For today: Curry vs Oscar

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Steph Curry
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Oscar Robertson
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#81 » by One_and_Done » Sun May 11, 2025 10:28 pm

tsherkin wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:I can infer Bias would have been an-timer if he'd played based on his skills, which I don't think anyone compares to 'Harold Miner', or that Walton would be top 10 all-time if he'd been healthy but because it never happened you can't rank them like it did. West might have been a better 3pt shooter than Draymond if he'd been given the chance to do it, but it never happened. There's no in-principle reason to grant that assumption to only West and not Walton and Bias.


If by "rank" you're referring in an all-time sense, sure. But that's not really the goal ITT. The actual OP was about who you'd rather build around in today's environment.

Similarly, when you talk about 'adapting', why do we need to rank West on the basis that he would adapt and play differently in a different situation, but we won't give that assumption to Sheed or D.Cousins, and rate them based on being born into a situation where they were asked to play more seriously with a better attitude.


But this isn't really the same thing. If you take guys who were dominant in their time and clearly evidenced their work ethic, then there's basically a 0% chance that they wouldn't work towards adapting into the modern environment (that environment being a concession of this particular discussion space). You have to concede that they weren't blithering idiots, after all.

So for the sake of honest discourse with any real integrity, you have to acknowledge that there would be some level of adaptation. We've seen it from players who crossed boundaries of the sort in their actual careers. Witness Sheed and Al Horford, for example, or Brook Lopez. Even Kobe started to shoot more from 3. Now, there are contextual differences between bigs developing a spot-up jumper from 3 and a guard developing it ATB, for sure, but it isn't hard to look at guys who've shot well from the FT line and were known as jumpshooters and infer that they could develop a semi-reasonable threat from 3pt range.

One_and_Done wrote:We've discussed at length why I don't agree with that. I also give more weight to how they play in the superior modern league. Even if you didn't, dribbling through the majority of league history was closer to modern dribbling than 60s dribbling, so it'd be more valuable through a larger portion of league history even if you didn't buy backwards compatibility.


But again, you're failing to consider the ramifications of going backward. There's an inherent assumption that Curry would do better moving backward than these other guys would do moving forward, and there's no guarantee of that because they never did it.

Anyway, the reversal is less relevant to this thread, because it's about operating in the current environment.

So what becomes relevant is a discussion of how Oscar would translate into today's game. A tall, powerfully-built guard with high-end playmaking skills, good shooting and scoring and a strong all-around game. His efficiency in the 60s would be lightly efficient even in today's game, which ignores the ease with which guys score in the more spaced-out environment of the modern league and the developments in screen usage and such. He'd be a nightmare offensive matchup in today's game, likely even WITHOUT the development of a 3pt shot.

The level of adaption we need to grant players is that they would be able to adapt the existing skillset they had to different circumstances, to fit the play style of the times. That is reasonable and appropriate. Once you start assuming they will develop new skillsets, it’s gone too far, and invariably rewards players for things that never happened. Some guys develop a 3pt shot, others do not. It's unfair to assume a player will do so.

My comments about all-time rank are tangents that came up for this thread. I agree they’re not relevant to this particular thread. Coming back to this particular thread, you continue to assert Oscar would be “a nightmare match up” even without a 3pt shot. Who are these elite offensive guards today who have no 3pt shot? They don’t exist.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#82 » by tsherkin » Sun May 11, 2025 10:41 pm

One_and_Done wrote:The level of adaption we need to grant players is that they would be able to adapt the existing skillset they had to different circumstances, to fit the play style of the times. That is reasonable and appropriate. Once you start assuming they will develop new skillsets, it’s gone too far, and invariably rewards players for things that never happened. Some guys develop a 3pt shot, others do not. It's unfair to assume a player will do so.


It's hard to look at a quality shooter without any real issue with his form and say he wouldn't be likely to shoot a competent percentage ATB, to be honest. It happens, but among guys who are good FT shooters, it's less common.

From 99-00 forward, there are only 39 player-seasons of a guy playing 40+ G, 30+ mpg, shooting 83%+ from the line, scoring 20+ ppg and shooting <= 34% from 3 on 2+ attempts. And a couple of them come from guys who are pretty good from 3 but had a down year, typically from overdoing it in volume, like Devin Booker or Bradley Beal.

You get your Demar DeRozans, your Jimmy Butlers and such, but it's actually far less common than guys who shoot a competent percentage.

In other words, odds are actually in favor of someone that good at the line doing reasonably well from 3.

