Cactus Jack wrote:Again, the initial contract numbers are always inflated by agents. The ONLY number that truly matters is the amount of guaranteed money. That's it. The other stuff is smoke & mirrors. You should know that by now.
Kupp will likely never see that 3rd year.
Yup. Unless you have a bad GM/Cap guy. That Kupp contract should end up being in that 2/23-25 range. And it's not just the guaranteed money you need to wait to hear.
Take the Jonathan Allen contract for example. It first reported as a 3/60 deal. That 60 immediately got cut down to 51 once you take out the "not likely to be earned" incentives (those incentives aren't even accounted for on the cap, unless they miraculously hit them and even then, they don't actually hit the cap until the next season).
Then that 3rd year for Allen technically is on the books as a 17.4 mil cap hit. But the dead cap is only 4.6 mil. So they can just cut him and save themselves 13 mil. And the 4.6 really is just around 1% of the cap, not much of a hit at all.
So the initial report of the Allen contract being 3/60. Actually ends up being a 2/33 contract.