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Agbaji Extension?

Moderators: 7 Footer, Morris_Shatford, DG88, niQ, Duffman100, tsherkin, Reeko, lebron stopper, HiJiNX

What to do w/ Agbaji

Wait 1 more year to make sure it's not a fluke
24
21%
Offer <10M AAV
30
26%
Offer 10-15M AAV
54
46%
Offer 15-20M AAV
5
4%
Offer >20M AAV
4
3%
 
Total votes: 117

youngRAPZ
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#81 » by youngRAPZ » Tue Feb 11, 2025 4:08 pm

brownbobcat wrote:
Los_29 wrote:
brownbobcat wrote:I wouldn't agree, only OG was a very good value at the time of signing. FVV was fair market value while Norm took a while to earn his extension and would have only had RFA rights. I think they overpaid Siakam with the designated extension, and definitely overpaid Boucher and KO. IQ was probably 2-3M overpaid for a guy who'd never been a fulltime starter and wasn't All Star tier.


Fred was on like 20 million a year and made an all-star team. Great contract. Pascal made two all-star teams and two All-NBA teams. Not an overpay. Norm was on 10 million a year with us and was excellent. Another excellent deal. Ibaka was on a very reasonable deal as well.

Boucher makes 11 million a year. That’s not an overpay. KO, yeah 13m a year is too much. But he’s only locked in for two years and just got traded.

You can say everyone was overpaid last summer. Thats just the reality of where the league is. IQ has also had an injury plagued year. His deal was fine and will be fine long-term. The fact you’re nitpicking over a couple million tells me it’s more than reasonable.

So basically, Masai doesn’t have a history of overpaying players. In fact, it’s the opposite.

The operative phrase here is "at the time of signing."

FVV was not an All Star when he signed and he likely never will be again. FVV being an above average starter and being paid ~16-17% of the cap was fair market value. This was fairly close to what Lowry got on his first big contract. In comparison, IQ's cap average is somewhere around 19-20%. He had way less leverage being a RFA and also showed way less to the team as a starter - that's what makes him overpaid. You'll note I didn't bring up cases like DeMarre Carroll. That's because even though he underperformed, the reasonable expectation was that he'd be at least an average starter and there is absolutely zero leverage dealing with free agents signed with cap space.

The issue with Siakam was giving him that designated player exception when, again, he had very little leverage being 2 years away from free agency.

Norm - would've been RFA, overpaid at 9% as a mid-bench player
Ibaka - average starter, definitely overpaid at over 20%

You compare IQs contract to FVV and KL but forget the most important thing. IQs contract is flat and because of that it starts at a higher AAV but stays the same. So if IQ got a more normal back loaded contract he would probably be paid around the same as what FVV and Lowry got.


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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#82 » by brownbobcat » Tue Feb 11, 2025 4:27 pm

ConSarnit wrote:
brownbobcat wrote:
ConSarnit wrote:The bolded is a strawman that has no relevance here.

The irony of stating this and then attributing a bunch of things to me which I never wrote.

ConSarnit wrote:And according to your own valuations all the guys you brought up were paid accordingly so I literally have no idea what you are arguing.

I expressly said FVV and OG were fair or better-than-fair contracts, I called IQ an overpay. I'm not going to bother with further rebuttals if you can't even read properly.


So now your argument is the FO only gave out one bad contract (IQ)? I’ll concede to your OG point and retract my criticism on that.

I listed 5 contracts that were overpays at the time - IQ, Ibaka, Powell, Siakam and Birch. Add TRoss to that list and I excused Carroll and Lowry for contextual reasons.

Do I think they grossly overpaid? No, I never said that - they just rarely get bargains and frequently pay market or above.

Is 5-6 an extremely small number over 10 years? No, most players at any given time are not in a position to negotiate salary beyond a small range. It is extremely hard for any team to meaningfully overpay anyone on a rookie deal or near the vet min, it's these infrequent large signings that are where the important decisions are made.

ConSarnit wrote:I won’t retract my strawman comment. No one was absolving the FO from their various sins so it had no relevance. No one was saying they were perfect.

By the middle of IQ’s contract he stands to be around the 22nd highest paid PG in the league. You argue nuance yet you don’t acknowledge details like that. You also argue we had leverage on IQ yet 2 teams in need of a PG had major cap space last off season (ORL and DET) so no, we did not have a lot of leverage.

