michaelm wrote:Special_Puppy wrote:bledredwine wrote:
Sure, but you can also weight achievements, stats as well. They’re both a part of the picture. Could the guy get it done? Did he ever put his team in the position to lose as his own fault? And so on.
Longevity is nice, but if we’re weighing it that heavily, I have Kareem over lebron anyway.
The video I posted earlier looked from several angles, as one should.
This is what Kobe fans used to do- prioritize Championship count and scoring.
For Jordan, we prioritize everything because he was that dominant all around. You’ll hear everything mentioned, not just longevity, or just championships, or just stats, or just peak etc.
These people prioritizing longevity are doing it because they are Lebron fans and that’s the one general GOAT criteria he has over Jordan.
I just want to walk you through an example of a career value calculation. Going to use RAPTOR WAR (a stat created by Nate Silver formally at 538 you can download the data here to recreate what I am showing https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/tree/master/nba-raptor). I'm going to use an adjusted version of RAPTOR that weighs the playoffs twice in a nod towards the fact that the goal of each season is to win a championship. I'm then going to weigh each player's best season 100%. Their 2nd best season 95%. Their 3rd best season 90%. This gives more weight to peak and truly excellent seasons. I'm then going to add every season together using this weighing mechanism I just described. According to the adjusted version of this metric, Jordan's 7 best seasons were worth a total of 221.6 wins. LeBron's 7 best seasons were worth 198.0 wins. So Jordan is comfortably ahead in peak value. And yet it’s LeBron who comes out in front using this career metric overall with 258.3 weighted career WAR to Jordan's 248.2. So in a metric that explicitly weighs peak seasons more and sees Jordan's peak as comfortably better than LeBron's, LeBron still comes out ahead in career value. Yes some of this is just longevity, but LeBron having the 2nd best peak in the data set also helps a lot in a metric that explicitly weighs peak years more.
And this was connected with reality/proven how exactly ?.
If you believe him the argument is over in any case, Jordan had the better peak and impressive longevity and LeBron had a lower but still high peak and even greater longevity.
I obviously would take the higher peak which was quite prolonged anyway and concede LeBron is the better player after age 35 playing for a team which is not seriously contending.
Jordan and longevity should never be in the same sentence. His longest stretch of playing "by choice" was from 1987 to 93, a 7yr stretch before deciding to walk away due to fatigue.
When it comes to comparing 7 consecutive years to 22, there is no comparison.










