Post#1576 » by tmorgan » Sun Mar 2, 2025 7:20 pm
Flagg is what, a 90-95th percentile athlete in college, along with a 95th+ percentile basketball IQ guy?
In the pros those numbers are gonna be more like 75th and 75th initially. More than enough to be good player right out of the gate, but the adjustment period will be a bit harsh to begin with, because he doesn’t have any super easy way to score, and one assumes his teammates are going to kinda suck unless one of these extra pick holding teams gets really lucky.
That’s why I think he’ll struggle a bit as a rookie and a bunch of people are going to flip out and be quick to judge. But once he gets some experience and additional muscle (which seems inevitable on that frame, at his age), he’ll be back to an 80th+ percentile athlete with 95th+ percentile hoops IQ, along with his remarkable ability to keep adding skills.
Gonna stick with All-Star by year three and All-NBA by year five. And that seems reasonably conservative and based on starting on a struggling team with less-than-ideal teammates for a point forward.