70sFan wrote:OhayoKD wrote:The only reason we're talking about midfield is because you decided to treat "ball progression" as synonymous with "successfully getting the ball past the half-way point of the playing surface". It
No, that's incorrect.
So you take James over Jordan because of ability to throw long passes better? That's your analogy to Messi and Ronaldo?
It's one reason. Not a big one.
The "point" of the analogy is that in soccer there are various box-scores which don't just rely count what happens at or near the very end of a sequence of play, and people recognize there is production there. So even if Ronaldo and Messi are close in goals/assists, you have plenty of eye-tests and box-scores agreeing that messi is better. In basketball offensive production is reduced to points assists and/or rebounds. A.K.A what happens at the end of a possession. This creates a false equivalency in "production". If you want to argue "actions before the end of a possession" is not notable or worth counting then do so, but "there is no midfield" is a red-herring.
If that's the "point" of this analogy, then it's a horrible analogy because it doesn't give you any clearer picture of your take. Of course the whole possession matters, we're not discussing with guys looking at ppg here.[/quote]
Pretty much all the popular advanced stats and the inputs they're based on in basketball only look at the end of a possession. And that's the lens the sport is commonly viewed. I'm not sure why you're making it just scoring though. I've said assists are "at the end of possessions" too.
This point also suggests that Messi does "more" than Ronaldo outside of scoring goals, assuming that Ronaldo is just a pure striker that didn't do much beyond that. That's actually not true, Ronaldo does a lot of things Messi doesn't on the court. Things that Messi does are just more valuable overall.
I am assuming Messi does way more than Ronaldo does besides scoring. What are these "lot of things" he does better besides scoring traits? Only things that come to mind are him tackling a bit more, winning headers, blocking a bit more, and moving more off-ball (and I don't know i've ever seen it measured but I assume he stresses defenses more without the ball). I think assists makes the passing look alot closer than it is. Messi can ping pong the ball from his own box to a teammate in the other box (iirc he did it 3 times vs Croatia) and hit crazy diagonal through crosses 3 times vs France and run through real madrid's entire defense in the champions league semi-final. Messi also clears Ronaldo in like every passing metric and had a world cup run where he matched Modric statistically being used as a deep-lying creator. If it was just goalscoring I could buy a "well Ronaldo does better in higher leverage moments" case but the outside of scoring gap has to be pretty big I think. Peak messi was a better presser/positioner defender I feel but we don't have metrics for that pre 2015 i think.
OK, but that again leaves us with your analogy being empty.
Space is very important in rugby as well, would you try to create some fuzzy analogies of basketball and rugby players as well? What's the purpose of this?
I mean I've done it with football for passing. I don't watch rugby though. And honestly my interest in football is the stories/first things first bits. There's way too many ads and pauses for me. I like messi-cr7 analogy because it's the only other team-sport comp can think off where between 2 similar players by end-of-poss stats one player has an advantage in creation quality, creation quantity, ball progression, and consensus there is the opposite. Anyway I didn't bring it up this thread.
I am not talking about Giannis penetrating, I am talking about teams building walls inside the paint. And Phonzie and Mbappe don't need to have the ball for an opposing defense to drop their line of confrontation while they're on the field.
The way defenses react to them and the influence on defensive coverage of these two players are fundamentally different though. I get that both players affect defenses and force them to provide additional help, which opens up the space - but again, that's very basic thing and I don't see any reason to use such analogy because it doesn't provide any value in understanding these basic concepts.[/quote]
I mean it's specifically they make teams vacate space ahead. It's not relevant to what's being discussed anyway but if I see an opportunity to bring up Phonzie's xG halving speed-gravity I can't resist. Mbappe is just being mentioned so I can hide the agenda.
It's a reason. Being plenty capable doesn't make you as capable. The only players who did it more (keeping it strictly to dribbling) than Lebron did in 09/10 were Magic and Nash. When you pair that with being the best scorer in the league (3rd best all-time) and being able to frequently draw and consistently capitalize on 3+ defenders focusing on you, you get a Messi analog. Lebron has two seasons where he was simultaneously the league's most prolific scorer, progressor, and creator and he was hyper-efficient in both. Messi is probably the only modern soccer player you can say that was ever true for.
Have you tracked enough games to be certain about that? I think that statement would require hundreds of games tracked.
I guess not, but like you said for Bird, the signals are undeniable. Given what's on tape (for hard tracking I think it's 6 between me, tsherkin, ceo, and lebronny) the most compelling explanation for me is he's outpacing his assists as a playmaker by alot. My concern with Lebronny's tracking is mostly gone now that I've went and looked at what they count as a creation. All the creations have at least one defender taken out and one extra affected, almost all of them have 2 taken out, and up until a week ago they were only counting when a shot was generated so I don't think there's weak stuff being filtered in. And Lebron is torching what they'd tracked over several playoffs for everyone else and he's racking up alot more edtos per creation when they have me vet their stuff than for the others. And this is all 2007 or earlier Lebron who isn't even being used as a primary ball-handler for large stretches of the game.
Because in the premier league the weaker teams have higher lines of confrontations than they do in other leagues creating more midfield battles than other leagues. Basing that off some measure of defensive whatever i don't remember.
That's interesing, but it would depend on what leagues were compared to PL. Remember that Europe has a lot of leagues around, it doesn't end with the top 3.
I don't watch PL at all, I watch basically only international and UCL these days (and some Polish league in person sporadically).
I watch CCL more than UCL now.