Coming back to this particular thread, you continue to assert Oscar would be “a nightmare match up” even without a 3pt shot. Who are these elite offensive guards today who have no 3pt shot? They don’t exist.


Who are these elite guards who compare in skill set and physical tools to him? Remember, the goal isn't necessarily to maximize him so that he's a +6% rTS guy, but to balance efficient scoring and high-volume playmaking.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#83 » by One_and_Done » Sun May 11, 2025 11:31 pm

tsherkin wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:The level of adaption we need to grant players is that they would be able to adapt the existing skillset they had to different circumstances, to fit the play style of the times. That is reasonable and appropriate. Once you start assuming they will develop new skillsets, it’s gone too far, and invariably rewards players for things that never happened. Some guys develop a 3pt shot, others do not. It's unfair to assume a player will do so.


It's hard to look at a quality shooter without any real issue with his form and say he wouldn't be likely to shoot a competent percentage ATB, to be honest. It happens, but among guys who are good FT shooters, it's less common.

From 99-00 forward, there are only 39 player-seasons of a guy playing 40+ G, 30+ mpg, shooting 83%+ from the line, scoring 20+ ppg and shooting <= 34% from 3 on 2+ attempts. And a couple of them come from guys who are pretty good from 3 but had a down year, typically from overdoing it in volume, like Devin Booker or Bradley Beal.

You get your Demar DeRozans, your Jimmy Butlers and such, but it's actually far less common than guys who shoot a competent percentage.

In other words, odds are actually in favor of someone that good at the line doing reasonably well from 3.

Coming back to this particular thread, you continue to assert Oscar would be “a nightmare match up” even without a 3pt shot. Who are these elite offensive guards today who have no 3pt shot? They don’t exist.


Who are these elite guards who compare in skill set and physical tools to him? Remember, the goal isn't necessarily to maximize him so that he's a +6% rTS guy, but to balance efficient scoring and high-volume playmaking.

Westbrook is an incredible athlete. In today's game he's no star without 3pt shooting. Ben Simmons would be another example. I'm not sure if you want someone who has literally identical measurements to Oscar, but those feel like good faith comps. Demar would be another reasonable comp. At a young age Demar was very athletic.

As for whether a guy would develop like X or Y, we'll never know and it's unfair to grant that someone had a specific ability when they never demonstrated it.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#84 » by tsherkin » Mon May 12, 2025 12:48 pm

One_and_Done wrote:Westbrook is an incredible athlete. In today's game he's no star without 3pt shooting.


Well, that's BS. Westbrook at his peak was a high-end offensive impact player. He just wasn't an amazing scorer because he had a simplistic approach to scoring without any pace control or variation. That's not really an apt analogy.

Ben Simmons would be another example.


You mean the guy who can't shoot FTs and refuses to shoot open shots?

Demar would be another reasonable comp. At a young age Demar was very athletic.


Demar had a solid vertical. He wasn't "very athletic" by NBA standards, though obviously so by the standards of the general public. His speed and first step weren't terribly remarkable, nor was his one-footed leaping. He also didn't have Oscar's power, or post game, nor his playmaking threat.

As for whether a guy would develop like X or Y, we'll never know and it's unfair to grant that someone had a specific ability when they never demonstrated it.


Again, I find this horrifically limited thinking. Each time you advance this notion, you fully commit to the idea that the older guys could not possibly benefit at all from all the things which have gone into what make modern players modern, but then turn around and do the opposite for newer guys in the reverse scenario. It just isn't sufficiently consistent as to be a legitimate platform.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#85 » by Outside » Mon May 12, 2025 8:38 pm

Back to the actual topic of the thread, it is an interesting comparison -- the three-point shooting and off-ball gravity of Curry vs the unstoppable physical force that was Oscar. I view Oscar as LeBron-like in that he had a complete game, orchestrated the offense, and used his size and strength to get to wherever he wanted.

Ultimately, it comes down to what you value more for today's game.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#86 » by One_and_Done » Tue May 13, 2025 8:09 am

tsherkin wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:Westbrook is an incredible athlete. In today's game he's no star without 3pt shooting.


Well, that's BS. Westbrook at his peak was a high-end offensive impact player. He just wasn't an amazing scorer because he had a simplistic approach to scoring without any pace control or variation. That's not really an apt analogy.

Ben Simmons would be another example.


You mean the guy who can't shoot FTs and refuses to shoot open shots?

Demar would be another reasonable comp. At a young age Demar was very athletic.


