Infinity2152 wrote:MrSparkle wrote:My main problem with trading Coby (assuming we don’t get the Isiah Thomas, Billy King, Arturas haul) is that it’s likely the next 4Y will be the best of his career.
My main problem with resigning him is any jump to perennial stardom would be a significant/far-fetched rise in consistency and ceiling that he hasn’t shown in his 6 years. That’s a lot of sample size. At this point, even if he has a Lauri/Utah revenge season next year (in his contract year, sigh), you can easily foresee a drop back down to reality. He’s a career 13.4 PER guard with weak defense. Even with his gradual improvement, that is ways away from any young top-10 guard, who leaves 15 PER in the dust after 2-3 seasons.
Anyway, given this dilemma, I trust that AK will do the worst thing possible. Overpay him and watch us struggle with no real #1 scoring option, or trade him for Zion.
IMO Coby won’t accept this eligible max, but to me even that amount is slightly rich. He’s consistently started seasons SO flat. And he also finishes his seasons on a flat note. He also tends to play well only 1 half of a game. Those are the 2 most important times in the NBA- opening month: getting a good start against motivated healthy teams in November, and the mid April playoffs. If you’re gonna show off your peak game in March every season, all you are is a rich man’s Kilpatrick.
The full season averages don’t lie. He had INCREDIBLE numbers in March, and they still didn’t make his season averages look exceptional. 15.5 PER and -0.5 BPM sounds like a rising star rookie, not a 6-year vet.
Doesn't the amount he gets paid figure into whether he's worth it, though? $20-$25 mill is average starter/good sixth man money. Per was 12.5 two years ago, 14.5 last year, 15.5 this year. Seems like he is improving, by that metric. $20-$25 mil is fair money. People expecting him to be a number 1 scorer capable of leading us should be projecting $40-$60 mill, that's what those guys are getting in year 6 nowadays. I'm looking at this like a Lou Will/Jamal Crawford type contract, not Vince Carter, Tracy McGrady.
Last year Zach started the season and played 25 games. This season Zach played the first 42 games. May not be just coincidence or streakiness that Coby's trends up when he's not on the floor with Zach in the second half of the season, or he started the two seasons at a lower level. Not playing with Zach seemed to unlock Giddey pretty quickly.
You think trading Coby for Zion is one of the worst things possible, but he's not good enough to keep? You must REALLY not want Zion, lol!
I don’t want a team built around talented guys who average 29 games a season and 1 knee surgery a year.