2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers (IND leads 1-0)

Moderators: Clav, Domejandro, ken6199, bisme37, Dirk, KingDavid, cupcakesnake, bwgood77, zimpy27, infinite11285

Who wins and goes to the ECFs?

Poll ended at Mon May 5, 2025 4:13 pm

Cavs in 4
9
5%
Cavs in 5
45
23%
Cavs in 6
69
35%
Cavs in 7
22
11%
Pacers in 4
5
3%
Pacers in 5
1
1%
Pacers in 6
29
15%
Pacers in 7
16
8%
 
Total votes: 196

GiannisAnte34
Analyst
Posts: 3,461
And1: 2,806
Joined: Jun 19, 2019
 

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#201 » by GiannisAnte34 » Fri May 2, 2025 9:51 pm

jasonxxx102 wrote:
GiannisAnte34 wrote:
jasonxxx102 wrote:The Cavs are going to absolutely smoke the Pacers and people on here will still be doubting the Cavs lol


Would a 4-2 series win qualify as “smoking” the Pacers? I could see that happening. I’m doubtful it’s a 4-0 or 4-1 cruise job, the Cavs don’t have that superstar that can take over a series like Jokic, Giannis, Kawhi, Curry, etc

Their guards are good but also exploitable on the other end


No, im saying gentleman’s sweep.

Donovan Mitchell can and has taken over many 4th quarters but it’s not like the Pacers have that guy either, I’d take both Garland and Mitchell as closers over Haliburton.

I mentioned earlier. Cavs have the best player, the better starting 5, the better 6th man, better overall offense, and better defense.

Pacers are a good team but this is a lopsided matchup just like Celtics Knicks.


I guess I'm not convinced Mitchell is a superstar in general, maybe I have a misconception about him

The Pacers bench had Tj, Obi, Nembhard, and Mathurin I believe... as a Bucks fan I wish we had that kind of bench unit

I think we should have attacked TJ more, but he was killing us off the bench. Seemed like whatever he did was a positive play offensively except in game 3 where he was shut down
JujitsuFlip
RealGM
Posts: 15,324
And1: 9,449
Joined: Sep 10, 2021

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#202 » by JujitsuFlip » Fri May 2, 2025 9:51 pm

The Real Dalic wrote:My guess is either another sweep or Cavs in 5. This Pacers team is definitely better than last season and should hopefully have Mathurin for the series, but I still think the gap is far too big between both teams.

The Cavs are the better offensive team with a true offensive superstar and the far, far better defense.

Not sure how the Pacers are going to stop Mitchell and Garland. Much better defenses have tried and failed.
I'd say the Pacers hope is injury for that starting back court. No one wants anyone to be injured but Garland is questionable for game 1 with his sprained big toe (missed the final 2 games of the Heat series) and Mitchell looked like he was laboring through certain parts of round 1, especially game 3.
GiannisAnte34
Analyst
Posts: 3,461
And1: 2,806
Joined: Jun 19, 2019
 

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#203 » by GiannisAnte34 » Fri May 2, 2025 9:57 pm

JujitsuFlip wrote:
The Real Dalic wrote:My guess is either another sweep or Cavs in 5. This Pacers team is definitely better than last season and should hopefully have Mathurin for the series, but I still think the gap is far too big between both teams.

The Cavs are the better offensive team with a true offensive superstar and the far, far better defense.

Not sure how the Pacers are going to stop Mitchell and Garland. Much better defenses have tried and failed.
I'd say the Pacers hope is injury for that starting back court. No one wants anyone to be injured but Garland is questionable for game 1 with his sprained big toe (missed the final 2 games of the Heat series) and Mitchell looked like he was laboring through certain parts of round 1, especially game 3.


I'm really surprised the Cavs are favored by 2.5 games if Mitchell and Garland aren't 100%. The Cavs will need to be on point to win this series convincingly
cgf
RealGM
Posts: 35,099
And1: 14,460
Joined: Jul 01, 2008
   

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#204 » by cgf » Fri May 2, 2025 10:15 pm

The Real Dalic wrote:My guess is either another sweep or Cavs in 5. This Pacers team is definitely better than last season and should hopefully have Mathurin for the series, but I still think the gap is far too big between both teams.

The Cavs are the better offensive team with a true offensive superstar and the far, far better defense.

Not sure how the Pacers are going to stop Mitchell and Garland. Much better defenses have tried and failed.


Far, far better defense?

CLE defrtg 111.8 - 8th in the NBA
IND defrtg 113.3 - tied for 13th in the NBA

Nembhard is a great guard defender and the way that the pacers play puts a ton of pressure on opposing ballhandlers.
Capn'O wrote:We're the recovering meth addict older brother. And we've been clean for a few years now, thank you very much. Very uncouth to bring it up.

