2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?)

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Who gets your vote for the 2024-25 NBA MVP award?

Nikola Jokic
139
50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
104
38%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
20
7%
Jayson Tatum
5
2%
Donovan Mitchell
0
No votes
Steph Curry
5
2%
LeBron James
3
1%
Cade Cunningham
0
No votes
Anthony Edwards
0
No votes
Other (Wemby, KAT, Brunson, AD, Durant, Trae, JJJ, Sengun, Sabonis, etc. - poll is limited to 10 options)
1
0%
 
Total votes: 277

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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#541 » by Cubbies2120 » Tue Mar 25, 2025 12:44 pm

GeorgeMarcus wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
One Last Shot wrote:
What? Is this a big time deflection to you? :lol:

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Funnily enough, SGA gets yet another benefit from the refs, this time on the other end, during a 7/29 legendarily horrific shooting performance...

https://www.si.com/nba/clippers/news/nba-admits-massive-missed-call-in-clippers-vs-okc-thunder-01jq4zpfejwe


Last year Jokic went 9/32 against the Clips but, unlike SGA's 11/11, Jokic was only 2/2 from the line. Less efficient than a game you just called legendarily horrific shooting, which must make it even more horrifically legendary


Was this the game he had 15 rebounds and 10 assists to go with it?
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#542 » by RB34 » Tue Mar 25, 2025 12:47 pm

[list=][/list]
Cubbies2120 wrote:
GeorgeMarcus wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Funnily enough, SGA gets yet another benefit from the refs, this time on the other end, during a 7/29 legendarily horrific shooting performance...

https://www.si.com/nba/clippers/news/nba-admits-massive-missed-call-in-clippers-vs-okc-thunder-01jq4zpfejwe


Last year Jokic went 9/32 against the Clips but, unlike SGA's 11/11, Jokic was only 2/2 from the line. Less efficient than a game you just called legendarily horrific shooting, which must make it even more horrifically legendary


Was this the game he had 15 rebounds and 10 assists to go with it?


The only thing that matters is scoring 30 with 10 FTs.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#543 » by GeorgeMarcus » Tue Mar 25, 2025 12:48 pm

Cubbies2120 wrote:
GeorgeMarcus wrote:
Cubbies2120 wrote:
Funnily enough, SGA gets yet another benefit from the refs, this time on the other end, during a 7/29 legendarily horrific shooting performance...

https://www.si.com/nba/clippers/news/nba-admits-massive-missed-call-in-clippers-vs-okc-thunder-01jq4zpfejwe


Last year Jokic went 9/32 against the Clips but, unlike SGA's 11/11, Jokic was only 2/2 from the line. Less efficient than a game you just called legendarily horrific shooting, which must make it even more horrifically legendary


Was this the game he had 15 rebounds and 10 assists to go with it?


SGA had an assist to turnover ration of 8:1 while Jokic 2.5:1. Shai had 2 more blocks and 1 more steal as well. But I guess the big man had more rebounds than the PG, yes...

(Not to mention defensively Shai is clearly better)
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#544 » by Special_Puppy » Tue Mar 25, 2025 1:53 pm

RRR3 wrote:Stop trying to convince people Jokic is a good defender it’s embarrassing. We all have seen him play.


IIRC You straight up don't believe career RAPM or any advanced defensive throughout his career? You basing your assessment of his defense just on the eye test and maybe some rim protection data? https://xrapm.com/table_pages/RAPM_29y.html
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#545 » by RRR3 » Tue Mar 25, 2025 1:59 pm

EPM generally has Jokic as a slightly above average defender. Wouldn’t say it ranks him as good. I use a combination but I don’t trust defensive stats.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#546 » by bbms » Tue Mar 25, 2025 2:57 pm

i think to call jokic a bad defender is exaggerated.

he's an average defender, with upside because he leverages functional strenght and cognition in good defensive playmaking down the wire
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#547 » by falcolombardi » Tue Mar 25, 2025 3:21 pm

RRR3 wrote:EPM generally has Jokic as a slightly above average defender. Wouldn’t say it ranks him as good. I use a combination but I don’t trust defensive stats.


I think slightly above average in regular season is fair for jokic

Albeit i would argue slightly above average is mediocre for a center (centers -usually-average to be positive defenders in stats that evaluate across all positions, just like guards usually average to be below average in defensive value) so jokic being a small plus is pretty average

(Granted being even average per position while carryng such a offensive load is pretty decent)

I just think jokic defense is more vulnerable in playoffs, against better teams in a series context that it is in regular season and even his historical offense seems to lost a bit of value against good playoff level teams (while still being probably the #1 offensive player ib the current league landscape)

I dont think is a coincidence jokic volume and efficiency both take big hits against top 10 teams this year (and yes, part of why they can force him to take a hit is the lack of other on ball creators outside murray who is not a great decision maker, but i think not being a main ballhandler makes it somewhat easier to force him to defer and take him out of the play) who can both sell out to defend his scoring without allowing him easy assists either

Is why i think for regular season jokic is in the short list of goat peaks (as data shows) but for playoffs, like most other players, he takes a small hit to "merely" mvp tier if that makes sense
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#548 » by Castle Black » Tue Mar 25, 2025 4:26 pm

New Shai mixtape just dropped and it's fire.

