B8RcDeMktfxC wrote:8516knicks wrote:One of the posts the past few days mentioned Phil Jackson had a theory that a true contender had to have at least a 40-20 record after 60 games. I decided to check with CHATGTP and it seems he's mostly correct.
ChatGPT said:
Upon reviewing the regular-season records of NBA champions since 1990, the following teams had records that suggest they were worse than 40-20 after 60 games:
1994-95 Houston Rockets: Finished the season at 47-35. To reach this final record, they would have had to be worse than 40-20 after 60 games.
2005-06 Miami Heat: Ended the regular season with a 52-30 record. While this indicates they were likely close to 40-20 at the 60-game mark, without specific data, it's possible they were slightly below that threshold.
2010-11 Dallas Mavericks: Concluded the season at 57-25. Given their strong finish, it's probable they were at or above 40-20 after 60 games.
2022-23 Denver Nuggets: Finished with a 53-29 record. This suggests they were likely around or slightly below 40-20 after 60 games.
Based on this information, the 1994-95 Houston Rockets are the most definitive example of an NBA champion since 1990 that had a record worse than 40-20 after 60 games.
Why does it not go and check on basketball reference or NBA.com? Still, I suppose it chatted to you
Edit. The rockets were 36-24. They went on a 5 game losing streak in games 55-59. Before that they were 35-19
The heat were 40-10, lost 10 of the last 22
The mavs were 44-16, lost 9 of the last 22, did not have a "strong finish". And it would be the wrong conclusion to draw that a "strong finish" would increase the likelihood of their first 60 game record being better.
Nuggets were 42-18, lost 11 of the last 22
What the **** is the point of that app?
Yeah this was actually terrible analysis
I asked it myself
Phil Jackson’s “40-20 rule” suggests that a team should achieve 40 wins before incurring 20 losses in an 82-game NBA season to be considered a championship contender. While this benchmark often correlates with championship success, there have been exceptions. Notably, in the past 44 years, three NBA champions did not meet this criterion:
• 1994-95 Houston Rockets: The Rockets finished the regular season with a 47-35 record, indicating they reached 20 losses before securing 40 wins.
• 2003-04 Detroit Pistons: The Pistons ended their season at 54-28, suggesting they also surpassed 20 losses prior to achieving 40 wins.
• 2005-06 Miami Heat: With a final record of 52-30, the Heat experienced 20 losses before attaining 40 victories.
These instances demonstrate that while the 40-20 rule serves as a general indicator of potential championship success, it is not an absolute predictor. Teams have occasionally overcome mid-season adversities to secure the NBA title.