Image ImageImage Image

ace in the hole

Moderators: HomoSapien, AshyLarrysDiaper, coldfish, Payt10, Ice Man, dougthonus, Michael Jackson, Tommy Udo 6 , kulaz3000, fleet, DASMACKDOWN, GimmeDat, RedBulls23

ace?

sure
7
47%
go fish
8
53%
 
Total votes: 15

dice
RealGM
Posts: 43,913
And1: 12,932
Joined: Jun 30, 2003
Location: chicago

ace in the hole 

Post#1 » by dice » Wed Apr 30, 2025 3:47 am

is ace bailey (#3 pick) an acceptable outcome in the lotto?

don't know anything about the prospects, so curious whether there is a significant gap amongst the top 3
God help Ukraine
God help those fleeing misery to come here
God help the Middle East
God help the climate
God help US health care
League Circles
RealGM
Posts: 35,158
And1: 9,849
Joined: Dec 04, 2001
       

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#2 » by League Circles » Wed Apr 30, 2025 5:56 am

Unacceptable
https://august-shop.com/ - sneakers and streetwear
User avatar
SalmonsSuperfan
Starter
Posts: 2,416
And1: 2,248
Joined: Feb 14, 2019
 

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#3 » by SalmonsSuperfan » Wed Apr 30, 2025 6:02 am

i picked 'go fish' just because i liked it as an option. also liked the thread title. +1 thread. i don't know who ace bailey is, but the fact that his name is ace makes me think we should draft him. i guess he wears #4 which seems, i dunno, why wouldn't you pick #1, ace.
WesPeace
Senior
Posts: 533
And1: 244
Joined: Jan 12, 2025
Location: Planet Earth
Contact:
 

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#4 » by WesPeace » Wed Apr 30, 2025 8:33 am

Do we really need new thread for this??
User avatar
coldfish
Forum Mod - Bulls
Forum Mod - Bulls
Posts: 60,200
And1: 37,126
Joined: Jun 11, 2004
Location: Right in the middle
   

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#5 » by coldfish » Wed Apr 30, 2025 10:57 am

WesPeace wrote:Do we really need new thread for this??


Threads from mid April are on the middle of the page. Back in the day when we were busy on this board good threads could get pushed off the front page easily so we were cautious about locking and merging. Nowadays, if someone wants to make content Bulls related, go for it.

Would prefer if it had an Ace Bailey highlight or analysis video though.
User avatar
dougthonus
Senior Mod - Bulls
Senior Mod - Bulls
Posts: 57,960
And1: 18,204
Joined: Dec 22, 2004
Contact:
 

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#6 » by dougthonus » Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:17 pm

dice wrote:is ace bailey (#3 pick) an acceptable outcome in the lotto?

don't know anything about the prospects, so curious whether there is a significant gap amongst the top 3


If moving up to #3 isn't an acceptable outcome, man are people going to be disappointed with sticking at #12.

As for the question about whether there is a significant drop off at #3, from what I gather in my totally non-expert opinion is that there seems to be a pretty big gap in evaluation between Flagg and Harper at #1 and #2. While Harper seems to be solidified as the clear #2, the gap between him and whomever is at #3 isn't quite as big, and there is no clear pick at #3 and several guys are vying for that spot.

Look at the statistical strengths / weaknesses here :lol:

https://tankathon.com/players/ace-bailey
http://linktr.ee/bullsbeat - links to the bullsbeat podcast
@doug_thonus on twitter
User avatar
Jcool0
RealGM
Posts: 15,079
And1: 9,167
Joined: Jul 12, 2014
Location: Illinois
         

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#7 » by Jcool0 » Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:26 pm

Bulls have an 8% chance to get him. You wont have to worry about how good or bad he will be.

FWIW at the start of the year he was seen as 1B to Cooper Flagg. He did not have the year expected from him at Rutgers which is why he lost the #2 spot to his teammate Dylan Harper (who looked like a much better player). If he max hits he can be the next KD, which is why he is locked in at #3 despite the up and down year, though he could fall a few spots if the right team moves up. More likely he tops out as a Rudy Gay type. Which isn't bad... But probably not what you want from #3.
bledredwine
RealGM
Posts: 14,456
And1: 5,644
Joined: Sep 17, 2010
   

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#8 » by bledredwine » Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:27 pm

I have positive associations with the #3 pick.
LeBron has a 17.8% field goal percentage and a 12.5% 3-point percentage in clutch situations, and also made 20 of 116 game winning/tying shots in 4th/OT during his career :wink:
User avatar
Jcool0
RealGM
Posts: 15,079
And1: 9,167
Joined: Jul 12, 2014
Location: Illinois
         