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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#549 » by slick_watts » Tue Mar 25, 2025 5:18 pm

random thought: if shai does win, the thunder will have three different mvp winners in an 11 season span. so far as i can tell, no team has ever done that. the closest is boston with cowens, russell and cousy in 16 seasons.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#550 » by Special_Puppy » Tue Mar 25, 2025 6:09 pm

Do you guys have any thoughts on whether SGA will have an even better year next year?
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#551 » by Special_Puppy » Tue Mar 25, 2025 6:20 pm

SGA has the MVP locked up (rightfully so he's been amazing!), but since this has been a topic of conversation:

Nuggets Net Rating with Jokic this season: +5.1
Nuggets Net Rating without Jokic this season: -4.3

Nuggets Net Rating with Jokic since 2021: +4.8
Nuggets Net Rating without Jokic since 2021: -4.3

Nuggets Net Rating with Jokic since 2016: +2.8
Nuggets Net Rating without Jokic since 2016: -2.6

Doesn't adjust for opponent quality, doesn't adjust for what other teammates are out of the lineup, and is a noisy measure in general

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/nuggets-net-rating-with-and-without-jokic-this-season

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/nuggets-net-rating-with-and-without-jokic-since-2021

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/nuggets-net-rating-with-and-without-jokic-since-2016
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#552 » by SpurNani » Tue Mar 25, 2025 8:28 pm

Special_Puppy wrote:Do you guys have any thoughts on whether SGA will have an even better year next year?


His counting stats probably won’t look as pretty if Chet is able to stay healthy next year. He will take some of the offensive load off Shai. But Shai is a guy who is going to average an efficient 30 regardless every year and OKC is set up to be a winning machine for the foreseeable future. He definitely will get at least two MVPs.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#553 » by Special_Puppy » Tue Mar 25, 2025 9:12 pm

SpurNani wrote:
Special_Puppy wrote:Do you guys have any thoughts on whether SGA will have an even better year next year?


His counting stats probably won’t look as pretty if Chet is able to stay healthy next year. He will take some of the offensive load off Shai. But Shai is a guy who is going to average an efficient 30 regardless every year and OKC is set up to be a winning machine for the foreseeable future. He definitely will get at least two MVPs.



2 more MVPs or an additional MVP?
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#554 » by guynumber45 » Tue Mar 25, 2025 10:30 pm

Special_Puppy wrote:Do you guys have any thoughts on whether SGA will have an even better year next year?


The only part of his game I feel like he can still level up on is the pull-up 3-point shooting. He took a step forward in that department this year and I think he has the capability to become an elite shooter from deep.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#555 » by web123888 » Wed Mar 26, 2025 12:27 am

Much like 2023, Jokic blew it by not playing towards the end of the year.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#556 » by Special_Puppy » Wed Mar 26, 2025 2:00 am

web123888 wrote:Much like 2023, Jokic blew it by not playing towards the end of the year.


He lost this race in late December/early January
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#557 » by canada_dry » Wed Mar 26, 2025 9:48 am

Warriors look like a 17 win team without steph. :)

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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#558 » by Godymas » Wed Mar 26, 2025 1:29 pm

I'm glad we can take that Jokic discourse out.

As of today, the Thunder has 60 wins while Denver has 45 wins.

No matter what, you cannot justify a 15 win gap in the MVP race, the Nuggets are just not good enough, and they've weirdly won games where Jokic was injured too that they HAD to win to hold standings.

It is 100% justified when a team is well above 60 wins, OKC could win 65, could even touch 70 potentially, this is the most deserving MVP this year. SGA had the best guard season since 2015-2016 Steph Curry. Leads the league in WS, WS/48 which are historically the biggest indicators of an MVP season. All the advanced stats are stupid, all the on-off numbers are stupid, it is locked for SGA at this point.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#559 » by Special_Puppy » Wed Mar 26, 2025 1:31 pm

Godymas wrote:I'm glad we can take that Jokic discourse out.

As of today, the Thunder has 60 wins while Denver has 45 wins.

No matter what, you cannot justify a 15 win gap in the MVP race, the Nuggets are just not good enough, and they've weirdly won games where Jokic was injured too that they HAD to win to hold standings.

It is 100% justified when a team is well above 60 wins, OKC could win 65, could even touch 70 potentially, this is the most deserving MVP this year. SGA had the best guard season since 2015-2016 Steph Curry. Leads the league in WS, WS/48 which are historically the biggest indicators of an MVP season. All the advanced stats are stupid, all the on-off numbers are stupid, it is locked for SGA at this point.


Team Record is the weakest argument for SGA. The better argument is SGA's monstrous traditional and advanced stats
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#560 » by EmpireFalls » Wed Mar 26, 2025 1:34 pm

canada_dry wrote:Warriors look like a 17 win team without steph. :)

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7-4 this season without him.

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