average at defending the 3. That just can't do. They shouldn't be that bad. The rim protecting is a lost cause of Jokic limited mobility. AG could make it better. If the nuggets can find a player that could give solid rim protecting, that's cool. But I don't think they can.
Last year, they were better at running guys off the 3pt line. Last year, they were second in terms of opponent 3pa with (31.5 3pa) and second when it comes to 3pt makes (11.2 3pt makes). They were top ten in terms of defending the 3, with opponents shooting 35.5%. This year, they are among the worst at defending the 3. Teams are shooting 39.1 3pa against them, while making 14 of them. Teams are generally are shooting more this year.
You can't allow that and lack of rim protection at the same time. Transition defense is also bad. It's wild to think KCP had that much impact with them. But I don't think it's just KCP, but him losing didn't help. They are other point of attack guys that they could get, who could navigate around screens but I don't think they will get them. Booth doesn't seem to be concern about the defense as much as he is concern about the offense on the bench. I could understand it, but the defense probably needs more attention first. So, it probably won't get address. The team just have to give better effort. Be at least average.
And as you said, their volume of 3pt shots is lacking. However, with Jokic they have the best offense in the league and the best offense in nba history in terms of Ortg. Whenever he goes out, they have the worst. That's insane.
It seems like the tactics is just to outscore the other opponent.
If they could get guys that could put in effort on defense and is good at it, then some of their problems can be fixed. They don't really have to address the 3pt issue if they find the right pieces. They could try to get Keon Ellis if the Kings do blow it up. They could get DSJ, but he can't shoot. They need another wing defender, but I don't know where they could get one. And I doubt they will get defenders anyway, but they definitely need something.