panthermark wrote:HomoSapien wrote:AKME have made a grand total of two good moves. Signing Caruso and drafting Ayo. Everything else has been a complete disaster.
That got dinged for how they signed Ball, but signing him was a good move (knee issues aside). The problem was not fixing the PF spot (too much PW love) and not blowing up the team sooner when it was clear Lonzo was going to be out for seasons.
I think that under estimate the problem. They have many problems, and the problems are not single issues but pervasive trends in how the behave the repeat over and over again. They don't lose on every one of these behaviors every time, but they put themselves in position to lose a lot more often than they win.
1: Their strategy is horrible. They decide to go for it when they have no chance whatsoever of making up enough ground to make that work which then lowers their asset base and makes it way harder to make anything else work in the future. (Vuc trade, DeMar S&T both ate up a ton of future assets to get a single playoff appearance and 1 playoff win)
2: When they make moves, they hang onto them too long and don't maximize value for things that might have had value or they wait until they are absolutely certain the move failed prior to trading it and now can't get out of it at all (hanging on too long to DeMar, Caruso whom they got a tiny bit of value but could have gotten more earlier (Coby / Ayo in this bucket in a year), hanging on to Zach / Pat too long and end up stuck with them when they could have gotten value earlier)
3: They are terrible at scouting and just make dumb draft choices. The one hit and one potential hit they have are guys whom fell well beyond their expected draft positions. They haven't had many picks, but Pat is a bust, Terry is a bust, Ayo was projected as a late 1st and lasted until 37, Matas was projected at 5 and fell to 11 (who knows if Matas will end up a hit). With Ayo if you need any more proof they lucked into him, they gave Marco the 3 year deal and Ayo the 2 year deal showing they didn't even believe in him over Marco at the time.
4: They negotiate against themselves in FA (Vuc, Zach, Pat, Coby, Ayo). So far it has kind of worked out with Coby/Ayo, but those guys both signed top of market deals with us prior to hitting FA while they were restricted. They both improved a ton after the deals and have made them good deals, but could have played hard ball with both and likely gotten the same / better deals. On the reverse, Vuc, Zach, and Pat all got deals we now hate.
Fundamentally, this is a group that is just in over their heads. They are the Jim Boylen's of GMing. They aren't good enough relative to their peers.