ImageImageImage

Free Agent, (Trade), Buyout, Extension & Conversion Thread, 2025

Moderators: bisme37, Parliament10, canman1971, shackles10, snowman, Froob, Darthlukey, Shak_Celts

User avatar
zoyathedestroya
RealGM
Posts: 41,125
And1: 98,277
Joined: Nov 05, 2017

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#301 » by zoyathedestroya » Sun Jan 19, 2025 5:45 pm

ryan in Maine wrote:
Fierce1 wrote:
Curmudgeon wrote:Jaylen Brown to Miami for Jimmy Butler
Porzingis to Miami for Adebayo

They would have to be two separate 1 for 1 trades. Obviously Boston wouldn't do the first unless Miami were willing to do the second. Miami could also throw in a few FRP swaps in 2026 and 2028.

Both those trades don't work.
So even if, and that's a big if, both teams want to do it, your trade proposal is illegal.

Apron rules.

Yeah new rules are strict. 407k is 407k now.

Financially, there’s a workaround. The first deal is easy. Just need a third team to receive a small salaried player from Miami.

The second one’s tougher since Cs need to go under the 2nd apron in order for aggregation to be allowed. Something like:

BOS gets Adebayo
MIA gets Porzingis
POR gets Horford (via NT-MLE) and Springer (via BAE)
Curmudgeon
RealGM
Posts: 42,190
And1: 25,967
Joined: Jan 20, 2004
Location: Boston, MA

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#302 » by Curmudgeon » Sun Jan 19, 2025 6:50 pm

Why does the first deal require a salary dump? Brown makes more than Butler. It's the second deal that requires the Celtics to shed salary to a third team to get under the second apron.
"Numbers lie alot. Wins and losses don't lie." - Jerry West
"You are what your record says you are."- Bill Parcells
"Offense sells tickets. Defense wins games. Rebounding wins championships." Pat Summit
User avatar
ConstableGeneva
RealGM
Posts: 50,571
And1: 101,360
Joined: Sep 22, 2012
Location: Parody Account
 

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#303 » by ConstableGeneva » Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:03 pm

Curmudgeon wrote:Why does the first deal require a salary dump? Brown makes more than Butler. It's the second deal that requires the Celtics to shed salary to a third team to get under the second apron.

Miami is a 1st apron team. Can't take on more salary than they trade away.
░N░0░0░D░S░ ░I░N░ ░B░I░O░
Cricket23
Pro Prospect
Posts: 857
And1: 607
Joined: Feb 21, 2022

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#304 » by Cricket23 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 12:56 am

I don't think Boston makes a big move but I do like the Jrue to Houston idea. I don't like that return as I believe he still has good value.

Boston sends Jrue and Springer to Houston
Boston gets Jabari Smith and Aaron Holiday

They get completely out of the apron even with signing Lonnie Walker. Go back to Brown at the 2 by getting a young athletic 4. By the time he needs a new contract, KP will be gone. They can aggregate contracts because the trade gets them out of the apron.

White/Pritch/A. Holiday
Brown/Walker
JT/Hauser
Jabari/JT/Horford
KP/Horford/Luke

Houston sends Jabari, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday
Gets Jrue and Springer.

With Thompson, Eason, and Whitmore, Smith is expendable for Houston. Holiday is totally an Ime type of player who would fit perfectly in their backcourt with Green. They could then decline Van Vleet's 45 mil option for next year.

Detroit gives a fake 2nd
Detroit gets Steven Adams and a 2nd from wherever

Detroit takes a pick for taking on the salary of a veteran who can help them in their playoff push
User avatar
Celts17Pride
RealGM
Posts: 68,792
And1: 70,841
Joined: Nov 27, 2005

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#305 » by Celts17Pride » Mon Jan 20, 2025 2:36 pm

Bontemps explained that Boston also has 11 players signed for the 2025-26 campaign for $225 million and would have a projected payroll of approximately $233 million with a draft pick and minimum salaried players added.

That is $45 million over the projected luxury tax and would give the Celtics a projected tax bill of $280 million when there are harsher penalties next offseason.

