dougthonus wrote:dice wrote:PFF 2023 carter 89 wright 62
PFF 2024 wright 79 carter 74
and by the way, wright played 95% of snaps over 16 games. along w/ EVERY snap of his rookie season
carter played only half the snaps his rookie year, thus perhaps accounting for his elite performance, being well rested. this season he played 84% of snaps over his 16 games and saw his efficiency fall significantly. chris jones played a similar % of snaps and a PFF grade of 90. at age 30. huge gap in production between the very best and jalen carter. 74 QB pressures vs. carter's 53. in 1 less game
talent does nothing in the NFL. it's all about production
I agree, it is about production. You know what means nothing? PFF grades.
???
they watch every play. you don't. neither do a lot of pro bowl voters (which includes fans and players at other positions). so why does your opinion count for anything and the unbiased gold standard doesn't?
every team, including the ever-astute eagles, pays for PFF data. are they suckers?
Carter just won a playoff game for his team
contributed significantly, certainly. but i'm not gonna ignore the 200+ yards and 2 TDs of saquon barkley. nor the turnover-free game management of hurts (in the snow)
and on the season, was their DMVP according to Philly fans
oh, so now we're trusting the opinions of fanbases over professional evaluators. why even hire a GM? just take a thonus poll!
He made the pro bowl so was also viewed as an incredibly important player by the league as a whole. Wright is nothing like that for us, not even close.
different. positions.
multiple. players. acquired.
there are pro bowlers who not only don't deserve to be but are also not viewed as "incredibly important"
jalen carter by all accounts played better last year w/ less snaps. yet their defense was one of the worst in the league. despite a strong D-line. that should tell you how "incredibly important" he was/is. why did the defense collapse last season? because the secondary collapsed. why are they arguably the best this season? terrific play from 2 rookies (mitchell, dejean - taken 22nd and 40th respectfully) in the secondary. because the secondary is more important than the line
i was giving a hypothetical. the payoff for any player drafted at #9 is going to be higher. there is no expectation of outright losing the bet there. not with carter and not even w/ wright, who i would argue was over-drafted. i was totally OK w/ trading out of carter, but my position may have flipped had you told me the players chosen w/ the acquired picks
Yeah, the hypothetical you gave was nonsensical filled with made up numbers about betting.
what a stupefying take. first of all, my example was entirely sensical (and intentionally very basic such that that should have been clear to all). secondly, when drafting a player you are MAKING A BET (see the analogy now?). finally, 'hypothetical' inherently involves making up things. you seriously didn't know that? good god
the point of the hypothetical, which seems to have gone over your head, was that being on the correct end of a decision in retrospect does not make the decision in the moment a good one. THUS, jumping up and down and waving your hands when jalen carter has a good game to say "see, see, he IS really that good" misses the point. the likelihood was ALWAYS going to be that he was the real deal and would not get into major trouble off the field
We passed on a guy who was viewed as generationally talented at an important position for a guy who was not.
generationally talented? yeah, another swing and whiff. amazing how people view generations as a few years these days
again, carter is not close to chris jones. not yet. he is not close to aaron donald
2 years later, surprise, surprise, the generationally talented guy looks like the much better player.
nope, not much better. surprised? i guess you would be given that you seem to be hanging out on eagles message boards
nobody expected darnell wright to be better. that was not the point of the trade and you know that. it was a 2 for 1. yet people continue to intentionally ignore that fact (the definition of ignorant) to defend their position
so your argument is that every team in the league save maybe the eagles weren't being rational. that's fine and maybe even correct. but i'm not gonna dock poles much for not being an outlier
No, not every team in the league passed on Carter
every team passed on trading up for him, derp. at #5. and again at #6. and again at #7. and again at #8. INCLUDING the eagles. because they didn't value jalen carter enough to offer enough to the teams at those positions. despite his "generational talent"
your argument, piss-poor from jump street, continues to devolve
Given we passed on him at 9th, that makes us the stupidest team to pass on him. Maybe you could argue the team at 8th was stupider, because we got a 4th rounder. But there were legitimate reasons for Carter to drop as low as say 4 (a couple teams are taking QBs and Will Anderson was similarly graded out at the same position). 5-9 the reasons were nonsensical, so the teams in that range were dumb
or, they took excellent prospects at more important positions to avoid dealing w/ carter
and the eagles and bears were likely valuing carter similarly. maybe even the same given the difference in situations carter would be walking into
That's insane to think that.
utilizing logic is not insane
The Bears didn't want Carter, because if they wanted him, they'd have drafted him.
or...they would have drafted him if only offered a 5th
many of these decisions come down to the margins. to pretend to know what is in ryan poles's head at any given moment is what's insane
The Eagles knew the Bears didn't want Carter
and you have unreported knowledge that another team or teams were attempting to trade up w/ the bears? otherwise, why would philly even make a trade? just let him drop another spot. as he did from 5 to 6. and 6 to 7. and 7 to 8. and 8 to 9? suddenly there was significant trade interest when it got to the bears' spot?
so no, they they obviously didn't know the bears didn't want carter. no more than they knew teams 5-8 didn't want carter. you say the bears were stupid. the eagles knew the bears were stupid? so they waited until he got down to #9? because they knew they could get him even though he was strongly devalued by that point? that's ridiculous
because if we wanted him, we wouldn't trade down.
or...we got an offer good enough to move us off him. c'mon. this isn't a hard scenario to imagine playing out. not every team that likes a player drafts him. sometimes another team comes along that likes him more. and trading a valuable mid-round pick to move up 1 spot means they like him a whole lot
They evaluated Carter as good enough that they felt there was a big risk other teams would trade up for him so proactively traded up to ensure they got him. They viewed him as considerably better than the field or they'd have just hung out where they were.
jaysus. sentence 1 contradicts sentence 2. now you know that another team didn't offer a 5th? despite the "big risk" of exactly that happening? the great pretender
and you still don't have an answer as to why the hell the eagles weren't willing to offer what it took to get him at a higher spot if they SO valued him
anyway, i'm done w/ the conversation as it is clearly being argued either in bad faith or devoid of logic