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2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm

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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#341 » by drsd » Tue Feb 11, 2025 7:38 am

All this winganging from everybody about Oroando needs better offense-A or offense-B. THe Magic's offesnse was fine (OK, not great), and was certainly enough to win the game. The Magic lost this game becasue there was no defenisve intensity. Notably from the bench.
Also: It is just not ok to give up 30 points to LaVert and Mann; the Magic bench lost 54-25.

pepe1991 wrote:49/78 shots from two players :crazy:


You realize that is a 62.8% shooting line. Right?

btw rest of a team shot 12/27 FG /5-13 for 3 so it's not like they sucked.


The rest of the team was at 44%. I agree: not horrible. But the alphas were on. No reasone for the hero ball to have slowed down.


So: boxscore thoughts.

Orlando lost the FG% battle and lost the game. (although the eFG% lines were essentially the same)

This was a loss at the margins. Minus-3 in rebounding and plus one in TO-differential led to the Hawks making one more FG and 4 more FTs. That was the 6 points.

If we are talking about boxscore thoughts, this one cannot be ignored. Banchero was good for 31 points, but led the team by a long, long way in having the worst plus/minus of minus-19. That's just weird. Especially as F-Wagner's 37 points came in a zero-neutral plus/minus line.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#342 » by GelbeWand09 » Tue Feb 11, 2025 7:47 am

thelead wrote:
SOUL wrote:Turning out to be a throwaway season. I mean, if you told me about the injuries this year and then the record and didn't say how they stayed afloat for so long, and then struggled after trying to reincorporate people, it wouldn't hurt as much.. but this team is just in a funk.

Suggs is the defense. And Mo is the offense off the bench (64.9% TS%). We needed an efficient scoring guard to round things out at the deadline and the FO decided to take a nap instead.


Its probably even a bit more Paolo coming back than Jalen being out. Paolo tanks the whole defense out there + KCP & Goga (since coming back) falling down a cliff defensively too.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#343 » by cedric76 » Tue Feb 11, 2025 7:53 am

I missed teh end of the game, why didnt goga get more PT?
Suggs, Tyus, Jase
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#344 » by pepe1991 » Tue Feb 11, 2025 9:01 am

GelbeWand09 wrote:
thelead wrote:
SOUL wrote:Turning out to be a throwaway season. I mean, if you told me about the injuries this year and then the record and didn't say how they stayed afloat for so long, and then struggled after trying to reincorporate people, it wouldn't hurt as much.. but this team is just in a funk.

Suggs is the defense. And Mo is the offense off the bench (64.9% TS%). We needed an efficient scoring guard to round things out at the deadline and the FO decided to take a nap instead.


Its probably even a bit more Paolo coming back than Jalen being out. Paolo tanks the whole defense out there + KCP & Goga (since coming back) falling down a cliff defensively too.


Paolo has been such a disaster on defense that it feels like watching Andrea Bargnani.

How Niang can beat you off the dribble? Twice?!

Last 2 min of a game and upon unforced switch on Young ,he just elects to not guard him at perimeter and allows Young wide open 3 that was pretty much game dagger.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#345 » by CarraT » Tue Feb 11, 2025 9:16 am

pepe1991 wrote:I highly doubt playing with Franz and Banchero is fun this year.
Last year there was more of comradery, and energy felt different, this game felt like watching Iverson and Melo and rest of a team on offense is treated like traffic light in GTA games.

49/78 shots from two players :crazy:

btw rest of a team shot 12/27 FG /5-13 for 3 so it's not like they sucked.

My starting expectations from a season weren't that high. I suspected that last year's way of winning won't hold, it's just too mentally and physically taxing to not take toll over long period of time, i think i voted for 44-ish wins.
With bit more injuries and even bigger abyss offense has fell into, we are kind a where most of us expected to be last year.
Mid team, 50% win rate team. Floor is to make playoffs or at least play in ( hard to not really, on current state of East) ceiling is to get lucky and pass first round of playoffs, but with similar outlook that Pacers have, despite passing last year. You still know this isn't contending team.


Whole internal growth junk that FO force fed and deluded some fans into was crazy talk from beginning. If max potential of a team is from scale of 2024-25 Wizards as 0% chart to 73-9 Warriors and some imaginary 100% pie chart, internal growth will take you from 63%- to 66% at max. It's not like players will return next year with brand new skill sets, most of them return the same, some return slightly better, but also portion of role players returns worst, so you stay within same margin most of the time.