Between the players under contract and the tax bill, that would represent a payroll of approximately $513 million for the 2025-26 season
.


Phoenix is expected to become the first team in history with a payroll over $400 million for the 2024-2025 season

A trade is coming either in 17 days or in the off-season. I highly doubt the Celtics are paying $513 million next year especially with the sale of the team happening real soon. It's just common sense.
brackdan70
RealGM
Posts: 18,550
And1: 13,485
Joined: Jul 15, 2013
Location: Ogden, UT
   

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#306 » by brackdan70 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 3:09 pm

Celts17Pride wrote:Bontemps explained that Boston also has 11 players signed for the 2025-26 campaign for $225 million and would have a projected payroll of approximately $233 million with a draft pick and minimum salaried players added.

That is $45 million over the projected luxury tax and would give the Celtics a projected tax bill of $280 million when there are harsher penalties next offseason.

Between the players under contract and the tax bill, that would represent a payroll of approximately $513 million for the 2025-26 season
.


Phoenix is expected to become the first team in history with a payroll over $400 million for the 2024-2025 season

A trade is coming either in 17 days or in the off-season. I highly doubt the Celtics are paying $513 million next year especially with the sale of the team happening real soon. It's just common sense.

I agree. That’s a pretty untenable expense line. I think that is well over revenue. Depending on the ownership group, that is possible something that could be endure for one season, but then a drastic reset would be needed…I agree though, in all likelihood something happens before the 2025/26 season gets rolling.
Jordan Walsh > Lonnie Walker and Charles Bassey
brackdan70
RealGM
Posts: 18,550
And1: 13,485
Joined: Jul 15, 2013
Location: Ogden, UT
   

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#307 » by brackdan70 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 3:12 pm

Cricket23 wrote:I don't think Boston makes a big move but I do like the Jrue to Houston idea. I don't like that return as I believe he still has good value.

Boston sends Jrue and Springer to Houston
Boston gets Jabari Smith and Aaron Holiday

They get completely out of the apron even with signing Lonnie Walker. Go back to Brown at the 2 by getting a young athletic 4. By the time he needs a new contract, KP will be gone. They can aggregate contracts because the trade gets them out of the apron.

White/Pritch/A. Holiday
Brown/Walker
JT/Hauser
Jabari/JT/Horford
KP/Horford/Luke

Houston sends Jabari, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday
Gets Jrue and Springer.

With Thompson, Eason, and Whitmore, Smith is expendable for Houston. Holiday is totally an Ime type of player who would fit perfectly in their backcourt with Green. They could then decline Van Vleet's 45 mil option for next year.

Detroit gives a fake 2nd
Detroit gets Steven Adams and a 2nd from wherever

Detroit takes a pick for taking on the salary of a veteran who can help them in their playoff push

And Houston raises a banner and we all cry. Could happen. I don’t mind that trade though. Something like that is certainly possible. I really don’t think it happens this year though, but I do know Brad ain’t afraid.
Jordan Walsh > Lonnie Walker and Charles Bassey
brackdan70
RealGM
Posts: 18,550
And1: 13,485
Joined: Jul 15, 2013
Location: Ogden, UT
   

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#308 » by brackdan70 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 3:16 pm

I love the insanity in here!!!
Jordan Walsh > Lonnie Walker and Charles Bassey
playa-hater
RealGM
Posts: 22,720
And1: 24,614
Joined: Aug 29, 2020
 

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#309 » by playa-hater » Mon Jan 20, 2025 3:44 pm

Boston gets Jabari Smith ?? Sign me up. Meanwhile a trade between Ime and Stevens may depend on their current relationship. Perhaps there is some lingering dis-like over IME's departure.
2 things need to go.. my lack of spell check and Joe.. :nod:
cl2117
General Manager
Posts: 9,021
And1: 7,674
Joined: Jun 14, 2013
 

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#310 » by cl2117 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 4:12 pm

brackdan70 wrote:
Celts17Pride wrote:Bontemps explained that Boston also has 11 players signed for the 2025-26 campaign for $225 million and would have a projected payroll of approximately $233 million with a draft pick and minimum salaried players added.