Demar had a solid vertical. He wasn't "very athletic" by NBA standards, though obviously so by the standards of the general public. His speed and first step weren't terribly remarkable, nor was his one-footed leaping. He also didn't have Oscar's power, or post game, nor his playmaking threat.

As for whether a guy would develop like X or Y, we'll never know and it's unfair to grant that someone had a specific ability when they never demonstrated it.


Again, I find this horrifically limited thinking. Each time you advance this notion, you fully commit to the idea that the older guys could not possibly benefit at all from all the things which have gone into what make modern players modern, but then turn around and do the opposite for newer guys in the reverse scenario. It just isn't sufficiently consistent as to be a legitimate platform.

We disagree.

If Westbrook had no 3pt shot in today's game it would hurt his impact. The one year he (unjustly) won MVP he has shooting great from 3. To say Oscar would be a star with no 3pt shot makes little sense, there are literally no star guards in today's game like that. Demar is a fake all-star, but if he's your comp for Oscar I think that's not unfair.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#87 » by penbeast0 » Tue May 13, 2025 6:48 pm

And if a more pass first version of LeBron is your comp for Oscar, I think that's probably more fair than comparing one of the great playmaker/scorers of all time to a guy like Demar. It's like comparing Steph Curry to Jordan Poole.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#88 » by One_and_Done » Tue May 13, 2025 7:43 pm

penbeast0 wrote:And if a more pass first version of LeBron is your comp for Oscar, I think that's probably more fair than comparing one of the great playmaker/scorers of all time to a guy like Demar. It's like comparing Steph Curry to Jordan Poole.

Prime Lebron had otherworldly athleticism. It would be more insulting to compare Oscar to Lebron, than Oscar to Demar. What footage do we have to suggest Oscar was remotely close to Lebron in athleticism.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#89 » by Jaivl » Tue May 13, 2025 7:46 pm

tsherkin wrote:Demar had a solid vertical. He wasn't "very athletic" by NBA standards, though obviously so by the standards of the general public.

Oscar looks nothing like DeRozan, but... come on, man. Come on.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#90 » by tsherkin » Tue May 13, 2025 7:48 pm

One_and_Done wrote:If Westbrook had no 3pt shot in today's game it would hurt his impact. The one year he (unjustly) won MVP he has shooting great from 3.


Try again?

In 2017, he shot 34.3% from 3. That was very good by HIS standards, but it was also 1.5% below league average from 3. He was a 96 3P+ guy that year. He was bombing in huge volume at middling efficiency and praying it would be enough to help supplement the rest of his fairly tepid scoring game. And indeed, at nearly 8 3PA/g at that level, he was still only able to get himself to league-average efficiency (+0.2% rTS, in fact).

To say Oscar would be a star with no 3pt shot makes little sense, there are literally no star guards in today's game like that.


You keep saying that as if it matters. Quite regularly, stars are DEFINED by the absence of comparable peers. Oscar was a large guard with an efficient scoring game and high-end playmaking. Trae Young was an All-Star in 2024 with NO shooting efficacy inside the arc, managing about Oscar's average level of efficiency on the back of fouls drawn and 3pt shooting. It isn't hard to envision that Oscar could be, at worst, on a comparable level to that were he able to produce 58%+ TS as he did in his own time (and there's no reason to believe he couldn't). Which would, in fact, be even better relative to league average today than Westbrook's tepid 55.4% TS in 2017.

So again, I'm not really sure where you're trying to go with that other than "it wouldn't be because I don't want it to be," which isn't really a valid stance.

Demar is a fake all-star, but if he's your comp for Oscar I think that's not unfair.


No, it's quite obvious that Oscar would be quite a bit better than Demar for a number of different reasons.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#91 » by tsherkin » Tue May 13, 2025 7:52 pm

Jaivl wrote:
tsherkin wrote:Demar had a solid vertical. He wasn't "very athletic" by NBA standards, though obviously so by the standards of the general public.

Oscar looks nothing like DeRozan, but... come on, man. Come on.


C'mon what?

He could jump pretty well and he wasn't immobile, but he didn't have elite quickness, he didn't have elite power, nor a frame where that was even possible. He wasn't at that level of overwhelming athleticism. This was bluntly obvious watching him. He was also more of a two-footed jumper than a one-footed leaper, which limited the utility of his vertical. His footspeed was a SIGNIFICANT part of why he exerted so little rim pressure and resorted to bombing long twos as much as he did.