We just witnessed Cavs with 42-10 record changing players to get better. OKC after 57 wins added Caruso and I -Hart.
Spurs after one year of Wemby didn't just sit on hands and yelled " like this team, trades are hard", they moved people.


Suggs also won't save this team, our biggest issue is how poor we are on a road ( despite current L being at home).
With him we played 16 road games, lost 10. Among 6 wins, not a single one was against teams with record over .500 ( 1 vs .500 team- Suns ).

What this team needs is both personnel changes but also structural changes within offense, including changes of play style of both Franz and Banchero.
Paolo right now has more iso per game than Durant, Kyrie, Lebron, Embiid and Dončić, Franz has more than Trae Young, AD; Donovan MItchell etc.
We are going nowhere playing 2006 offense, especially with iso mid range pull ups.


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Fire Weltman!
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#346 » by CarraT » Tue Feb 11, 2025 9:20 am

Over an 82-game regular season, it’s simply impossible to compensate for a bad offense solely with defensive hustle. That kind of effort is just too exhausting and unsustainable. It leads to fatigue and increases the risk of injuries. That's precisely why no team in the past decade has truly played elite, all-out defense throughout the regular season.

Teams save their defensive intensity for the playoffs, where possessions matter more, and the pace of games slows down. In the regular season, you need efficient offense to win consistently. It’s far easier and less taxing to focus on outscoring opponents than trying to lock them down night after night.

Look at the trends: the top regular-season teams have been offensive juggernauts — like the Warriors in their prime or more recently the Nuggets and Celtics. Even teams that built their identity around defense, like the 2020 Lakers or 2021 Bucks, still ranked high in offensive efficiency during the regular season.

Defense is a playoff tool, not a regular-season survival strategy. Until a team's offense is good enough to consistently keep pace, they'll always be fighting an uphill battle just to scrape into contention.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#347 » by Orl_Magic » Tue Feb 11, 2025 9:40 am

Balls was sticking too much, too many turnovers, too many times we left LeVert and co. opens for 3s
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#348 » by pepe1991 » Tue Feb 11, 2025 10:27 am

Knightro wrote:
ORLMagicGirl15 wrote:A vet point guard can help with that.


Not as much as you think.

The offense isn’t going to really change until the Magic choose to overhaul their style of play offensively.

They play the way they play - with Franz and Paolo creating everything offensively in a heavy isolation environment - because that’s what the front office wants.

Whether they’re right or wrong about whether either guy can actually become this caliber of player, organizationally speaking, they want these guys to develop into a Jayson Tatum style do everything offensively forward and are clearly willing to force feed them the reps and deal with some ugliness overall while they’re not actually in a “we’re trying to compete for a deep playoff run” season.

It’s why when he was asked about the trade deadline, Weltman never really mentioned a lack of playmaking, only a lack of shooting.

I believe, for better or worse, Weltman feels like playmaking isn’t a problem and that part is developing as it should.


That "plan" makes no sense. Players don't "develop playmaking" by riding 35% usage rate on mostly self-created shots, while running worst offense in nba and offense that would be considered bad- 10 years ago.

Play -making literally means- involving others into offense and final product should be easier points and better looks ( mostly better looks) for everybody.
Paolo and Franz and current "system" does the opposite.
It makes difficult for role players to fit, partially because of roster construction, but partially because they aren't involved into anything meaningful.

In past 10 games, Franz Wagner has 35% usage rate.
He takes 37% of all team's FGA.

Sticking to last 10 games, Paolo has 31% usage rate and takes 31% of all shots from a team.
Rest of a team lives off leftowers and cumulative 32% shots split between 8 -10 of them.


Kobe & Shaq usage during their best year was 31% & 27%. ( 1999-2000)
Kobe & Shaq highest usage was 32% & 30%.
67-15 wins, Warriors, with Durant, Curry, Green, Klay had 1 player on usage at 30% mark- Curry.


In past 10 games Franz "play making" equals 3,4 apg on 3,0 TO. Banchero's 5,4 APG - 3,3 TO. Without even trying to see actual data, most of "play making" is between them


Over last 10 games, Magic have 105,7 offensive rating, 113,6 def rating ( -7,6 net rating). Due mostly offense, by net rating, we are 5th worst team in that period.

It is very symptomatic how much team fell apart after losing Mortiz Wagner. Not because he is some hidden Chris Webber but because he is another high usage guy that scores at high efficiency AND is involved in offense ( unlike most other players). I guess it's beneficial to be brother of one of two ball hogs.

18-12 with Moe, 8-17 without him.