Brunson: So what are you paid to do?
Hart: Run around like an idiot during the game and f*** s*** up!
JujitsuFlip
RealGM
Posts: 15,324
And1: 9,449
Joined: Sep 10, 2021

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#205 » by JujitsuFlip » Fri May 2, 2025 10:27 pm

GiannisAnte34 wrote:
JujitsuFlip wrote:
The Real Dalic wrote:My guess is either another sweep or Cavs in 5. This Pacers team is definitely better than last season and should hopefully have Mathurin for the series, but I still think the gap is far too big between both teams.

The Cavs are the better offensive team with a true offensive superstar and the far, far better defense.

Not sure how the Pacers are going to stop Mitchell and Garland. Much better defenses have tried and failed.
I'd say the Pacers hope is injury for that starting back court. No one wants anyone to be injured but Garland is questionable for game 1 with his sprained big toe (missed the final 2 games of the Heat series) and Mitchell looked like he was laboring through certain parts of round 1, especially game 3.


I'm really surprised the Cavs are favored by 2.5 games if Mitchell and Garland aren't 100%. The Cavs will need to be on point to win this series convincingly
Betting odds are probably inflated because the Cavs just put up 121+ points in every game in round 1.

Long as the Pacers can hold the Cavs below 121 points, those odds will probably shift as the series wear on.
xBulletproof
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,879
And1: 5,915
Joined: May 26, 2013
Location: Indianapolis, IN
     

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#206 » by xBulletproof » Fri May 2, 2025 10:29 pm

cgf wrote:
The Real Dalic wrote:My guess is either another sweep or Cavs in 5. This Pacers team is definitely better than last season and should hopefully have Mathurin for the series, but I still think the gap is far too big between both teams.

The Cavs are the better offensive team with a true offensive superstar and the far, far better defense.

Not sure how the Pacers are going to stop Mitchell and Garland. Much better defenses have tried and failed.


Far, far better defense?

CLE defrtg 111.8 - 8th in the NBA
IND defrtg 113.3 - tied for 13th in the NBA

Nembhard is a great guard defender and the way that the pacers play puts a ton of pressure on opposing ballhandlers.


This is why my first post in the Bucks-Pacers thread I made a point to talk about their defense. Some people who have paid no attention still think they defend like they did October 2023.
User avatar
Wizop
RealGM
Posts: 18,531
And1: 5,184
Joined: Jun 15, 2003
Location: Indianapolis, IN
Contact:
   

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#207 » by Wizop » Fri May 2, 2025 10:30 pm

Betting odds are not predictive of the results. They are set to create a balanced book. They reflect that there are more Cavs betters than Pacer betters.
Please edit long quotes to only show what puts your new message into context.
GiannisAnte34
Analyst
Posts: 3,461
And1: 2,806
Joined: Jun 19, 2019
 

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#208 » by GiannisAnte34 » Fri May 2, 2025 11:06 pm

Wizop wrote:Betting odds are not predictive of the results. They are set to create a balanced book. They reflect that there are more Cavs betters than Pacer betters.


That sounds right. I miss the 538 probabilities on NBA playoffs
User avatar
mcfly1204
General Manager
Posts: 9,968
And1: 2,587
Joined: Oct 31, 2008

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#209 » by mcfly1204 » Fri May 2, 2025 11:08 pm

GiannisAnte34 wrote:
mcfly1204 wrote:
GiannisAnte34 wrote:Are the Cavs this year closer to the 2016-17 Cavs or the 2019-20 Bucks? Both dominant regular season teams

Feels like you're comparing apples to oranges in either scenario. Those Cavs and Bucks teams were led by dominate players. This Cavs squad is a much more balanced team.


We could widen it to 2015-2016 Cavs #1 seed won Finals
2016-17 Cavs #1 seed lost in the Finals
2018-2019 Bucks #1 seed lost in the ECF
and the 2019-2020 Bucks #1 seed lost in the ECSF

I think in terms of results, I'd expect Cleveland to lose in the ECF. I don't think the Pacers will just roll over for the Cavs tho, they need to be on point to advance here. The Bucks weren't prepared for the Heat in 19-20 and didn't get the advantage of home crowds, got burned for it

Cavs need to take both games at home to start the series. If Pacers can steal one they'll be feeling confident, they play with a lot of composure and clutch poise

So this isn't just wishful thinking from a Bucks fan to help justify their gentleman's sweep?
Well at least we're not Detroit!
GiannisAnte34
Analyst
Posts: 3,461
And1: 2,806
Joined: Jun 19, 2019
 

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#210 » by GiannisAnte34 » Sat May 3, 2025 12:12 am

mcfly1204 wrote:
GiannisAnte34 wrote:
mcfly1204 wrote:Feels like you're comparing apples to oranges in either scenario. Those Cavs and Bucks teams were led by dominate players. This Cavs squad is a much more balanced team.


