emunney wrote:soxperry wrote:German Athens wrote:I could see Rollins looking like a young Brogdon here for us as early as next season, and I think the road map longer term could be something like Derrick White.
He has a really solid set of skills - POA defense, off-ball defensive disruptor due to his absurd length and solid bounce, natural looking pull-up game, athleticism/length to finish at the rim.
Yes, Derrick White is the absolute ceiling for him but its extremely unlikely. The players in this league that are very good and contribute to winning are just so rare. even if he had all the physical tools of White which he does not at this time, there is the mental aspect of it. That seems kind of like a "you either have it or you don't" situation. Jrue has it too. Rollins just seems like a guy in that respect.
Not trying to pick on you but this is a pet peeve of mine. The ceiling of every player is dramatically higher than people tend to assume. Rollins is far advanced compared to White at the same age (White was still at Colorado). So if his absolute ceiling is White, what was White's absolute ceiling and why did he shatter it?
Just because there are players who occasionally far exceed what we thought was possible for them does not mean that most or even half of players have that potential. It's an outlier thing. For every Derrick White there are probably hundreds of guys who fall somewhere in the spectrum between total failure and slightly exceeding expectations.
So just because anything is possible with any given player, the odds are so incredibly low of breaking a consensus ceiling that it's almost useless to consider for practical purposes.
Rollins can be useful, i hope he is. We are not used to seeing young players actually develop on this team so it's going to hit like crack if he can simply do what he's already doing and also hit 38 to 40% from 3.