REJECTEDBYCLARK wrote:RoteSchroder wrote:REJECTEDBYCLARK wrote:
3PT% is less predictive of shooting success than FT% and 3PAr and given his samples he is on the low end which will revert upwards. I stopped reading after that. Keep hating.
Nearly every player in the league who shoots 3's has increased 3PAr from their rookie season. What are you on about. How's the three point shooting outlook looking for Scottie, RJ, Derozan, Draymond Green?
The dude took 1.1 to 1.5 FT's per game, at that volume, the variability is fairly high. Even at higher volumes, variability can sometimes be high, like with RJ (low 60's to low 80's). Ochai's FT% also varies within that range. Lack of FT's is probably more concerning in itself. Not to mention, many role players are also able to improve their FT% and hit over 75%.
You're grasping at straws.
This is a useless statement, has nothing to do with Podz's .085 jump and is actually flat out not true in the way you think it is. Your argument seems to be that Podz's offense sucks and I'm posting concrete evidence it is trending upwards with stats other than his 3PT% which you criticized, as if that's an indicator of where he's trending as a player. The first two players I looked up that came to mind had lower 3PAr their second year and those that do usually don't take that much of a jump. I'm not gonna argue with you bc I have nothing to gain or learn. You're just nitpicking things to try to win an argument so good for you - you win!
oooohhhhh, so now improving 3PAr only counts as an indicator if it's your 2nd year now. Yet, you can find plenty of examples where a higher 3PAr in their 2nd year didn't lead to great shooting: Stanley Johnson, Adam Morrison, Markell Fultz, Draymond Green, Scottie, RJ, Derozan. Where's the relationship?
you seem to be nitpicking arbritary stats that show incremental improvements, especially for a 2nd year player where many experience large improvements, yet you mention none of the stats he dropped in (rebounds, 3p%, efficiency, minutes). I mean..if 3PAr is his biggest statistical jump and the best indicator you got...that's just really sad. His 1 PPG increase looks more promising, although that's accompanied by a plummet in efficiency.
If a player needs this many conditional situations to look good (e.g. showing Butler's 49 min of play without Podz, which is the total sample size of one game and adds zero context to Butlers teammates/opponents), then maybe he's just not an "extremely high impact" player and future borderline star. Many role players play well.
He'd be hardpressed to surpass the impact of players like Poeltl, OG, iHart..and I don't consider any of those guys stars. The priority in this draft should be to identify players with actual upside over role players.