You don’t like that our FO doesn’t lean on our guys in RFA. This is not the same thing as whether those contracts are good or not. That’s what you are confusing.

It's the same thing if it leads to the same result. As I said above, these are the infrequent cases that matter. Salaries in the NBA don't work on a linear sliding scale, there can be huge differences between the 15th best guy vs. the 16th because it's a very illiquid market. IQ's midpoint is 19% of the cap and today's equivalent would be $27M. Here's the list of PGs making that much today:

Curry, Lillard, Young, FVV, Haliburton, Irving, Simmons, Morant, Garland, Jamal Murray, SGA, Maxey, Ball, Fox, IQ, Holiday, Dejounte Murray

Only 4/17 guys on that list got their contract before making an All Star team:
Jamal Murray (21/7/4, championship)
SGA (24/6/5)
Fox (21/7/4)
IQ (17/5/4)

IQ has the worst stats/accolades and fewest games started at the time of signing, by far. Detroit and Orlando already have their PGs, I doubt they were going to toss another $35M+/yr at IQ. And if they did, Toronto could have matched.
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#83 » by brownbobcat » Tue Feb 11, 2025 4:48 pm

youngRAPZ wrote:You compare IQs contract to FVV and KL but forget the most important thing. IQs contract is flat and because of that it starts at a higher AAV but stays the same. So if IQ got a more normal back loaded contract he would probably be paid around the same as what FVV and Lowry got.


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I'm not forgetting anything. All numbers based on midpoint plus both KL and FVV's contracts were also flat (or flat-ish in FVV's case).
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#84 » by Tripod » Tue Feb 11, 2025 4:49 pm

Holy...this is still going on?
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#85 » by ontnut » Tue Feb 11, 2025 4:56 pm

Somewhere between $10 and $20m obviously.
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#86 » by Duffman100 » Tue Feb 11, 2025 5:13 pm

Tripod wrote:Holy...this is still going on?


All those bad contracts... you know.... Birch...and....McDaniels...
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#87 » by Tripod » Tue Feb 11, 2025 5:16 pm

Duffman100 wrote:
Tripod wrote:Holy...this is still going on?


All those bad contracts... you know.... Birch...and....McDaniels...

Imagine if people talked about the championship as much as these "mistakes"...lol
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#88 » by Los_29 » Tue Feb 11, 2025 5:45 pm

Duffman100 wrote:
Tripod wrote:Holy...this is still going on?


All those bad contracts... you know.... Birch...and....McDaniels...


The team will never recover from paying Birch 6m a year. Might have to relocate.

The funniest part of it all is signing McDaniels turned out to be great. We fleeced the Kings.

Masai has been excellent at signing players to value contracts.
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#89 » by youngRAPZ » Tue Feb 11, 2025 6:12 pm

Tripod wrote:
Duffman100 wrote:
Tripod wrote:Holy...this is still going on?


All those bad contracts... you know.... Birch...and....McDaniels...

Imagine if people talked about the championship as much as these "mistakes"...lol

lol we wouldn’t stop hearing “The championship was 6 years ago” but then in the same breath they complain about signings and trades from years ago


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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#90 » by Tripod » Tue Feb 11, 2025 8:19 pm

Los_29 wrote:
Duffman100 wrote:
Tripod wrote:Holy...this is still going on?


All those bad contracts... you know.... Birch...and....McDaniels...


The team will never recover from paying Birch 6m a year. Might have to relocate.

The funniest part of it all is signing McDaniels turned out to be great. We fleeced the Kings.

Masai has been excellent at signing players to value contracts.

Yeah but we couldn't keep Davion because they overpaid everyone else. Fixing the problems he creates.

:wink:
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Re: Agbaji Extension? 

Post#91 » by youngRAPZ » Tue Feb 11, 2025 9:32 pm

Tripod wrote:
Los_29 wrote:
Duffman100 wrote:
All those bad contracts... you know.... Birch...and....McDaniels...


The team will never recover from paying Birch 6m a year. Might have to relocate.

The funniest part of it all is signing McDaniels turned out to be great. We fleeced the Kings.

Masai has been excellent at signing players to value contracts.

Yeah but we couldn't keep Davion because they overpaid everyone else. Fixing the problems he creates.

:wink:

Doesn’t matter because even if we resigned him on a min. He would be deemed overpaid


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