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#9 » by Jcool0 » Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:27 pm

User avatar
Jcool0
RealGM
Posts: 15,079
And1: 9,167
Joined: Jul 12, 2014
Location: Illinois
         

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#10 » by Jcool0 » Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:58 pm

dougthonus wrote:
dice wrote:is ace bailey (#3 pick) an acceptable outcome in the lotto?

don't know anything about the prospects, so curious whether there is a significant gap amongst the top 3


If moving up to #3 isn't an acceptable outcome, man are people going to be disappointed with sticking at #12.

As for the question about whether there is a significant drop off at #3, from what I gather in my totally non-expert opinion is that there seems to be a pretty big gap in evaluation between Flagg and Harper at #1 and #2. While Harper seems to be solidified as the clear #2, the gap between him and whomever is at #3 isn't quite as big, and there is no clear pick at #3 and several guys are vying for that spot.

Look at the statistical strengths / weaknesses here :lol:

https://tankathon.com/players/ace-bailey


I think the top 4 are as set as it can be.

1. Flagg
2. Harper
3. Bailey
4. Edgecombe

You could see some movement in 3-4 if some crazy lottery magic happens.

After that you have (in no order): Kon Knueppel, Khaman Maluach, Tre Johnson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Jase Richardson, Asa Newell, Collin Murray-Boyles, Egor Demin, Noa Essengue.

Will be interesting how the draft process goes for that group and where they land. Maluach could go #6 if teams see him hitting 3s consistently in draft work outs, but a win now team might pass. If CMB is close to 6'9" that could push him into the top 10, but if he 6'6" that will push him out of the top 10. KJ could take that #6 spot back if it comes out his injury is what messed up his shot. Derik Queen looking in great shape could lock him into that 7-10 range (if he isnt there already).
Chi town
RealGM
Posts: 28,530
And1: 8,645
Joined: Aug 10, 2004

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#11 » by Chi town » Wed Apr 30, 2025 1:41 pm

If we get the 3 pick we will be welcoming Giannis to Chicago.
WindyCityBorn
RealGM
Posts: 22,032
And1: 11,724
Joined: Jun 26, 2014
     

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#12 » by WindyCityBorn » Wed Apr 30, 2025 1:55 pm

Chi town wrote:If we get the 3 pick we will be welcoming Giannis to Chicago.


No we won’t. Giannis is not wasting the rest of his career here.
kodo
RealGM
Posts: 20,615
And1: 15,064
Joined: Oct 10, 2006
Location: Northshore Burbs
 

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#13 » by kodo » Wed Apr 30, 2025 3:32 pm

There's some argument for VJ at #3, but either way Bulls would be celebrating for the play-in loss.
I think AK would seriously consider trading it in a KD/Giannis offer though.
othawhitemeat
Veteran
Posts: 2,633
And1: 800
Joined: May 14, 2004

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#14 » by othawhitemeat » Wed Apr 30, 2025 3:34 pm

WindyCityBorn wrote:
Chi town wrote:If we get the 3 pick we will be welcoming Giannis to Chicago.


No we won’t. Giannis is not wasting the rest of his career here.


I think it depends on what the trade entails. If we got the 3 pick and we don't have to trade a lot of assets other than salary dump, he may be intrigued by a core of Giddey/Matas/Coby and truth be told that is a good surrounding core for Giannis - better talent than the Bucks right now. We would need a center, but that is a pretty good group of young talent for Giannis to play with. Coby can shoot, Matas is uber talented and has that it factor, and Giddey is a talented young star. Billy D is also a better coach than Rivers, imo, and the Bucks are aging.
othawhitemeat
Veteran
Posts: 2,633
And1: 800
Joined: May 14, 2004

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#15 » by othawhitemeat » Wed Apr 30, 2025 3:35 pm

kodo wrote:There's some argument for VJ at #3, but either way Bulls would be celebrating for the play-in loss.
I think AK would seriously consider trading it in a KD/Giannis offer though.


Hope not KD cause while still very good, is injury prone and I don't think can carry a team far anymore. I would take VJ and even Tre Johnson over Ace as I just question Ace's motor.
sco
RealGM
Posts: 26,576
And1: 8,811
Joined: Sep 22, 2003
Location: Virtually Everywhere!