We could widen it to 2015-2016 Cavs #1 seed won Finals
2016-17 Cavs #1 seed lost in the Finals
2018-2019 Bucks #1 seed lost in the ECF
and the 2019-2020 Bucks #1 seed lost in the ECSF

I think in terms of results, I'd expect Cleveland to lose in the ECF. I don't think the Pacers will just roll over for the Cavs tho, they need to be on point to advance here. The Bucks weren't prepared for the Heat in 19-20 and didn't get the advantage of home crowds, got burned for it

Cavs need to take both games at home to start the series. If Pacers can steal one they'll be feeling confident, they play with a lot of composure and clutch poise

So this isn't just wishful thinking from a Bucks fan to help justify their gentleman's sweep?


in that regard aren't I damned if I do and damned if I don't? you could twist either position into one that's based on being a Bucks fan

Pacers get ground into dust = vengeful because I want them to lose
Pacers upset the Cavs = justifying why the Bucks lost to such a good team
Iwasawitness
Head Coach
Posts: 6,445
And1: 7,783
Joined: Sep 05, 2023
     

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#211 » by Iwasawitness » Sat May 3, 2025 12:15 am

JujitsuFlip wrote:
The Real Dalic wrote:My guess is either another sweep or Cavs in 5. This Pacers team is definitely better than last season and should hopefully have Mathurin for the series, but I still think the gap is far too big between both teams.

The Cavs are the better offensive team with a true offensive superstar and the far, far better defense.

Not sure how the Pacers are going to stop Mitchell and Garland. Much better defenses have tried and failed.
I'd say the Pacers hope is injury for that starting back court. No one wants anyone to be injured but Garland is questionable for game 1 with his sprained big toe (missed the final 2 games of the Heat series) and Mitchell looked like he was laboring through certain parts of round 1, especially game 3.


Cavaliers looked a lot better with Garland being injured if I’m being honest…
LakerLegend wrote:LeBron was literally more athletic at 35 than he was at 20
User avatar
Nuntius
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 23,289
And1: 23,829
Joined: Feb 28, 2012
   

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#212 » by Nuntius » Sat May 3, 2025 12:26 am

JujitsuFlip wrote:You don't watch the Pacers, is the point lol


Pacers fan here. Based on cgf's post history, I feel fairly confident in saying that he does watch the Pacers a fair amount more than your average non-Pacer fan.
"No wolf shall keep his secrets, no bird shall dance the skyline
And I am left with nothing but an oath that gleams like a sword
To bathe in the blood of man
Mankind..."

She Painted Fire Across the Skyline, Part 3
- Agalloch
xxSnEaKyPxx
RealGM
Posts: 18,432
And1: 19,060
Joined: Jun 02, 2007

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#213 » by xxSnEaKyPxx » Sat May 3, 2025 1:00 am

jasonxxx102 wrote:Donovan Mitchell can and has taken over many 4th quarters but it’s not like the Pacers have that guy either, I’d take both Garland and Mitchell as closers over Haliburton.

You’re welcome to your opinion, and I’m not knocking Mitchell or Garland, but the Pacers and Haliburton have been one of the best late game teams in the NBA this season. The amount of insane comebacks and game winners they’ve had has been wild. I mean, the National media was actively talking about a stretch of games where the Pacers clutched out like 5 insane wins in a row at one point, then game 5 vs Bucks, etc.

I don’t know, just an odd opinion to me when all of the evidence says otherwise.
JujitsuFlip
RealGM
Posts: 15,324
And1: 9,449
Joined: Sep 10, 2021

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#214 » by JujitsuFlip » Sat May 3, 2025 1:25 am

Iwasawitness wrote:
JujitsuFlip wrote:
The Real Dalic wrote:My guess is either another sweep or Cavs in 5. This Pacers team is definitely better than last season and should hopefully have Mathurin for the series, but I still think the gap is far too big between both teams.

The Cavs are the better offensive team with a true offensive superstar and the far, far better defense.

Not sure how the Pacers are going to stop Mitchell and Garland. Much better defenses have tried and failed.
I'd say the Pacers hope is injury for that starting back court. No one wants anyone to be injured but Garland is questionable for game 1 with his sprained big toe (missed the final 2 games of the Heat series) and Mitchell looked like he was laboring through certain parts of round 1, especially game 3.