That is $45 million over the projected luxury tax and would give the Celtics a projected tax bill of $280 million when there are harsher penalties next offseason.

Between the players under contract and the tax bill, that would represent a payroll of approximately $513 million for the 2025-26 season
.


Phoenix is expected to become the first team in history with a payroll over $400 million for the 2024-2025 season

A trade is coming either in 17 days or in the off-season. I highly doubt the Celtics are paying $513 million next year especially with the sale of the team happening real soon. It's just common sense.

I agree. That’s a pretty untenable expense line. I think that is well over revenue. Depending on the ownership group, that is possible something that could be endure for one season, but then a drastic reset would be needed…I agree though, in all likelihood something happens before the 2025/26 season gets rolling.

It entirely depends on a) if we win it all this season and b) the ultimate sale price and c) who the new owner(s) are.

If we go back to back, it's hard to justify making a trade for cost saving purposes that makes us worse. While the deficit would be pretty huge, the overall value of the team will go up significantly and have the potential to go even higher with a three-peat on the table. It'd be worth taking the hit for the potential benefit of that outcome.

If the ultimate sale price already has baked in the fact that the tax bill will be exorbitant, it won't be as onerous as it seems. Wyc & Co will take the hit in their capital gains thereby making it easier for the new ownership to wear the operating losses in the near-term.

And finally if we get a Ballmer-esque billionaire, it is actually viable to eat those losses. Most years the C's will net a profit, their value will continue to grow consistently over the JT/JB era given that we will be in the conversation in the East for at least the next decade before having to truly rebuild. To an extent it can be short term pain for long term gain. The flip side of that is that most of the above is true regardless, so what will likely be a shrewd business person might not care about taking a step back but it really comes down to how committed they'll be to winning.

Given the value of this ballclub, the growth over the last few decades and projected growth going forward it is by no means financially implausible to spend that much in terms of salaries and taxes. It'll most likely be a matter of will rather than feasibility. Even if we were to get a cash-poor owner/ownership group they'd be able to leverage the value of the club to settle those short-term deficits given the pretty much guaranteed future profits.

I'm not saying I don't think you're right, but just that it's not a necessity. If the current ownership group make a cost-saving move to line their pocket on the way out, they should be flamed for it and it shouldn't be accepted as an inevitability. If the new ownership does the same, they should similarly be flamed for it because ultimately they bought something they couldn't pay for and the fans suffer as a result. I don't like how it's being presented as an inescapable outcome because it's ultimately letting these guys off the hook. Just look at the returns Wyc & co have gotten on their initial investment, these guys and the future owners will get their returns no matter what, making those moves to further line their pockets shouldn't just be accepted as a unavoidable consequence.
UHar_Vinnie wrote:If you don't lean forward while hugging a dude, you are gonna have a wiener touching incident. You know this.
Hal14
RealGM
Posts: 22,374
And1: 21,277
Joined: Apr 05, 2019

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#311 » by Hal14 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 4:27 pm

Cricket23 wrote:I don't think Boston makes a big move but I do like the Jrue to Houston idea. I don't like that return as I believe he still has good value.

Boston sends Jrue and Springer to Houston
Boston gets Jabari Smith and Aaron Holiday

They get completely out of the apron even with signing Lonnie Walker. Go back to Brown at the 2 by getting a young athletic 4. By the time he needs a new contract, KP will be gone. They can aggregate contracts because the trade gets them out of the apron.

White/Pritch/A. Holiday
Brown/Walker
JT/Hauser
Jabari/JT/Horford
KP/Horford/Luke

Houston sends Jabari, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday
Gets Jrue and Springer.

With Thompson, Eason, and Whitmore, Smith is expendable for Houston. Holiday is totally an Ime type of player who would fit perfectly in their backcourt with Green. They could then decline Van Vleet's 45 mil option for next year.