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#16 » by sco » Wed Apr 30, 2025 3:54 pm

othawhitemeat wrote:
kodo wrote:There's some argument for VJ at #3, but either way Bulls would be celebrating for the play-in loss.
I think AK would seriously consider trading it in a KD/Giannis offer though.


Hope not KD cause while still very good, is injury prone and I don't think can carry a team far anymore. I would take VJ and even Tre Johnson over Ace as I just question Ace's motor.

Honestly, if I were PHO or MIL, I would heavily discount the #3 pick. I don't think that #2 would get either deal done...I think #1 would, but then we probably wouldn't trade it.
:clap:
Ctownbulls
RealGM
Posts: 12,863
And1: 3,767
Joined: May 05, 2001

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#17 » by Ctownbulls » Wed Apr 30, 2025 4:00 pm

othawhitemeat wrote:
WindyCityBorn wrote:
Chi town wrote:If we get the 3 pick we will be welcoming Giannis to Chicago.


No we won’t. Giannis is not wasting the rest of his career here.


I think it depends on what the trade entails. If we got the 3 pick and we don't have to trade a lot of assets other than salary dump, he may be intrigued by a core of Giddey/Matas/Coby and truth be told that is a good surrounding core for Giannis - better talent than the Bucks right now. We would need a center, but that is a pretty good group of young talent for Giannis to play with. Coby can shoot, Matas is uber talented and has that it factor, and Giddey is a talented young star. Billy D is also a better coach than Rivers, imo, and the Bucks are aging.


Giddey would need to go if they got Giannis somehow.
Ice Man
Forum Mod - Bulls
Forum Mod - Bulls
Posts: 26,821
And1: 15,870
Joined: Apr 19, 2011

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#18 » by Ice Man » Wed Apr 30, 2025 4:21 pm

Ctownbulls wrote:Giddey would need to go if they got Giannis somehow.


Why?
Am2626
Analyst
Posts: 3,176
And1: 1,082
Joined: Jul 13, 2013

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#19 » by Am2626 » Wed Apr 30, 2025 4:22 pm

dougthonus wrote:
dice wrote:is ace bailey (#3 pick) an acceptable outcome in the lotto?

don't know anything about the prospects, so curious whether there is a significant gap amongst the top 3


If moving up to #3 isn't an acceptable outcome, man are people going to be disappointed with sticking at #12.

As for the question about whether there is a significant drop off at #3, from what I gather in my totally non-expert opinion is that there seems to be a pretty big gap in evaluation between Flagg and Harper at #1 and #2. While Harper seems to be solidified as the clear #2, the gap between him and whomever is at #3 isn't quite as big, and there is no clear pick at #3 and several guys are vying for that spot.

Look at the statistical strengths / weaknesses here :lol:

https://tankathon.com/players/ace-bailey


I think Ace Bailey is a great talent but also very raw. He is one of the youngest players in the draft as well. I can see him as either being a superstar or bust so definitely high risk / high reward type of player. I think at 3 it is between him and V J Edgecombe. I agree it is Cooper Flagg being the best prospect by a lot and then Dylan Harper and after that probably Bailey and Edgecombe.
Chi town
RealGM
Posts: 28,530
And1: 8,645
Joined: Aug 10, 2004

Re: ace in the hole 

Post#20 » by Chi town » Wed Apr 30, 2025 5:07 pm

Am2626 wrote:
dougthonus wrote:
dice wrote:is ace bailey (#3 pick) an acceptable outcome in the lotto?

don't know anything about the prospects, so curious whether there is a significant gap amongst the top 3


If moving up to #3 isn't an acceptable outcome, man are people going to be disappointed with sticking at #12.

As for the question about whether there is a significant drop off at #3, from what I gather in my totally non-expert opinion is that there seems to be a pretty big gap in evaluation between Flagg and Harper at #1 and #2. While Harper seems to be solidified as the clear #2, the gap between him and whomever is at #3 isn't quite as big, and there is no clear pick at #3 and several guys are vying for that spot.

Look at the statistical strengths / weaknesses here :lol:

https://tankathon.com/players/ace-bailey


I think Ace Bailey is a great talent but also very raw. He is one of the youngest players in the draft as well. I can see him as either being a superstar or bust so definitely high risk / high reward type of player. I think at 3 it is between him and V J Edgecombe. I agree it is Cooper Flagg being the best prospect by a lot and then Dylan Harper and after that probably Bailey and Edgecombe.


People keep saying that because Ace is young.

HIs floor is actually strong because of his motor and his defense. He has great anticipation and IQ and his length plays.

Return to Chicago Bulls