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Bad BBQ (without Poeltl)

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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#61 » by LoveMyRaps » Wed Mar 12, 2025 5:41 pm

Scase wrote:
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HumbleRen wrote:
Yeah, I’m not sure why people are dismissing this due to a low sample size.

It’s a poor offensive and defensive trio. What are people expecting?


I love RJ but he should be leading the second unit next season. I think he’d be a terrific 6th man. He can still play 25-30minutes off the bench.

Heck he can even close games if he’s having one of those strong shooting nights.

Been saying this for a hot minute now.



I think that's what the coaching staff and FO envisions as well. That's why they've been playing RJ w/ 4 bench guys a lot in recent weeks.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#62 » by Tofubeque » Wed Mar 12, 2025 6:06 pm

LoveMyRaps wrote:
Scase wrote:
LoveMyRaps wrote:[youtube][/youtube]

I love RJ but he should be leading the second unit next season. I think he’d be a terrific 6th man. He can still play 25-30minutes off the bench.

Heck he can even close games if he’s having one of those strong shooting nights.

Been saying this for a hot minute now.



I think that's what the coaching staff and FO envisions as well. That's why they've been playing RJ w/ 4 bench guys a lot in recent weeks.


A player who has started 379 of 380 games in his career, mostly for better teams than this one, is not going to be brought off the bench next year. He can lead 2nd units after starting the game.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#63 » by sidsid » Wed Mar 12, 2025 7:24 pm

PushDaRock wrote:
sidsid wrote:
PushDaRock wrote:
Lillard was 33 at the time and averaging 33.2 ppg on 64.5 TS%, his play was still at an elite level.

George is turning 35 in 2 months and averaging 16.2 ppg on 54.3 TS%, his play has fallen off a cliff.

The situations are nowhere near comparable, Lillard was still an asset and the Blazers got value for him. George is the worst contract in Basketball.


The Sixers season has been a tire fire since it started and pretty much everyone has been checked out. It'll be interesting to see next year.

At the time, Dame's deal was thought to be, and likely still is, awful on the backend. That had significant risk. He still had a few year's before you got there and the assumed inevitable falloff would then make it an albatross. The assumption here is that Giannis is likely leaving/being traded after that window (which could be this offseason).

Dame is not getting a Jrue level player plus all the picks this offseason if he's being moved. The same way the Sixers aren't getting SGA and the Clippers entire future for Paul George now. Because they are 34 and declining.

Teams who want to take risks on declining star players won't have to pay a heavy price for them, and can likely even get compensated for it. Which works out for the more asset poor teams who never the less want to upgrade somewhere. These are the types of teams debating Zion and Ingram in terms of injury risk/contract, and then trade for them and assume the risk.


Of course Dame isn't getting that kind of return anymore, his play has declined and he's 2 years older. But I'm really not sure what your point is, Masai obviously would not have interest in Dame now either just as he would have no interest in Paul George. He had interest in Dame 2 years ago because he was still playing at an elite level and also 2 years younger than he is now, those 2 things obviously matter a lot.

You're trying to create some scenario in your head where Masai would trade for Paul George when nothing he's ever done has shown that type of willingness before. They're trying to win games next year and have a youngish core that they are trying to do with, how does adding George who will be 35 turning 36 and who's play has fallen off significantly help accomplish this goal?


He traded for an old, declining Marc Gasol, who's post game was already gone when we got him.

I know the idea here is that we're not contenders in our eyes and that would impact Masai's thinking too. But Embiid is as big of a declining risk too (not just because of age, but because of that knee) and Masai would absolutely be in the mix for him now. He'll absolutely still kick the tires on Durant this summer.

I don't think we can make the assumption that Masai has some patient, long timetable that he adheres to. We just pivoted from "years of rebuilding" to BI trade in the span of days at the deadline. And the advantage of really old guys is that they don't cost as much in assets. The selling point I think is the real weight on the scales for decision making.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#64 » by Drakeem » Wed Mar 12, 2025 7:30 pm

sidsid wrote:
PushDaRock wrote:
sidsid wrote:
The Sixers season has been a tire fire since it started and pretty much everyone has been checked out. It'll be interesting to see next year.

At the time, Dame's deal was thought to be, and likely still is, awful on the backend. That had significant risk. He still had a few year's before you got there and the assumed inevitable falloff would then make it an albatross. The assumption here is that Giannis is likely leaving/being traded after that window (which could be this offseason).

