Post#25 » by dougthonus » Fri Feb 14, 2025 12:16 pm
Of the teams in our realm:
San Antonio - It's crazy to think they're only one game ahead of us in the win column, but outside of a wemby injury, it's hard to imagine they slip past us, they aren't incentivized IMO.
Portland - They're a game ahead of us, but they want their young guys to develop, so I think they'll still be trying to put wins on the board. If not, they've really hosed up recently gaining so many wins
Philly - 55% chance right now (slotted 6th) that they give their pick to another team. While I think it's a dim hope, I could totally see them fighting for the play-in, trying to win two games and giving up pick #14. They're 2 back in the win column on us. On the one hand, I think they'd be fine to swap places from us and will probably even aim for it, but on the other hand, they're so bad that they may not be able to anyway.
Brooklyn - They're clearly trying to tank but have somehow won 3 in a row. This wasn't even a discussion a week ago, but suddenly they're only 2 back in the win column. That said, their roster is still awful. I would guess they find a way to not gain those two gains on us.
Chicago - It hasn't been many games since the deadline, but the downgrade from LaVine to Huerter looks like one that will totally sink the ship. Vuc has quietly fallen off to last year's level of performance over the last 2 months where he's now shooting 27% from 3 and below 50% from the field. We're probably at true tank level talent right now, and it also feels like the majority of the roster has given up too.
Toronto - Will be interesting if Ingram plays at all this season, quick google search says he's out for at least a month which puts them in mid March. They got to be thinking just to sit him the rest of the way. Pretty hard to imagine we catch them. They're 5 games in the win column ahead of us.
To me, looks like our range is 6-10 to me. We've got two against Philly (crazy enough our final game of the year is against Philly, would be wild if that has meaning), and one against Brooklyn.