Detroit gives a fake 2nd
Detroit gets Steven Adams and a 2nd from wherever

Detroit takes a pick for taking on the salary of a veteran who can help them in their playoff push

No way. Jabari is not good. He's not athletic. He's just tall and all he can do is shoot, and he's not even that good at that (career 33% from 3)

That would make our team way worse.The only way it helps is by making us younger and saving some $..those are moves that teams make who are rebuilding/tanking..not teams trying to build a dynasty.
Nothing wrong with having a different opinion - as long as it's done respectfully. It'd be lame if we all agreed on everything :)
celtxman
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,861
And1: 1,998
Joined: Aug 21, 2004
   

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#312 » by celtxman » Mon Jan 20, 2025 4:57 pm

For the record, the NBA botched, the CBA and thus I rewards teams like Charlotte who never try for championships.
With that said, my stab at this. It feels like there can be a match between Atlanta and Boston with Jaylen Brown. I'm basing this on a high opinion of Jalen Johnson.

In Capela, Jalen Johnson,Dyson Daniels and Larry Nance OUT Brown, Tillman Queta

For next year incoming $38 million, outgoing $58 million, Nance and Capela expiring contracts

Separate trade : Kessler for Springer and draft picks.

They might want to consider throwing in Hauser with next year's contract.
Bring in Lonnie Walker. There are similar trades you can do with DeAndre Hunter.
Brad Stevens on fans who want the Celtics to tank: "I don’t think they’ll like me all that much then."
User avatar
Celts17Pride
RealGM
Posts: 68,792
And1: 70,841
Joined: Nov 27, 2005

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#313 » by Celts17Pride » Mon Jan 20, 2025 6:00 pm

celtxman wrote:For the record, the NBA botched, the CBA and thus I rewards teams like Charlotte who never try for championships.
With that said, my stab at this. It feels like there can be a match between Atlanta and Boston with Jaylen Brown. I'm basing this on a high opinion of Jalen Johnson.

In Capela, Jalen Johnson,Dyson Daniels and Larry Nance OUT Brown, Tillman Queta

For next year incoming $38 million, outgoing $58 million, Nance and Capela expiring contracts

Separate trade : Kessler for Springer and draft picks.

They might want to consider throwing in Hauser with next year's contract.
Bring in Lonnie Walker. There are similar trades you can do with DeAndre Hunter.

Celtics can't combine salaries being over the 2nd apron and Atlanta is most likely not moving Johnson.
redslastlaugh
Analyst
Posts: 3,705
And1: 4,889
Joined: Aug 13, 2011
 

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#314 » by redslastlaugh » Mon Jan 20, 2025 6:05 pm

Hindsight is 20/20 but knowing Grousbeck wanted to sell the team, it’s interesting that we decided to sign Derrick White & Sam Hauser to extensions last summer. Hauser and White were both signed for this season but not longer.

Sam was on the books for $2 this year and White was signed for $20… now, having signed the extensions, they’re on the books for a combined $175 million over the next four seasons. I’m not saying White and Hauser are not worth those figures, but selling the team, it seems more wise to let the new owner decide what to do given the new owner will be the party responsible for paying the huge tax on those signings.

We’d have a significantly greater amount of flexibility against the tax if White and Sam were NOT extended in summer of 2024 but were instead about to become FAs. Then we’d have the option of re-signing one or both, sign-and-trade one or both, or just let one or both walk as was the financial reality with James Posey. We’d also then have no possibility of having to use draft capital to dump Whit, Holiday or Porzingis because of losses
User avatar
Fierce1
RealGM
Posts: 19,846
And1: 17,268
Joined: Jan 31, 2021
   

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#315 » by Fierce1 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 6:44 pm

redslastlaugh wrote:Hindsight is 20/20 but knowing Grousbeck wanted to sell the team, it’s interesting that we decided to sign Derrick White & Sam Hauser to extensions last summer. Hauser and White were both signed for this season but not longer.

Sam was on the books for $2 this year and White was signed for $20… now, having signed the extensions, they’re on the books for a combined $175 million over the next four seasons. I’m not saying White and Hauser are not worth those figures, but selling the team, it seems more wise to let the new owner decide what to do given the new owner will be the party responsible for paying the huge tax on those signings.