Mid comment i took a 30 min walk and though about this.
My best fresh-headed conclusion was to split "blame pie" into 60-30-10.
1) Weltman 60%
2) Paolo and Franz 30%
3) coaching, role players 10%


Paolo and Franz and their usage is co related with Weltman. We aren't in business of winning ( titles, contending) we are in business of manufacturing "stars" and we do it at expense of team success. Magic can say "we have two all stars" and have people clapping like idiots how amazing that is.
Stars become "stars" by either winning a lot or posting stats that look like stat-worthy stats for stars. Weltman has zero desire nor knowledge to actually build contending team, so we are in business of manufacturing stars by stacking deck in their favor, where they can padd empty numbers.
I can guarantee you nobody learned anything from current season, including Franz and Paolo, because they are stripped from any responsibility on their on -court actions. ( case and point, Banchero being most pathetic, low effort defender every night, and still getting more and more PT and more and more shots). They are getting praised as i write it by others on Magic board and off Magic boards & social media and role players get flack for things they have no control over.


We are now for weeks tearing Carter, KCP, Gary Harris, Black, Isaac, Goga apart for things they have zero control over. What's actual impact on final result (especially on offense) of one Wendell Carter? Guy takes 7 shots a game. People actually believe final result would change based on him going from 30% FG to 80% FG? gtfo.

Weltman created environment where Franz and Paolo behave like x2 Melo. They exclude whole roster from offense at excuse of "not good enough on offense", built roster made out of "play hard guys" type of guys who don't have much offensive skill to begin with, but even if they do, nobody would actually know it, since they touch ball like 12 times in 25 min, and in 7/12 times it's at expiring shot clock because offense created nothing and Paolo doesn't feel like taking another shot to hinder FG%.


Two mental switches happened over past year and half and now team does not have mechanism to turn it off.
1) Paolo had good playoffs and now he thinks he is way better than he is (and as justification, he takes more bad shots since)
2) Franz had stretch without Paolo, vs mostly bad teams, where he started to think he is better than he is ( and as justification he takes more shots since)

Until and if they can't chill the f*** out and go back to way lower usage and way lower roles, ones that suit their talent, not Lebron James- Michael Jordan level of talent, this team is going nowhere. And there is nobody else to blame for it but Weltman who created such. environment
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#349 » by KillMonger » Tue Feb 11, 2025 10:39 am

bad roster construction, paolo and franz usage too high because lack of competent players around them.....leads to inefficacy and complacency on the coaching exacerbating the issue by enabling paolo and franz to just collect all the shots.....the solution is to get better players in here, plural not just one or two and we need a SYSTEM....i've heard mose say something about having a read and react system well it's time to scrap that......maybe we need to put everyone on rails, like a ride at an amusement park....so that everyone knows what they are suppose to do, everyone knows where they're suppose to be....less breakdowns....less turnovers....that's how it should be imo
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#350 » by ORLMagicGirl15 » Tue Feb 11, 2025 10:42 am

Knightro wrote:
ORLMagicGirl15 wrote:A vet point guard can help with that.


Not as much as you think.

The offense isn’t going to really change until the Magic choose to overhaul their style of play offensively.

They play the way they play - with Franz and Paolo creating everything offensively in a heavy isolation environment - because that’s what the front office wants.

Whether they’re right or wrong about whether either guy can actually become this caliber of player, organizationally speaking, they want these guys to develop into a Jayson Tatum style do everything offensively forward and are clearly willing to force feed them the reps and deal with some ugliness overall while they’re not actually in a “we’re trying to compete for a deep playoff run” season.

It’s why when he was asked about the trade deadline, Weltman never really mentioned a lack of playmaking, only a lack of shooting.

I believe, for better or worse, Weltman feels like playmaking isn’t a problem and that part is developing as it should.

I meant getting other players involved. It was a response to the poster I quoted first paragraph. I just forgot to bold it.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#351 » by Skybox » Tue Feb 11, 2025 11:02 am

thelead wrote:
OnlyFranz22 wrote:Damn watching Austin Reaves, dude is so good.

They need a center. I’d give up Goga and 2 picks for Reaves.


They’d be better off with WCJ. 8-)
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#352 » by Fortune Teller » Tue Feb 11, 2025 12:36 pm

thelead wrote:
rcklsscognition wrote:Paolo post game: “29 attempts and 22 attempts and the next highest is 6 attempts, so you could say maybe we could get more guys involved…..and we gotta figure out ways that we can do that.”

Sounds like a system/coaching problem. The amount of ISO with no movement from the others is pretty crazy in contrast to what I’m watching the Lakers do right now.