Dame is not getting a Jrue level player plus all the picks this offseason if he's being moved. The same way the Sixers aren't getting SGA and the Clippers entire future for Paul George now. Because they are 34 and declining.

Teams who want to take risks on declining star players won't have to pay a heavy price for them, and can likely even get compensated for it. Which works out for the more asset poor teams who never the less want to upgrade somewhere. These are the types of teams debating Zion and Ingram in terms of injury risk/contract, and then trade for them and assume the risk.


Of course Dame isn't getting that kind of return anymore, his play has declined and he's 2 years older. But I'm really not sure what your point is, Masai obviously would not have interest in Dame now either just as he would have no interest in Paul George. He had interest in Dame 2 years ago because he was still playing at an elite level and also 2 years younger than he is now, those 2 things obviously matter a lot.

You're trying to create some scenario in your head where Masai would trade for Paul George when nothing he's ever done has shown that type of willingness before. They're trying to win games next year and have a youngish core that they are trying to do with, how does adding George who will be 35 turning 36 and who's play has fallen off significantly help accomplish this goal?


He traded for an old, declining Marc Gasol, who's post game was already gone when we got him.

I know the idea here is that we're not contenders in our eyes and that would impact Masai's thinking too. But Embiid is as big of a declining risk too (not just because of age, but because of that knee) and Masai would absolutely be in the mix for him now. He'll absolutely still kick the tires on Durant this summer.

I don't think we can make the assumption that Masai has some patient, long timetable that he adheres to. We just pivoted from "years of rebuilding" to BI trade in the span of days at the deadline. And the advantage of really old guys is that they don't cost as much in assets. The selling point I think is the real weight on the scales for decision making.
Hasn't Masai always said that he never wanted to do a multi year rebuild?
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#65 » by YogurtProducer » Wed Mar 12, 2025 7:32 pm

Tofubeque wrote:
LoveMyRaps wrote:
Scase wrote:Been saying this for a hot minute now.



I think that's what the coaching staff and FO envisions as well. That's why they've been playing RJ w/ 4 bench guys a lot in recent weeks.


A player who has started 379 of 380 games in his career, mostly for better teams than this one, is not going to be brought off the bench next year. He can lead 2nd units after starting the game.

Just because you started lots of games doesnt mean you will do that for the rest of your career
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#66 » by vini_vidi_vici » Wed Mar 12, 2025 8:06 pm

Actually its not without Poeltl.

BBQ is 256 mins together (until Mar 10th, the date of the tweet).

140 of those mins were with Poeltl, 100.7 ORTG/111.8 DRTG/-11.2 NET.

54.7% of those mins are with Poeltl and they are awful too.

Edit: BBQ with ORob was 103.7/117.3/-13.8 in 54 mins. 21% of the mins. With 0 mins of ORob and Jak together.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#67 » by PushDaRock » Wed Mar 12, 2025 8:07 pm

sidsid wrote:
PushDaRock wrote:
sidsid wrote:
The Sixers season has been a tire fire since it started and pretty much everyone has been checked out. It'll be interesting to see next year.

At the time, Dame's deal was thought to be, and likely still is, awful on the backend. That had significant risk. He still had a few year's before you got there and the assumed inevitable falloff would then make it an albatross. The assumption here is that Giannis is likely leaving/being traded after that window (which could be this offseason).

Dame is not getting a Jrue level player plus all the picks this offseason if he's being moved. The same way the Sixers aren't getting SGA and the Clippers entire future for Paul George now. Because they are 34 and declining.

Teams who want to take risks on declining star players won't have to pay a heavy price for them, and can likely even get compensated for it. Which works out for the more asset poor teams who never the less want to upgrade somewhere. These are the types of teams debating Zion and Ingram in terms of injury risk/contract, and then trade for them and assume the risk.


Of course Dame isn't getting that kind of return anymore, his play has declined and he's 2 years older. But I'm really not sure what your point is, Masai obviously would not have interest in Dame now either just as he would have no interest in Paul George. He had interest in Dame 2 years ago because he was still playing at an elite level and also 2 years younger than he is now, those 2 things obviously matter a lot.

You're trying to create some scenario in your head where Masai would trade for Paul George when nothing he's ever done has shown that type of willingness before. They're trying to win games next year and have a youngish core that they are trying to do with, how does adding George who will be 35 turning 36 and who's play has fallen off significantly help accomplish this goal?


