TimberKat wrote:winforlose wrote:TimberKat wrote:So having JMcD and NAW is enough talent to make Ant feel better? NAW or Naz is gone after this year anyway. Is JMcD going to be an All Star? Why can't we sign another FA using KD's salary slot in two years? Does at least one of Clark, TSJ, or Dilly turn into a rotation player? What about use Gobert's salary slot for a player in two years? I just don't see using Randle + ( Naz or JMcD) for KD is any future issue. There are many who doesn't like KD.
Great question, let’s break it down.
1. Jaden and Naz are both pre prime. If you believe you have seen the peak of their game then we will have to agree to disagree. I think both players have made steady improvements each year and will continue to do so for the next 5-7 years. Coincidentally Ant is pre prime and will hopefully continue to expand his game as well. So the question is in year 3 or 27/28 would you rather have prime Naz, Jaden, and NAW, or have a 40 year old KD? Also Coincidentally, most Superstars win their first NBA championship when they enter their primes, ( Tatum won his first at 26, Jokic at 28, Curry at 26, Giannis 26, to name a few.)
2. As has been discussed this season and earlier, major roster changes take time to gel. KD is expiring. If he is unhappy here and leaves, can we say we benefited from the one year he was here? Is it your honest take that Ant, KD, and Rudy win a championship in year 1? If no, then we must look to year 2. We don’t know what KD will cost, we don’t know if we will have the money to bring in new talent, we don’t know if any of the young guys will turn out as good as we hope (they didn’t play enough this year to evaluate or develop them.) The list of things we don’t know is quite long. What we do know is that we will have Mike retired and only Dilly to play PG. We know Rudy is the only legit +center on the team at 34 and with a history of back issues. Tell me this doesn’t sound dangerous?
I could go on but what is the point.
I respect your points. You maybe double dipping on who we could keep. My assumption is between Randle, Naz, and NAW, one of them will be gone due to salary. Conley is old. So, who are the core if we don't make the KD trade?
I do believe we can win a chip in year one. KD is basically the better version of Towns in last year's team. We beat Dallas if you sub KD for Towns. I like the spacing and options we get with him and Ant.
I do prefer to keep JMcD. But won't mind throw him it. Suns may just be happy with a line up of center, Randle, JMcD, Beal, and Booker.
The math works any number of ways. The set I used was Randle out, keep the other 2 plus add a tax payer MLE player and 2 draft picks. Naz and Jaden are the young core.
Your argument about winning a chip next year depends on too many variables working out.
1. Mike Conley at 38 is at least as good as good Mike from 24/25 and does not get hurt.
2. Dilly is ready to meaningfully contribute next season.
3. TSJ is ready to be a top 8 guy in the rotation.
4. Clark is a top 8 player and able to consistently give you what NAW gave you.
5. That KD can out score, out rebound, and out assist, Jaden, NAW, and Randle. I say this because you could have traded Randle for a cheaper but effective big and then gone into the 2nd apron. If new ownership has deep pockets they could have negotiated a cheaper Randle deal 3/75 and kept everyone anyway. You are sending the trade value of Randle plus the trade value of Jaden (quite high,) plus putting the money situation into hard cap so you lose NAW. I don’t see KD being that good.
6. The Wolves were by games missed the healthiest team in 24/25. In 23/24 that probably is close to true with KAT missing a month, Mike and Rudy each missing a few, and Ant missing a few. You are hoping for a 3rd straight year of significant health, and that might not be doable. With a top heavy team, each injury is felt more significantly and the bottom guys that back fill are often far less effective. That is why losing KCP had such a dire effect on Denver. If Rudy misses time we have who exactly to fill time at C? If you have lost Jaden and Randle you have Naz , KD, and undrafted rookies (you cannot afford vet minimum played.) That is probably season over.