prime1time wrote:Sarr is a unicorn. Once this is accepted real analysis of Sarr's game can start. The story of this season is Alex Sarr's remarkable journey from going 0-15 in summer league to looking like a dominant offensive force. In the history of basketball I can't think of another similar player arc.
Imo, Sarr still has a long way to go. What's happening right now is that he's destroying teams defensive schemes. Teams are coming in trying to guard him like a 5 who wants to shoot but sucks at it, and Sarr is just torching them. The reason teams are reluctant to change their scheme is because they are more worried about losing rim protection than they are defending Sarr 3's. I said it about Troy Brown Jr, I said it about Rui Hachimura, I said it about Deni Avidija and I'll say it about Sarr.
Sarr's ability to shoot the 3 will determine the future of his career. Percentages don't matter. The only thing that matters is are teams fearful of your three 3-point shooting enough to alter their defense. We saw this in Utah where they decided to switch everything and then Poole quickly took their center off the bounce for a layup. In Sarr's last 12 games he is shooting 38.1% from 3 on 6.3 3's a game. But this stat doesn't even do it justice because the Wizards have drastically reduced his minutes. In the last 2 games Sarr has attempted 9 3's in 32 minutes (vs. the Nuggets) 9 3s in 22 minutes (vs. the Blazers) and 8 3's in 23 minutes (vs. the Jazz).
For the season Steph Curry averages .35 3's attempted per minute. In Sarr's last 3 games he is shooting .33 3's per minute. And in his last two games he is shooting .37 3's per minute. To put it another way on a per minute basis, in the last 2 games Alex Sarr is attempting more 3's per minute than Steph Curry on average. What's even crazier is that Alex is having success.
There are many things to parse through here, but the first is this. Alex is taking what the defense gives him. They are leaving him open so he's letting it fly. The bigger goal, isn't to attempt a ton of 3's, but to force the defense to change how they are defending Alex. Thus creating more space for everyone else on the floor. You can argue small sample size, but by any stretch this is simply stunning for a player who went 0-15 in Summer League less than a year ago.
Which gets me to my next point. Alex Sarr is special. It's one thing to have potential. It's another thing to work hard. But even more than that, it's another thing to actually improve. Go look up clips of Sarr shooting 3's for the Perth Wildcats. Now lookup his last game and look at his form. Completely different and much improved. And the same goes for all of his skills. Across the board improvement.
It's like - and I'm willing to bet anything that this is how it went down - the Wizards before the draft told him we'll let you be a forward but you have to put in the work. And my word, has he put in the work. The story of Alex Sarr's rookie season isn't that he he doesn't want to be limited to center. It's that he's willing to out the work in to be a forward.