He traded for an old, declining Marc Gasol, who's post game was already gone when we got him.

I know the idea here is that we're not contenders in our eyes and that would impact Masai's thinking too. But Embiid is as big of a declining risk too (not just because of age, but because of that knee) and Masai would absolutely be in the mix for him now. He'll absolutely still kick the tires on Durant this summer.

I don't think we can make the assumption that Masai has some patient, long timetable that he adheres to. We just pivoted from "years of rebuilding" to BI trade in the span of days at the deadline. And the advantage of really old guys is that they don't cost as much in assets. The selling point I think is the real weight on the scales for decision making.


lol Gasol was the last piece of the puzzle to win a championship but sure let's compare Gasol who had just a player option at 25.6m to George with 3 years left on his deal at 54m AAV

If you want to say we would look at Embiid or Durant, sure I can file that under unlikely especially in Embiid's case but not out of the realm of possibility but George is in a totally different category from those guys.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#68 » by vini_vidi_vici » Wed Mar 12, 2025 8:29 pm

KO/BBQ with no crossover of Jak, in 3 mins were 116.7/150/-33.3

Its also worth pointing out, BBQ with Jak is -29 over 9 games, since were talking small samples.

Consider this, BBQ was 114.1/111.2/+2.9 over 439 mins last yr. With Jak, 119.4/108.6/+10.8 over 234 mins. 53.3% of the mins together.

Like ive said in numerous other threads, extracting much out of lineup data with these small samples means little. It could be noise, it could be because of injuries, little rhythm, it could be regression, its tough to delineate.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#69 » by LoveMyRaps » Wed Mar 12, 2025 8:45 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:
Tofubeque wrote:
LoveMyRaps wrote:
I think that's what the coaching staff and FO envisions as well. That's why they've been playing RJ w/ 4 bench guys a lot in recent weeks.


A player who has started 379 of 380 games in his career, mostly for better teams than this one, is not going to be brought off the bench next year. He can lead 2nd units after starting the game.

Just because you started lots of games doesnt mean you will do that for the rest of your career


Exactly context and team structure matters.

And also all because you come off the bench doesn't mean you can't play 30 minutes.

RJ is the perfect 6th man - and in case one of IQ/Barnes/Ingram go down to an injury, RJ can seamlessly fill the void.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#70 » by Scase » Wed Mar 12, 2025 10:43 pm

Tofubeque wrote:
LoveMyRaps wrote:
Scase wrote:Been saying this for a hot minute now.



I think that's what the coaching staff and FO envisions as well. That's why they've been playing RJ w/ 4 bench guys a lot in recent weeks.


A player who has started 379 of 380 games in his career, mostly for better teams than this one, is not going to be brought off the bench next year. He can lead 2nd units after starting the game.

Just cause you start, doesn't mean you should be a starter.
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#71 » by YogurtProducer » Wed Mar 12, 2025 11:49 pm

vini_vidi_vici wrote:KO/BBQ with no crossover of Jak, in 3 mins were 116.7/150/-33.3

Its also worth pointing out, BBQ with Jak is -29 over 9 games, since were talking small samples.

Consider this, BBQ was 114.1/111.2/+2.9 over 439 mins last yr. With Jak, 119.4/108.6/+10.8 over 234 mins. 53.3% of the mins together.

Like ive said in numerous other threads, extracting much out of lineup data with these small samples means little. It could be noise, it could be because of injuries, little rhythm, it could be regression, its tough to delineate.

Little rhythm is the big one.

Those guys have played minimal minutes in very small intervals (like 3 games in a row) before another major change occurred. Next to impossible to get a read on that. Lots of those games were guys first games back from injuries to
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Re: Bad BBQ (without Poeltl) 

Post#72 » by DreamTeam09 » Wed Mar 12, 2025 11:55 pm

According to Sean Woodley

Barnes + Jak + any 3 = 110drtg over 17000 possessions

110drt would be 4th

BBQ needs a good screen setter to get downhill & that's okay. Ingram can add the iso aspect, but he also will benefit from Jak as well.

Part of the reason why I want Maluach, vertical spacing is a thing, and we haven't been able capitalise on that. Luka Doncic demands a lob threat, which is why he had a Gafford and Lively and the Lakers traded/not for Mark Williams and are currently playing Jackson Hayes. All of BBQ would benefit from a lob threat PnR parter
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