Cavaliers looked a lot better with Garland being injured if I’m being honest…
Oh for sure, i thought the same thing. It's probably because who he shares the floor with a lot, hopefully the coaches can figure out how to get max efficiency out of the lineups if/when he returns in this series.
Iwasawitness
Head Coach
Posts: 6,445
And1: 7,783
Joined: Sep 05, 2023
     

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#215 » by Iwasawitness » Sat May 3, 2025 1:54 am

xxSnEaKyPxx wrote:
jasonxxx102 wrote:Donovan Mitchell can and has taken over many 4th quarters but it’s not like the Pacers have that guy either, I’d take both Garland and Mitchell as closers over Haliburton.

You’re welcome to your opinion, and I’m not knocking Mitchell or Garland, but the Pacers and Haliburton have been one of the best late game teams in the NBA this season. The amount of insane comebacks and game winners they’ve had has been wild. I mean, the National media was actively talking about a stretch of games where the Pacers clutched out like 5 insane wins in a row at one point, then game 5 vs Bucks, etc.

I don’t know, just an odd opinion to me when all of the evidence says otherwise.


The Cavs have been the best fourth quarter team in the NBA this season lol
LakerLegend wrote:LeBron was literally more athletic at 35 than he was at 20
xxSnEaKyPxx
RealGM
Posts: 18,432
And1: 19,060
Joined: Jun 02, 2007

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#216 » by xxSnEaKyPxx » Sat May 3, 2025 2:09 am

Iwasawitness wrote:
xxSnEaKyPxx wrote:
jasonxxx102 wrote:Donovan Mitchell can and has taken over many 4th quarters but it’s not like the Pacers have that guy either, I’d take both Garland and Mitchell as closers over Haliburton.

You’re welcome to your opinion, and I’m not knocking Mitchell or Garland, but the Pacers and Haliburton have been one of the best late game teams in the NBA this season. The amount of insane comebacks and game winners they’ve had has been wild. I mean, the National media was actively talking about a stretch of games where the Pacers clutched out like 5 insane wins in a row at one point, then game 5 vs Bucks, etc.

I don’t know, just an odd opinion to me when all of the evidence says otherwise.


The Cavs have been the best fourth quarter team in the NBA this season lol

What’s that have to do with the Pacers apparently not having a closer?
User avatar
Wizop
RealGM
Posts: 18,531
And1: 5,184
Joined: Jun 15, 2003
Location: Indianapolis, IN
Contact:
   

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#217 » by Wizop » Sat May 3, 2025 2:15 am

Iwasawitness wrote:The Cavs have been the best fourth quarter team in the NBA this season lol


Yes, Cavs are #1 in 4th quarter scoring. Pacers are #2 less than a point behind.
Please edit long quotes to only show what puts your new message into context.
Iwasawitness
Head Coach
Posts: 6,445
And1: 7,783
Joined: Sep 05, 2023
     

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#218 » by Iwasawitness » Sat May 3, 2025 3:03 am

xxSnEaKyPxx wrote:
Iwasawitness wrote:
xxSnEaKyPxx wrote:You’re welcome to your opinion, and I’m not knocking Mitchell or Garland, but the Pacers and Haliburton have been one of the best late game teams in the NBA this season. The amount of insane comebacks and game winners they’ve had has been wild. I mean, the National media was actively talking about a stretch of games where the Pacers clutched out like 5 insane wins in a row at one point, then game 5 vs Bucks, etc.

I don’t know, just an odd opinion to me when all of the evidence says otherwise.


The Cavs have been the best fourth quarter team in the NBA this season lol

What’s that have to do with the Pacers apparently not having a closer?


Is that what he was saying? Oh jesus, I gave the guy the benefit of the doubt and now I feel silly.
LakerLegend wrote:LeBron was literally more athletic at 35 than he was at 20
User avatar
mcfly1204
General Manager
Posts: 9,968
And1: 2,587
Joined: Oct 31, 2008

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#219 » by mcfly1204 » Sat May 3, 2025 4:36 am

Iwasawitness wrote:
xxSnEaKyPxx wrote:
Iwasawitness wrote:
The Cavs have been the best fourth quarter team in the NBA this season lol

What’s that have to do with the Pacers apparently not having a closer?


Is that what he was saying? Oh jesus, I gave the guy the benefit of the doubt and now I feel silly.

Generally speaking, having a closer, if not two, is necessary. Sometimes you can get lucky and a guy has a dominate series, but guys like Mitchell who can score at all three levels are a key piece to winning. When you have a guy like Mitchell, there's a sustainable element to that aspect to it.
Well at least we're not Detroit!
JujitsuFlip
RealGM
Posts: 15,324
And1: 9,449
Joined: Sep 10, 2021

Re: 2025 NBA PLAYOFFS East Semifinals: #1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #4 Indiana Pacers 

Post#220 » by JujitsuFlip » Sat May 3, 2025 6:47 am

Game 1 will be at 6pm Sunday on TNT.
ImageImage

Return to The General Board