We’d have a significantly greater amount of flexibility against the tax if White and Sam were NOT extended in summer of 2024 but were instead about to become FAs. Then we’d have the option of re-signing one or both, sign-and-trade one or both, or just let one or both walk as was the financial reality with James Posey. We’d also then have no possibility of having to use draft capital to dump Whit, Holiday or Porzingis because of losses

Giving White and Sam extensions would eliminate the issue of money and contracts.

And they signed team friendly extensions, so it's not hard to trade them if the Celtics need to.

Also, Celtics were never going to have flexibility once they gave the Jays 600m.
redslastlaugh
Analyst
Posts: 3,705
And1: 4,889
Joined: Aug 13, 2011
 

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#316 » by redslastlaugh » Mon Jan 20, 2025 7:32 pm

Fierce1 wrote:Giving White and Sam extensions would eliminate the issue of money and contracts.

And they signed team friendly extensions, so it's not hard to trade them if the Celtics need to.

Also, Celtics were never going to have flexibility once they gave the Jays 600m.

Until they are traded, we don’t know how easy it would be to trade them. The financial/economic conditions around the NBA has changed as the new CBA is fully digested and some teams thought they’d be able to flip big money contracts and so far have not been able to (Jerami Grant, Zach LaVine, etc). And even if Hauser and White are easy to trade, the teams that would want them generally don’t have capspace so we’d take back a contract of comparative dollar amount but fewer years which won’t necessarily help with the short term tax bill. Everything Wyc has done financially doesn’t make a lot sense given he also knew he was going to put the team up for sale, imo… and this has increased the uncertainty going forward
celtxman
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,861
And1: 1,998
Joined: Aug 21, 2004
   

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#317 » by celtxman » Mon Jan 20, 2025 8:35 pm

Celts17Pride wrote:
celtxman wrote:For the record, the NBA botched, the CBA and thus I rewards teams like Charlotte who never try for championships.
With that said, my stab at this. It feels like there can be a match between Atlanta and Boston with Jaylen Brown. I'm basing this on a high opinion of Jalen Johnson.

In Capela, Jalen Johnson,Dyson Daniels and Larry Nance OUT Brown, Tillman Queta

For next year incoming $38 million, outgoing $58 million, Nance and Capela expiring contracts

Separate trade : Kessler for Springer and draft picks.

They might want to consider throwing in Hauser with next year's contract.
Bring in Lonnie Walker. There are similar trades you can do with DeAndre Hunter.

Celtics can't combine salaries being over the 2nd apron and Atlanta is most likely not moving Johnson.
It's really amazing that you can't aggregate salaries to LOWER your payroll. But Brown alone for that same return still works or some sort of three team trade. Hunter, Dyson and Capela for Brown also works. Then a Hauser trade makes sense.
Brad Stevens on fans who want the Celtics to tank: "I don’t think they’ll like me all that much then."
User avatar
165bows
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 22,185
And1: 15,051
Joined: Jan 03, 2013
Location: The land of incremental improvement.

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#318 » by 165bows » Mon Jan 20, 2025 9:45 pm

Pretty obvious imo KP going to be traded before Jrue.

And I like the idea of a player like Jabari Smith, Jr., just not sure if he's actually that player or not.
User avatar
165bows
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 22,185
And1: 15,051
Joined: Jan 03, 2013
Location: The land of incremental improvement.

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#319 » by 165bows » Mon Jan 20, 2025 9:45 pm

Also I figured they'd pick up Boucher at a vet min this off-season, but maybe he signs another deal with TOR for some reason.
celtxman
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,861
And1: 1,998
Joined: Aug 21, 2004
   

Re: Free Agent, Trade & Conversion Thread, 2024-25 

Post#320 » by celtxman » Mon Jan 20, 2025 10:46 pm

165bows wrote:Pretty obvious imo KP going to be traded before Jrue.

And I like the idea of a player like Jabari Smith, Jr., just not sure if he's actually that player or not.

That's certainly possible. I've already written that Walker Kessler makes sense to get with or without KP staying.
Brad Stevens on fans who want the Celtics to tank: "I don’t think they’ll like me all that much then."

Return to Boston Celtics