Post#50 » by Walton1one » Tue Jan 7, 2025 8:02 pm
I seriously question what Cronin intends to do with that space? Knowing that POR is not a free agent destination.
What is he going to do, overpay a mediocre vet (Olshey\Evan Turner) like his predecessor did? Seems like a stupid waste of cap space (and tradeable assets) to me.
Also, likely Sharpe's new contract will be coming into the first year (I think he is eligible for up to 5 years\$224mil, yeah people get ready for that Cronin decision)
26/27 POR will have
Grant $34.2
Avdija $13.1
Scoot $13.6 (club option)
DC $7.5 (club option
Sharpe - Eligible for up around $224mil\5yrs ($45mil) or they take a risk with RFA @ $25.2mil - Best case scenario slightly under max? 40mil?
Murray $5.3 (club option)
Banton? who knows, if they keep him $8-10mil?
Camara $2.4mil
Rupert - $3mil (RFA, unless they re-sign him to another deal before)
2025 pick - Currently #6 ($6.9)
2026 pick - Similar to above ($7.5)
CAP PROJECTED @ $170.2 million
$101.5 million not including Sharpe
RFA Sharpe $126.7
Re-sign Sharpe, close or at max (let's say close, $40mil, this is POR\Cronin after all) = $141.5
Approximately $28.7 million under the cap
BUT, to get there they have to let the following players walk for nothing:
Ayton
Simons
RW3
Thybulle
Walker (I am assuming they let him walk this offseason to make space for 25' pick)
Reath (or they RFA him @ cost of $3mil, or resign him to multi-year deal)
When you look this, my question is, why in the heck would you CHOOSE to do this?
You cannot, if you are POR, let Ayton\Simons\RW3 walk for nothing but cap space.
Do you REALLY believe that they are going to draw a big-name FA to Portland? That is just not realistic at all given the history of this franchise.
2026 UNRESTRICTED Free agents of note.
Coby White, Jaren Jackson Jr, Naz Reid, Collin Sexton, Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington, SGA, Rui Hachimura, DeAaron Fox, John Collins, Mo Wagner, Mikal Bridges, Aaron Gordon, Kristaps Porzingis, Julius Randle
I am not listing RFA, because anyone who has followed POR (or FA for that matter) long enough knows that chasing RFA is dumb, as if the player is worth a large contract that team is 99% of the time matching to keep them
Fans are dreaming if they think any of the bigger name players listed would CHOOSE to sign with POR, especially at the amount that POR could offer. Even IF, let's say POR elects to leave Sharpe as an RFA, which could get them to around $43.5mil (or a little more) of cap space.
SGA\Fox\JJ jr\Randle (why would you want him anyway?)\Bridges\White\Reid, these guys are not coming here, that is a pipedream.
So what are we realistically talking about? Overpaying a "C-level" vet like Rui Hachimura, John Collins or Kelly Oubre Jr?
This is why letting those players expire for nothing is not a good idea.
1) They give up any possible assets they could get for them, even if those are not much
2) Their cap space is not going to be enough, if they re-sign Sharpe (a given) to lure any FA of note
3) Even IF they take the risk and RFA Sharpe, they STILL won't be able to attract an A\B tier FA here, which means (as before) re-signing marginal vet for VASTLY more than they are worth (and other teams are willing to pay
....and, we are back to Square 1, again....