I'm not saying Demar was a stiff, because that's obviously untrue, but he very clearly didn't have top-end athletic tools. That really shouldn't even be a debatable point, when he played in the same league as tail-end prime Wade, Lebron James, Kevin Durant, Blake Griffin, Dwight Howard, John Wall, etc.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#92 » by One_and_Done » Tue May 13, 2025 8:21 pm

I think I was being generous with the Demar comp tbh:
https://youtu.be/H0-Iz6fQRAE?si=-ypWJ6Lr5CVdUaZn
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#93 » by 70sFan » Tue May 13, 2025 8:57 pm

One_and_Done wrote:I think I was being generous with the Demar comp tbh:
https://youtu.be/H0-Iz6fQRAE?si=-ypWJ6Lr5CVdUaZn

So you just want to confirm it's the first time you've ever seen Oscar playing basketball?
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#94 » by One_and_Done » Tue May 13, 2025 9:03 pm

70sFan wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:I think I was being generous with the Demar comp tbh:
https://youtu.be/H0-Iz6fQRAE?si=-ypWJ6Lr5CVdUaZn

So you just want to confirm it's the first time you've ever seen Oscar playing basketball?

I'm linking it because the way some people are talking I have to wonder if they've seen Oscar play. He looks worse than Demar if we're being at all honest.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#95 » by 70sFan » Tue May 13, 2025 9:07 pm

One_and_Done wrote:
70sFan wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:I think I was being generous with the Demar comp tbh:
https://youtu.be/H0-Iz6fQRAE?si=-ypWJ6Lr5CVdUaZn

So you just want to confirm it's the first time you've ever seen Oscar playing basketball?

I'm linking it because the way some people are talking I have to wonder if they've seen Oscar play. He looks worse than Demar if we're being at all honest.

You base it on 2 minutes video?
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#96 » by One_and_Done » Tue May 13, 2025 9:22 pm

70sFan wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:
70sFan wrote:So you just want to confirm it's the first time you've ever seen Oscar playing basketball?

I'm linking it because the way some people are talking I have to wonder if they've seen Oscar play. He looks worse than Demar if we're being at all honest.

You base it on 2 minutes video?

No. But I can post a 10 minute one if you like.

Oscar is a classic emperor's new clothes test. If you look at Oscar and see anything other than an ordinary player by modern standards, then you're likely being influenced by his stature. He looks extremely ordinary. Given his lack of a proven 3pt shot he'd likely come off thr bench for most teams. Not on the most generous evaluation would he be a top 25 player in today's league.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#97 » by tsherkin » Tue May 13, 2025 10:31 pm

One_and_Done wrote:I think I was being generous with the Demar comp tbh:
https://youtu.be/H0-Iz6fQRAE?si=-ypWJ6Lr5CVdUaZn


Not sure what about that video made you decide he looks worse than Demar, tbh.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#98 » by penbeast0 » Tue May 13, 2025 10:42 pm

And yes, playing in canvas shoes on wood floors laid over hockey rinks with no weight work, etc., he looks slower than a modern superstar. Gee, what a shock.

But compare him to his peers and you can see that he's LeBron level compared to anyone else, with shocking strength, vision, and skill set. Only West among all the non-centers in the league in his prime is a peer, he dominates everyone else.

So yes, LeBron is the right comp, not Demar Derozan who might be reasonably be considered a Jack Twyman at best.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#99 » by One_and_Done » Tue May 13, 2025 11:14 pm

penbeast0 wrote:And yes, playing in canvas shoes on wood floors laid over hockey rinks with no weight work, etc., he looks slower than a modern superstar. Gee, what a shock.

But compare him to his peers and you can see that he's LeBron level compared to anyone else, with shocking strength, vision, and skill set. Only West among all the non-centers in the league in his prime is a peer, he dominates everyone else.

So yes, LeBron is the right comp, not Demar Derozan who might be reasonably be considered a Jack Twyman at best.

You know who else looks slower than non-superstars? Non-superstars. The idea that the absence of evidence constitutes evidence is deeply troubling to me. Saying 'he would have looked different in different circumstances' is no evidence of anything. It's frankly insulting to compare the player we see on tape to Lebron, one of the most athletic specimens to ever play.
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Re: For today: Curry vs Oscar 

Post#100 » by One_and_Done » Tue May 13, 2025 11:19 pm

tsherkin wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:I think I was being generous with the Demar comp tbh:
https://youtu.be/H0-Iz6fQRAE?si=-ypWJ6Lr5CVdUaZn


Not sure what about that video made you decide he looks worse than Demar, tbh.

Obviously we're seeing different things. The guy I'm watching doesn't look special at all.
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