DingleJerry wrote:Ron Swanson wrote:I don't know how anyone can say Marjon was a "swing for the fences" type pick. Dude was a 22-year old rookie and fit a very specific 3&D role-player archetype. His draft profile never screamed "high upside" in the slightest. I've maintained that Horst's biggest issue with drafting is that he tends to fall in love with specific archetypes while focusing too much on immediate need. AJ Johnson was probably the first pick he ever made that bucked that trend.
Yea I would've agreed with that. But to them it was, get this guy late in the draft because he didn't play the last couple years and hope he's actually like a top 5 pick because he was ranked high in HS. So the hope that he was an under the radar star in the future. Vs just taking a guy you think can play a role very soon, even if he has no star potential. But yea people like us, went uh he's 22 already and has barely played any basketball lately
The reality is, guys who played for like 5 different high schools or high school equivalent teams cuz some of those were fake schools, then don't even play meaningful organized basketball beyond that just are NEVER going to have the basketball IQ or floor game to be a solid NBA player. Players who bounce around that much as young dudes these days just aren't going to be smart enough to be good and will fold at the first sign of adversity in their careers. There might be an exception here and there, but generally those dudes are so obscenely jump off the film talented that they'd get drafted if they had never played a single organized basketball game in their life. MarJon was NEVER anything remotely close to that as a talent. Horst just can't scout at all and straight up doesn't know what to look for with players who aren't already in the NBA. His picks are always guys with perceived upside from draft sites (but the film doesn't typically support that view point) or he just takes dudes who play good in a NCAA tournament game

Just think it's blatantly obvious that scouting is the aspect of being a GM that Horst has literally no ability whatsoever in, he makes trades, knows the cap, negotiates with agents and players, etc. But in terms of evaluating non NBA players and how they potentially translate just think he offers literally nothing. Think you could use either pure random chance among the 10 BPA or just straight BPA on ESPN mock drafts and hit on more substantially picks than Horst has.