He could also be calling out the lack of a PG, which he’s done before.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#353 » by drsd » Tue Feb 11, 2025 12:49 pm

CarraT wrote:Pepe for GM!



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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#354 » by VFX » Tue Feb 11, 2025 1:22 pm

pepe1991 wrote:
What this team needs is both personnel changes but also structural changes within offense, including changes of play style of both Franz and Banchero.

Paolo right now has more iso per game than Durant, Kyrie, Lebron, Embiid and Dončić, Franz has more than Trae Young, AD; Donovan MItchell etc.

We are going nowhere playing 2006 offense, especially with iso mid range pull ups.


This is what it boils down to.

And people are pissed NOT because they didn’t make a move “just to make one”. They are pissed because they haven’t made active decisions in 4 seasons.

This league moves fast. It doesn’t move at Weltman speed. People will quickly move on from claiming Orlando is “a great spot with up and coming future stars” if they see us losing a bunch of games to bad teams while running a 2000 era offense.

The problem isn’t that Paolo and Franz take the majority of shots. It’s that both of them being iso players limits the effectiveness of everyone else within a system. It’s the opposite of the Nuggets where some random scrub can check into a game and immediately impact winning on some level.

They basically need a system overhaul. They need to burn down the rest of the roster, sans the big 3 , and start implementing structural changes.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#355 » by eyriq » Tue Feb 11, 2025 1:28 pm

There is just a very low margin of error against the Hawks. On B-R our defensive rating is 107.7, against the Hawks it was 114.3. This was a defensive loss. Can't afford these when our offense is so inept.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#356 » by three3d » Tue Feb 11, 2025 1:43 pm

Goga was playing much better prior to Paolo’s return on January 10th. Naturally some regression in usage/touches is to be expected with Paolo in the lineup but Goga just about seems forgotten about on the offensive end.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#357 » by Knightro » Tue Feb 11, 2025 2:14 pm

eyriq wrote:There is just a very low margin of error against the Hawks. On B-R our defensive rating is 107.7, against the Hawks it was 114.3. This was a defensive loss. Can't afford these when our offense is so inept.


Offense wasn’t a problem in this game. Offense is the problem in most games.

The defense was really bad and they turned the ball over an incredible amount of times in the first three quarters.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#358 » by Knightro » Tue Feb 11, 2025 2:27 pm

VFX wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
What this team needs is both personnel changes but also structural changes within offense, including changes of play style of both Franz and Banchero.

Paolo right now has more iso per game than Durant, Kyrie, Lebron, Embiid and Dončić, Franz has more than Trae Young, AD; Donovan MItchell etc.

We are going nowhere playing 2006 offense, especially with iso mid range pull ups.


This is what it boils down to.

And people are pissed NOT because they didn’t make a move “just to make one”. They are pissed because they haven’t made active decisions in 4 seasons.

This league moves fast. It doesn’t move at Weltman speed. People will quickly move on from claiming Orlando is “a great spot with up and coming future stars” if they see us losing a bunch of games to bad teams while running a 2000 era offense.

The problem isn’t that Paolo and Franz take the majority of shots. It’s that both of them being iso players limits the effectiveness of everyone else within a system. It’s the opposite of the Nuggets where some random scrub can check into a game and immediately impact winning on some level.

They basically need a system overhaul. They need to burn down the rest of the roster, sans the big 3 , and start implementing structural changes.


I get what you’re saying, but I would be weary to cite Denver as an example of some sort of amazing system to try and emulate.

They have one of the greatest players in the history of basketball who processes the game like a super computer controlling every possession offensively.

Jokic is the system. But he’s also a 1 of 1.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#359 » by eyriq » Tue Feb 11, 2025 2:37 pm

Role players had 38 points and 12 turnovers.

36% of our points, 67% of our turnovers.
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Re: 2024-2025 Regular Season Game 55: Atlanta Hawks (25-28) at Orlando Magic (26-28) - 7pm 

Post#360 » by Bergmaniac » Tue Feb 11, 2025 2:49 pm

Losing to the Hawks at home on a night when Trae was awful is pretty crushing for sure, especially since it was mostly due to careless turnovers. Paolo and Franz were efficient individually, but took too many shots, nobody else could get in rhythm, and late in the game Franz took 2 awful midrange shots which aren't his game at all. Poor defence at times didn't help either, Paolo has looked poor on that end since he came back, KCP has slipped a lot defensively lately and I thought Black had an unchracteristically subpar game on that end too.

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